Leading-Llama — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$159

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved (90d)

275

Trades (90d)

1,674

5,933 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$10.2K

$51.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-12 00:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$937

Sports

0% 0% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 508 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	—	+50	$31	99¢	$50	+$19	11-12 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	—	+50	$23	1¢	$0	-$22	11-12 00:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	33	$278	450	0	+450	Up	-$3	10-31 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	34	$250	470	0	+470	Down	+$18	10-09 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	38	$250	482	0	+482	Down	+$15	10-09 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:20 UTC	30	$250	513	0	+513	Down	+$9	10-09 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	29	$245	559	0	+559	Down	-$2	10-09 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	28	$228	417	0	+417	Up	-$14	10-09 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	15	$186	250	0	+250	Down	-$11	10-31 18:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 14:30 UTC	2	$183	117	115	+2	Up	+$44	03-25 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 05:45 UTC	4	$180	119	117	+2	Down	+$51	03-25 05:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 06:30 UTC	3	$177	116	114	+2	Down	+$49	03-25 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:45 UTC	2	$168	112	110	+2	Up	+$50	03-25 04:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 11:45 UTC	4	$166	115	103	+11	Down	+$48	03-25 11:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 23:45 UTC	2	$159	112	111	+2	Up	+$60	03-25 23:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 02:45 UTC	15	$157	105	99	+7	Up	+$43	03-26 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 04:30 UTC	6	$155	98	97	+1	Down	+$36	03-25 04:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 02:45 UTC	5	$148	102	100	+2	Down	+$50	03-25 02:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 21:00 UTC	2	$130	88	87	+1	Down	+$41	03-24 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 21:30 UTC	2	$127	85	84	+1	Up	+$38	03-25 21:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 01:00 UTC	5	$126	84	83	+1	Down	+$37	03-25 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 23:45 UTC	3	$122	80	79	+1	Down	+$33	03-24 23:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 21:15 UTC	2	$122	79	78	+1	Down	+$33	03-25 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	13	$121	211	0	+211	Up	-$55	10-10 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 22:15 UTC	2	$119	76	75	+1	Down	+$30	03-24 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	11	$116	210	0	+210	Up	+$4	10-10 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 19:45 UTC	2	$111	74	73	+1	Down	+$33	03-25 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 17:45 UTC	6	$108	65	64	+1	Up	+$19	03-24 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	23	$103	268	0	+268	Up	-$19	10-07 04:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	9	$102	65	64	+1	Up	+$23	03-24 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 21:15 UTC	3	$102	82	82	+0	Down	+$12	01-01 21:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 18:00 UTC	13	$102	82	82	+0	Down	+$12	01-01 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 00:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x932ee2…
11-12 00:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x78b56c…
11-12 00:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x793013…
11-12 00:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa51ec4…
11-12 00:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x62463f…
11-12 00:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xde182c…
11-12 00:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x5682eb…
11-12 00:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x443355…
11-12 00:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbcd5aa…
11-12 00:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xb98c4d…
11-12 00:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x98ad01…
11-12 00:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0ad7b5…
11-12 00:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x338868…
11-12 00:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x631b1a…
11-12 00:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x5db873…
11-12 00:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x36b198…
11-12 00:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x2097f4…
11-12 00:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xc774cc…
11-12 00:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xbc3b31…
11-12 00:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x81dc31…
11-12 00:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x4c2016…
11-12 00:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xed443a…
11-11 23:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x54a350…
11-11 20:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5672ff…
11-11 20:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe3ecb5…
11-11 20:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd0b231…
11-11 20:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xad3ac1…
11-11 20:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x65935e…
11-11 20:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x185ca3…
11-11 20:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb9c09d…
11-11 20:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x55e8bf…
11-11 20:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x52a68e…
11-11 20:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x0c76f5…
11-11 20:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x9a812d…
11-11 20:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa74f0d…
11-11 20:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xdf9f62…
11-11 20:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xa67e20…
11-11 20:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x42e5db…
11-11 20:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0xee73ef…
11-11 20:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xcd0dff…
11-11 20:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd72c25…
11-11 20:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x6080e9…
11-11 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x86c375…
11-11 20:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x688f2c…
11-11 20:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x911053…
11-11 20:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xb8ffe9…
11-11 20:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4c5326…
11-11 20:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1a797c…
11-11 20:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd8b09a…
11-11 20:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x755532…
11-11 20:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xb0f2f2…
11-11 20:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xebb6b8…
11-11 20:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x9de75e…
11-11 20:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x8d1d58…
11-11 20:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x137913…
11-11 20:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x109218…
11-11 20:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x992384…
11-11 20:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x734587…
11-11 20:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x5a405c…
11-11 20:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4c994f…
11-11 20:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x238e59…
11-11 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xe24210…
11-11 20:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x77ac9f…
11-11 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdf47f8…
11-11 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xb24d5f…
11-11 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x582da8…
11-11 20:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x6ec9f9…
11-11 20:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$12	0xe15abb…
11-11 20:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x77b841…
11-11 20:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc3fea7…
11-11 20:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x5eae35…
11-11 20:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x0f88a1…
11-11 20:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x05c7a7…
11-11 20:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x85c5f2…
11-11 20:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x5483b5…
11-11 20:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4429bc…
11-11 20:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x42a2f8…
11-11 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x70ca2b…
11-11 20:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x7747a8…
11-11 20:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x674ddc…
11-11 20:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1514b1…
11-11 20:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x565829…
11-11 19:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x97ba6b…
11-11 19:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7f85c0…
11-11 19:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xa6fded…
11-11 19:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x038f31…
11-11 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x7414f6…
11-11 19:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x46bd3c…
11-11 19:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xf06ebd…
11-11 19:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0b4568…
11-11 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7d9c45…
11-11 19:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0daf25…
11-11 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa1444d…
11-11 19:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xb6a651…
11-11 19:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x1a8ba9…
11-11 19:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7f3268…
11-11 19:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7f0fb7…
11-11 19:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2b7b93…
11-11 19:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5d9c1f…
11-11 19:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2d9228…