Superior-Warning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$218

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% $-21

Other

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-13 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-14 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-12 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$18	38	+38	Up	$-18	05-11 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$17	36	+36	Up	$-17	05-11 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$10	21	+21	Up	+$11	05-11 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$10	17	+17	Up	$-10	05-14 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$9	17	+17	Up	$-9	05-13 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$9	11	+11	Up	+$2	05-13 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	1	$8	50	+50	Down	$-8	05-13 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$7	12	+12	Down	$-7	05-13 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$6	22	+22	Up	+$16	05-13 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$6	10	+10	Down	$-6	05-13 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$6	12	+12	Down	+$6	05-12 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$6	12	+12	Down	+$6	05-11 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$6	46	+46	Down	$-6	05-13 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	22	+22	Up	$-5	05-13 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	Up	+$7	05-12 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-11 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-12 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-11 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$4	26	+26	Down	$-4	05-13 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$4	11	+11	Down	$-4	05-13 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Down	+$6	05-12 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?	1	$1	8	+8	No	$-1	05-11 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Up	+$4	05-13 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$0	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$0	1	+1	Down	$-0	05-13 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 03:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x173e41…
05-14 03:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa94e3a…
05-14 02:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xe7db4a…
05-14 02:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x172576…
05-13 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x6e9c01…
05-13 08:59:18	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8b24f9…
05-13 08:59:18	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe2afc5…
05-13 05:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x6fc374…
05-13 04:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xeae36c…
05-13 04:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x4d8816…
05-13 03:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xf462b4…
05-13 02:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x6d0632…
05-13 02:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x75fde4…
05-13 01:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x15e2a9…
05-13 01:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xdb7780…
05-13 01:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x389522…
05-13 01:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb5bc62…
05-13 01:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x033b48…
05-13 01:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x383bc0…
05-13 01:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x851dc7…
05-13 01:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0x055913…
05-13 01:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xdd67db…
05-13 01:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa54fb6…
05-13 01:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x30cbd6…
05-13 01:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xaa2152…
05-12 05:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0fdbb5…
05-12 05:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xfd1759…
05-12 04:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x228a47…
05-12 04:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xba92de…
05-12 01:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x6100ca…
05-12 01:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x1af5c5…
05-11 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9ae920…
05-11 14:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x446501…
05-11 14:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x3633be…
05-11 14:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x308d8c…
05-11 14:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x786afa…
05-11 13:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xf63590…
05-11 13:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x9a0dd8…
05-11 13:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xadb983…
05-11 13:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x3c4ca2…
05-11 13:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x9b36be…
05-11 13:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x6bb363…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	27	$5.72K	242	05-14 03:06
(anonymous) 0x5434…4493	26	$831	118	05-13 09:00
Bulky-Bracket 0xabc2…7048	26	$772	177	05-14 03:04
Yellow-Supervision 0xc599…b1d2	26	$616	172	05-14 03:04
Foolish-Sender 0x2af4…907f	25	$784	118	05-13 09:00
Minor-Air 0x9848…b0ba	25	$689	159	05-14 03:04
Stiff-Blackberry 0x10c9…e999	24	$673	98	05-14 03:04
Outlandish-Dragon-Curler 0x218f…17bc	22	$1.21K	143	05-14 03:01