Front-Lobster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$175

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

188

Trades

604

lifetime

Volume

$4.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-14 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 41% +$119

Other

6% 100% +$56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	2	$256	156	156	+0	Team Falcons	+$56	06-21 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	4	$173	132	132	+0	Down	+$65	10-02 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	13	$173	190	190	+0	Up	+$79	10-03 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	7	$151	147	147	+0	Down	+$47	10-02 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$126	124	97	+27	Up	-$14	10-08 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	6	$125	119	119	+0	Down	+$17	10-02 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	7	$112	114	114	+0	Down	+$39	10-02 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	6	$106	100	100	+0	Down	+$34	10-06 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	6	$102	104	104	+0	Down	+$22	10-03 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$100	189	0	+189	Up	-$100	10-02 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:15 UTC	3	$97	91	91	+0	Down	+$83	10-04 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	9	$80	145	80	+65	Down	+$6	05-12 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	7	$70	53	53	+0	Down	+$20	10-03 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	6	$61	63	63	+0	Down	-$11	10-06 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	8	$60	57	57	+0	Down	+$4	10-07 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	6	$58	48	48	+0	Down	+$6	10-07 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	4	$57	41	41	+0	Up	+$5	10-06 19:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC	8	$57	77	77	+0	Up	+$5	10-04 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	4	$57	70	70	+0	Up	+$17	05-12 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$53	65	65	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	7	$52	141	52	+89	Down	-$10	05-12 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$51	73	73	+0	Up	+$11	10-03 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	10	$51	46	46	+0	Up	+$7	08-13 19:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 15:45 UTC	3	$48	47	47	+0	Down	+$14	10-04 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$47	46	46	+0	Down	+$15	10-02 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	6	$43	59	47	+12	Up	-$9	10-08 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 20:30 UTC	6	$43	42	42	+0	Down	+$25	08-19 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	5	$42	90	28	+63	Up	-$2	10-06 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	6	$39	87	87	+0	Up	+$7	10-04 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	5	$38	77	31	+46	Down	+$4	05-13 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 21:58:57	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,667	0¢	$7	0x86228c…
10-14 21:53:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x3ab073…
10-08 14:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0xed2b50…
10-08 14:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x91634c…
10-08 14:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x613447…
10-08 14:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	46	42¢	$20	0xef09de…
10-08 14:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	34	68¢	$23	0xc95445…
10-08 14:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x674039…
10-08 14:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xbd5181…
10-08 14:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x7992da…
10-08 14:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdb938d…
10-08 14:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0xac717d…
10-08 14:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x23db57…
10-08 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8bf946…
10-08 13:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbf9b65…
10-08 13:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe70b6e…
10-08 13:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x6f4ffe…
10-08 13:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x767f9a…
10-08 13:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0xbf7940…
10-08 13:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x0ed00f…
10-07 17:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4cd459…
10-07 17:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x66adc2…
10-07 17:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	92¢	$20	0xf9de54…
10-07 17:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x2d355f…
10-07 17:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x3cddbd…
10-07 17:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x71c612…
10-07 17:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x961d5e…
10-07 17:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xc12557…
10-07 17:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x41be6c…
10-07 17:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xef2381…
10-07 17:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xecbd92…
10-07 17:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc75b56…
10-07 17:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x312c7f…
10-07 17:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x8d5cfa…
10-07 17:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0x8cf583…
10-07 17:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xe04786…
10-07 16:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x548f2a…
10-07 16:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x82c39a…
10-07 16:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3f8384…
10-07 16:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xfd7511…
10-07 16:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x20a3cc…
10-07 16:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8ee0bc…
10-07 16:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x10bcb1…
10-07 16:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdedc6e…
10-06 21:18:11	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,667	0¢	$20	0xcce959…
10-06 21:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe9e6d9…
10-06 21:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x2bde76…
10-06 21:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x200ea7…
10-06 21:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9ca594…
10-06 21:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x996ec8…
10-06 20:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x858eae…
10-06 20:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0xc17a12…
10-06 20:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xd3552a…
10-06 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc9cea9…
10-06 20:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x137007…
10-06 20:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x0bd9c3…
10-06 20:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x03726a…
10-06 20:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0x8702fd…
10-06 20:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe4dc0e…
10-06 20:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x43e162…
10-06 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x2e6ff0…
10-06 20:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	57	66¢	$38	0xc9085c…
10-06 20:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x79ee92…
10-06 20:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb559d3…
10-06 20:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x428048…
10-06 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7937cb…
10-06 19:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xabee56…
10-06 19:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xc0e3e2…
10-06 19:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3acd9c…
10-06 19:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xd2e4ef…
10-06 19:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8c8e7c…
10-06 19:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xba7feb…
10-06 19:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x74e627…
10-06 19:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0x402330…
10-06 19:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xe9574a…
10-06 19:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0x98d4d4…
10-06 19:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x9b4be3…
10-06 18:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe48601…
10-06 18:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x11e9ab…
10-06 18:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xc8998d…
10-06 18:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x47ecfe…
10-06 18:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x83ce56…
10-06 18:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc41951…
10-06 18:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9ed79f…
10-06 18:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xafd765…
10-06 18:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4b2a80…
10-06 17:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8cdb3e…
10-06 17:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x030871…
10-06 17:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5e2439…
10-06 17:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	73¢	$20	0x4693cc…
10-06 17:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x68b1f3…
10-06 17:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x282ab4…
10-06 17:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x04056d…
10-06 17:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x948f0f…
10-06 17:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc1ea95…
10-06 14:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x109500…
10-04 18:42:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe5f8c6…
10-04 18:37:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9184c2…
10-04 18:35:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	37	42¢	$16	0x1f3266…
10-04 18:33:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6e50e7…