Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$256

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

44.9%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$1.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$32

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-19

last 10-22 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 25% -$206

Other

36% 36% -$30

Sports

12% 33% -$18

Politics

10% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+333	$31	8¢	$28	-$3	10-21 18:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,833	$11	0¢	$3	-$8	10-22 04:11
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	10-22 02:43
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+250	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-21 19:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	3	$288	405	405	+0	Down	+$41	10-21 16:49
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET	3	$140	454	454	+0	Down	-$101	10-21 18:36
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET	1	$100	385	0	+385	Up	-$100	10-21 17:33
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9PM ET	4	$96	456	71	+385	Down	-$17	10-22 01:40
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	2	$60	45	45	+0	Down	+$10	10-21 16:53
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$56	59	59	+0	Down	+$6	10-21 16:03
Bulls vs. Raptors	2	$50	32	32	+0	Raptors	+$0	10-21 18:37
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK end in a draw?	2	$50	29	29	+0	No	+$0	10-21 18:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$49	444	111	+333	open	—	10-21 18:41
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	4	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	10-21 18:39
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	3	$36	28	14	+14	Yes	+$2	10-20 06:35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	3	$34	44	12	+32	Yes	-$20	10-20 15:36
Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5	3	$32	34	16	+18	Over	-$12	10-20 13:33
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-21 18:36
South Alabama vs. Marshall: O/U 67.5	3	$30	51	9	+41	Under	-$11	10-20 21:25
Lyon Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva	3	$30	817	0	+817	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	-$20	10-19 10:53
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?	2	$30	19	19	+0	No	$0	10-21 18:36
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 4.5	1	$25	29	0	+29	Under	+$4	10-21 11:56
Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET	1	$25	41	0	+41	Down	-$25	10-22 14:03
Celtics vs. Pistons	2	$22	33	0	+33	Pistons	-$12	10-20 21:25
Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume	3	$21	155	0	+155	Katie Boulter	-$10	10-19 10:55
Wild vs. Oilers	2	$20	22	22	+0	Oilers	$0	10-20 14:19
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5	2	$20	21	21	+0	Under	+$0	10-21 18:36
Steelers vs. Saints	2	$20	16	16	+0	Steelers	$0	10-20 05:13
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	3	$20	11	11	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$0	10-20 15:35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-21 18:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	10-20 02:22
Seoul Knights vs. Anyang	2	$20	18	18	+0	Seoul Knights	$0	10-20 05:14
Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Etcheverry	2	$20	19	19	+0	Mattia Bellucci	$0	10-20 05:19
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5	2	$20	21	21	+0	Over	$0	10-20 03:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 14:03:47	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xdbbd0b…
10-22 04:11:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc9dcd6…
10-22 02:50:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfa39e4…
10-22 02:45:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	1,675	0¢	$5	0x75e8c3…
10-22 02:44:42	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x935efd…
10-22 02:43:17	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x038b9d…
10-22 02:42:45	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9db3b3…
10-22 01:40:24	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x5598af…
10-22 01:38:50	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	285	9¢	$25	0x426881…
10-22 01:32:50	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	71	56¢	$39	0xcdab98…
10-22 01:25:02	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x297863…
10-21 19:14:26	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd8fba9…
10-21 19:12:50	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x31948d…
10-21 19:11:59	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4eeb9b…
10-21 19:11:48	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x24340e…
10-21 19:11:32	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x336549…
10-21 19:11:21	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x91654a…
10-21 19:11:06	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcfdec1…
10-21 19:11:00	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd5674e…
10-21 19:10:51	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdb0fd1…
10-21 19:09:06	Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb037dc…
10-21 19:00:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1,675	1¢	$10	0x657ddd…
10-21 18:49:32	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $3M?	Yes	BUY	535	1¢	$5	0xbad31f…
10-21 18:45:02	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x9235bd…
10-21 18:43:23	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5b55a3…
10-21 18:42:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x5a8e49…
10-21 18:41:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x7e0c62…
10-21 18:40:11	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x6d4ab3…
10-21 18:39:59	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x72d6d8…
10-21 18:39:53	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x8abcac…
10-21 18:39:45	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	14	67¢	$10	0x705f23…
10-21 18:39:38	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xd4b851…
10-21 18:39:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	111	8¢	$9	0xc543ab…
10-21 18:39:15	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0xf862dc…
10-21 18:39:08	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x3557d6…
10-21 18:37:42	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK end in a draw?	No	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0xdbac18…
10-21 18:37:32	Bulls vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	32	79¢	$25	0xd92c16…
10-21 18:36:59	Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5	Under	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x34229b…
10-21 18:36:48	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x2d2e97…
10-21 18:36:38	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xd25d47…
10-21 18:36:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x14d710…
10-21 18:36:12	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	454	4¢	$20	0x219499…
10-21 18:18:33	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xbf3056…
10-21 18:18:24	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	97	21¢	$20	0x350734…
10-21 17:33:27	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x8e8fb3…
10-21 16:53:33	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	45	77¢	$35	0x8e8cba…
10-21 16:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	405	41¢	$165	0xcab02c…
10-21 16:48:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	365	27¢	$98	0x62cc06…
10-21 16:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xc08c02…
10-21 16:13:50	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x64e3cb…
10-21 16:03:50	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	59	52¢	$31	0xe8275a…
10-21 16:00:20	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	43¢	$25	0x10068d…
10-21 15:59:18	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x4cef0f…
10-21 15:58:15	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x080c00…
10-21 15:49:32	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5f6f50…
10-21 15:39:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	177	3¢	$5	0x79e171…
10-21 15:39:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x494514…
10-21 13:35:54	Spread: El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-1.5)	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x02823a…
10-21 12:58:18	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x717c4e…
10-21 12:57:12	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x05be6f…
10-21 12:56:12	Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7f088c…
10-21 11:56:14	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x294a8c…
10-21 11:53:23	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK end in a draw?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x9eefca…
10-21 07:31:14	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8c8f40…
10-21 07:30:39	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xce67e1…
10-21 07:02:57	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5807f8…
10-21 06:22:29	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x60f3da…
10-21 06:21:08	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x003242…
10-21 05:31:21	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7fe113…
10-21 05:30:53	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd41408…
10-21 02:48:41	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xd884b6…
10-21 02:45:45	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5544c2…
10-21 02:45:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Sinja Kraus	Sinja Kraus	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfc817e…
10-21 02:44:17	Bulls vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x8ff0b9…
10-20 21:25:59	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf7c089…
10-20 21:25:02	South Alabama vs. Marshall: O/U 67.5	Under	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x43df0c…
10-20 21:15:08	Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x567134…
10-20 21:14:35	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x1094b4…
10-20 21:13:57	South Alabama vs. Marshall: O/U 67.5	Under	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4aa382…
10-20 21:12:56	South Alabama vs. Marshall: O/U 67.5	Over	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x17a4b8…
10-20 16:48:20	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xa4b326…
10-20 15:36:56	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0x0cbcb0…
10-20 15:35:18	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xdb26bd…
10-20 15:33:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0xbaf4d0…
10-20 15:24:45	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x0b5529…
10-20 15:23:39	Spread: Devils (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x0d9ec4…
10-20 15:23:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x2405fa…
10-20 14:53:03	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xa4db0a…
10-20 14:19:35	Wild vs. Oilers	Wild	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xd03dc5…
10-20 13:33:41	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x8321b6…
10-20 12:56:36	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x849a6c…
10-20 11:30:33	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x344063…
10-20 11:26:06	Wild vs. Oilers	Wild	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x89bf1a…
10-20 07:10:22	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf2d013…
10-20 06:35:07	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x5e5197…
10-20 05:37:35	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x6b5e52…
10-20 05:23:56	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x6c6cac…
10-20 05:22:42	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x8ff6b6…
10-20 05:22:12	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x55a84d…
10-20 05:19:09	Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Etcheverry	Mattia Bellucci	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xaef80b…