Realized P&L
-$180
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
1,481
Trades
5,875
lifetime
Volume
$27.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$54
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 14:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 223 days
Categories
Other
91% 46% +$176
Politics
8% 52% -$298
Tech
0% 12% -$52
Crypto
0% 0% -$6
Sports
0% 20% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 364 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$26 98¢ $-29 -$3 05-02 21:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -15 -$9 62¢ $-9 +$0 05-22 21:13
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -28 -$13 11¢ $-3 +$10 05-15 10:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $3 48¢ $2 -$1 10-01 10:44
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +46 $9 5¢ $2 -$7 10-15 22:27
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -20 -$5 10¢ $-2 +$3 05-06 18:20
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -200 -$2 1¢ $-2 $0 10-28 14:05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -10 -$6 18¢ $-2 +$5 10-01 12:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 +$0 10-27 21:18
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +20 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 08-20 21:25
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No -10 -$7 2¢ $-0 +$7 04-30 17:10
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 12¢ $0 -$2 09-13 18:48