Sane-Herb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.13K

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

190

Trades

1,450

lifetime

Volume

$414.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$286

Open exposure

$5.52K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

55% 69% +$1,833

Politics

38% 58% +$4,571

Crypto

5% 73% -$639

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 64% +$18

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$126

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+4,690	$3,875	82¢	$3.8K	-$53	10-27 22:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,568	$2,366	35¢	$1.3K	-$1,115	10-19 18:04
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	+328	$264	90¢	$297	+$32	10-27 19:51
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+191	$153	80¢	$154	+$1	10-27 19:53
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+14	$1	8¢	$1	+$0	10-11 09:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	29	$24.4K	12,464	12,464	+0	No	+$178	09-16 12:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	18	$24.2K	12,450	12,450	+0	No	+$225	08-16 14:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	22	$21.4K	10,940	10,940	+0	No	+$62	07-09 23:13
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$20.0K	9,836	10,836	-1,000	No	-$140	03-25 08:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	34	$15.0K	10,033	9,700	+333	Yes	-$137	02-28 00:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$13.2K	7,852	7,852	+0	No	-$911	03-23 11:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	7	$12.2K	6,247	6,247	+0	No	+$185	06-18 16:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	17	$11.0K	8,839	4,149	+4,690	open	—	10-27 22:40
Iran leadership change by May 31?	38	$10.6K	7,525	3,994	+3,531	No	+$285	05-29 20:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$9.7K	5,770	5,770	+0	No	+$156	04-01 18:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$9.6K	4,951	4,951	+0	No	+$233	05-31 00:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	15	$9.6K	4,882	4,882	+0	No	+$63	04-22 15:23
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	5	$9.4K	3,200	8,200	-5,000	Yes	+$4,176	02-27 10:03
iran leadership change by march 31	13	$9.0K	5,814	4,814	+1,000	No	+$216	03-25 14:30
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	2	$7.7K	4,710	4,710	+0	open	—	10-10 05:26
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	5	$7.5K	5,116	5,116	+0	open	—	10-21 20:54
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	2	$7.4K	4,509	4,509	+0	open	—	10-08 18:45
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	17	$7.2K	4,604	4,604	+0	Yes	-$735	02-18 13:40
Iran leadership change by June 30?	6	$6.9K	3,558	3,558	+0	No	+$139	06-20 00:11
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	14	$6.8K	5,381	5,381	+0	Yes	+$0	04-15 18:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$6.7K	3,450	3,450	+0	No	+$7	04-28 19:21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$6.6K	3,936	3,936	+0	No	+$36	10-07 19:19
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	2	$6.4K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	10-02 09:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$6.4K	3,349	3,349	+0	No	+$285	07-01 23:10
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$6.3K	6,375	0	+6,375	No	+$60	07-02 00:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	15	$6.3K	3,520	2,901	+620	No	+$31	03-31 10:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$6.2K	3,206	3,206	+0	No	+$4	03-17 21:38
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$5.7K	3,181	3,181	+0	No	+$1	04-28 15:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	19	$5.2K	3,646	3,646	+0	No	+$852	02-01 01:05
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	27	$4.1K	2,334	2,623	-289	No	-$87	03-29 05:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:40:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	103	82¢	$84	0x1a6316…
10-27 22:40:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	457	82¢	$375	0x062eba…
10-27 22:28:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xdca1ad…
10-27 19:53:12	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	80¢	$153	0x88599b…
10-27 19:51:29	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	91¢	$94	0xb7548a…
10-27 19:49:27	Israel military action against Yemen by December 31?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$10	0xf95ab7…
10-27 09:33:32	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	146	90¢	$132	0xbead08…
10-27 09:21:05	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	160	88¢	$141	0x9efb4c…
10-27 08:25:45	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	138	91¢	$125	0x96d758…
10-26 21:28:47	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	256	92¢	$235	0x7e49e7…
10-26 14:49:36	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	82¢	$76	0x73839e…
10-26 05:09:57	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x79ac8f…
10-25 18:41:14	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x2c0f04…
10-25 17:00:57	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xb1b68f…
10-25 16:39:41	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	199	91¢	$181	0xa47f6b…
10-25 16:17:17	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0xc1d01b…
10-25 13:29:32	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x2aa219…
10-24 19:02:56	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xf6f228…
10-22 20:07:41	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xdd4d06…
10-22 14:27:24	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xb75fcd…
10-22 13:12:39	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x7a0a18…
10-21 21:01:36	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	98	91¢	$90	0xa0d0a2…
10-21 20:54:57	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	5,019	70¢	$3,535	0x05d444…
10-19 18:04:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	40¢	$56	0x69db5d…
10-19 18:04:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	40¢	$36	0x7d8fc6…
10-14 22:27:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	BUY	188	38¢	$72	0x8302e5…
10-12 19:42:42	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	97	73¢	$71	0x1013b8…
10-11 15:49:39	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xa1996e…
10-11 15:49:30	US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfa1278…
10-11 15:49:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c18a5…
10-11 14:37:10	Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$0	0x2318a3…
10-11 14:37:00	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xe33b47…
10-11 10:27:41	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0xa16af2…
10-11 09:41:22	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	72	73¢	$52	0x7e8ea9…
10-11 09:39:52	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfccfde…
10-11 09:39:24	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa64613…
10-11 09:36:19	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2b5d96…
10-10 18:58:46	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	5,019	77¢	$3,865	0xf32b00…
10-10 05:26:57	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	4,710	82¢	$3,862	0xc083d6…
10-10 01:29:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x67f7da…
10-09 08:57:42	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	4,710	82¢	$3,862	0xa91ee3…
10-08 18:45:44	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	4,509	81¢	$3,653	0x2c6f75…
10-08 07:37:57	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	4,509	82¢	$3,698	0x3094ca…
10-08 00:29:05	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	SELL	281	57¢	$160	0x6f7bec…
10-07 21:08:14	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	SELL	214	51¢	$109	0x30ce3e…
10-07 21:07:02	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	SELL	650	61¢	$399	0x238985…
10-07 20:11:28	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	BUY	318	51¢	$162	0x1a26d1…
10-07 19:48:31	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	118	50¢	$59	0x952d70…
10-07 19:34:22	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	SELL	56	56¢	$31	0x72d45f…
10-07 19:29:22	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	96	46¢	$44	0x7f7601…
10-07 19:19:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,480	85¢	$2,951	0x2b81aa…
10-07 19:18:10	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	SELL	130	58¢	$75	0xafd7d1…
10-07 19:16:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0x7ed7b3…
10-07 18:58:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x832497…
10-07 18:55:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x2ed21d…
10-07 18:03:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0xf29f8a…
10-07 17:55:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	233	85¢	$198	0xed172e…
10-07 17:54:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xf809c9…
10-07 17:52:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	79	85¢	$67	0x2f46dc…
10-07 17:46:49	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x66a0c6…
10-07 17:38:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x795fe8…
10-07 17:35:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xa793d0…
10-07 11:19:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,936	84¢	$3,302	0xaa555f…
10-05 10:22:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	49¢	$92	0xe11014…
10-04 20:01:23	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 15	No	BUY	799	92¢	$735	0x97ceee…
10-04 18:46:11	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	780	94¢	$733	0x3790ce…
10-04 17:43:55	Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	780	95¢	$741	0x5d2f38…
10-04 15:42:01	will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	No	SELL	65	80¢	$52	0x81f08b…
10-04 15:30:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	345	84¢	$290	0xda5ff6…
10-04 15:02:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xdd091c…
10-04 11:25:17	will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	No	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0x66af42…
10-04 11:24:49	will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xa0c6fe…
10-04 11:24:47	will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xba91b2…
10-04 10:36:05	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	600	89¢	$534	0x341543…
10-04 07:24:34	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	600	89¢	$534	0xff2df6…
10-03 19:27:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	462	63¢	$291	0x37a111…
10-03 18:54:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x954b24…
10-03 18:06:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	248	63¢	$156	0x083ef8…
10-02 09:37:47	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3,400	94¢	$3,196	0xc08118…
10-02 08:56:15	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	3,400	94¢	$3,196	0x3ce68a…
10-02 05:41:36	will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	No	BUY	1	83¢	$0	0xb3b16a…
10-02 05:22:06	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	90	80¢	$72	0x14e577…
10-02 05:14:05	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0xe961e8…
10-01 18:44:18	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	562	77¢	$432	0xa30015…
10-01 15:09:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1,110	93¢	$1,032	0xccbfb7…
10-01 10:29:03	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2,140	66¢	$1,412	0x4d0a72…
10-01 01:15:00	will oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	No	BUY	2,140	66¢	$1,412	0x1ac39e…
09-30 23:49:48	will texas enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	No	SELL	349	78¢	$272	0xdaae46…
09-30 23:07:14	will texas enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	No	BUY	349	78¢	$272	0x4340fc…
09-30 21:29:18	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x1560fb…
09-30 19:18:08	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	161	77¢	$124	0x7b6749…
09-30 19:06:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	479	88¢	$422	0x18df64…
09-30 18:53:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	148	88¢	$130	0xa945e6…
09-30 15:25:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,845	86¢	$2,447	0x875957…
09-30 15:09:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	840	86¢	$722	0x9acdd2…
09-30 02:37:21	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	Yes	BUY	230	70¢	$161	0x2cb7f4…
09-29 23:24:47	trump names ai czar by september 30 2026 20260928	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xc05837…
09-29 22:59:53	trump names ai czar by september 30 2026 20260928	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xb04992…
09-29 22:46:48	Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x974b81…
09-29 22:02:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,685	86¢	$3,169	0x91f50d…