Sane-Herb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

+$196

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,128

lifetime

Volume

$261.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$232

Open exposure

$2.30K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-30 23:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Politics

46% — —

Crypto

8% 100% +$73

Sports

1% 100% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+2,319	$2,108	99¢	$2.3K	+$196	06-25 16:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$20.0K	9,836	10,836	-1,000	open	—	03-25 08:47
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	19	$18.3K	9,340	9,340	+0	open	—	06-28 11:44
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	34	$15.0K	10,033	9,700	+333	open	—	02-28 00:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$13.2K	7,852	7,852	+0	open	—	03-23 11:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$11.9K	5,902	6,247	-345	open	—	06-18 16:35
Iran leadership change by May 31?	35	$10.1K	6,932	3,994	+2,938	open	—	05-29 20:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$9.7K	5,770	5,770	+0	open	—	04-01 18:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$9.6K	4,951	4,951	+0	open	—	05-31 00:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	15	$9.6K	4,882	4,882	+0	open	—	04-22 15:23
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	5	$9.4K	3,200	8,200	-5,000	open	—	02-27 10:03
iran leadership change by march 31	13	$9.0K	5,814	4,814	+1,000	open	—	03-25 14:30
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	17	$7.2K	4,604	4,604	+0	open	—	02-18 13:40
Iran leadership change by June 30?	6	$6.9K	3,558	3,558	+0	open	—	06-20 00:11
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	14	$6.8K	5,381	5,381	+0	open	—	04-15 18:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$6.7K	3,450	3,450	+0	open	—	04-28 19:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	15	$6.3K	3,520	2,901	+620	open	—	03-31 10:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$6.2K	3,206	3,206	+0	open	—	03-17 21:38
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$5.7K	3,181	3,181	+0	open	—	04-28 15:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	19	$5.2K	3,646	3,646	+0	open	—	02-01 01:05
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	27	$4.1K	2,334	2,623	-289	open	—	03-29 05:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	8	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-22 04:02
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	11	$3.9K	2,546	2,546	+0	open	—	03-18 22:00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	4	$3.2K	1,597	1,597	-0	open	—	02-16 03:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$3.1K	3,349	0	+3,349	open	—	06-25 16:03
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	11	$2.8K	3,071	3,171	-100	open	—	02-13 17:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-15 19:36
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$2.6K	2,850	0	+2,850	open	—	01-16 16:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$2.5K	1,574	1,200	+374	open	—	05-16 09:32
Iran leadership change by March 13?	5	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-14 15:15
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-27 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 23:37:22	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	965	93¢	$897	0x9a1a55…
06-29 23:28:41	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,309	98¢	$1,283	0x5abaec…
06-28 11:44:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	3,940	98¢	$3,854	0xbf43b2…
06-28 10:30:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x887f4c…
06-27 23:17:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1,520	96¢	$1,459	0x1c48b2…
06-27 21:26:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xf0006c…
06-27 18:13:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1,322	98¢	$1,301	0x274880…
06-26 05:38:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	501	96¢	$480	0xf52e63…
06-26 04:12:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x29189d…
06-25 22:49:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	475	99¢	$468	0xf1a54c…
06-25 16:03:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$363	0xfd697e…
06-25 15:55:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1,352	98¢	$1,329	0xac61d6…
06-22 23:55:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,050	94¢	$987	0x384c10…
06-22 23:46:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	820	98¢	$801	0x89b079…
06-22 08:41:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	701	97¢	$683	0xea1faf…
06-22 07:00:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x339c66…
06-22 00:57:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	900	98¢	$878	0x06605e…
06-22 00:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	539	94¢	$507	0x4da04c…
06-22 00:28:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	500	98¢	$488	0x7acd8e…
06-22 00:05:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xddc8ad…
06-21 16:36:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	3,600	98¢	$3,514	0x1b3bcd…
06-21 01:54:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x08377f…
06-20 07:26:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x93ce93…
06-20 07:25:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x52ccf6…
06-20 07:11:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xa7dc2e…
06-20 07:11:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xd8d90d…
06-20 05:47:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xeb722b…
06-20 00:11:23	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	3,536	99¢	$3,500	0x80b31b…
06-18 21:10:01	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	1,306	99¢	$1,290	0x5636f3…
06-18 20:15:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	2,660	98¢	$2,601	0xf9cacd…
06-18 16:35:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1,447	99¢	$1,437	0xf855c2…
06-18 01:17:02	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdefcfb…
06-18 00:42:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	330	76¢	$251	0x457945…
06-18 00:00:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	2,360	97¢	$2,299	0xccd1d9…
06-17 23:32:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	4,800	99¢	$4,757	0xf603ed…
06-16 23:04:22	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0x8068ff…
06-13 18:47:30	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xe920f8…
06-05 22:03:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	900	94¢	$849	0xc4f838…
06-05 16:06:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	2,350	97¢	$2,284	0x5f378e…
06-05 05:13:28	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0x5a1373…
06-04 12:07:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x9dc8f5…
06-04 12:07:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6144a4…
06-04 12:06:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x6d755e…
06-04 12:06:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0x1bdcb6…
06-04 12:06:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0xc63cd9…
06-04 12:05:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$63	0x4c8396…
06-04 12:02:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xdd1fce…
06-04 12:02:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdfeb4a…
06-04 12:01:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xecbc46…
06-04 12:01:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x515165…
06-04 12:00:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x1aac70…
06-04 12:00:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x8befe2…
06-04 12:00:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x30d724…
06-04 12:00:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0xdd4729…
06-04 12:00:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0xb3f836…
06-04 11:59:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0xb70d5d…
06-04 11:59:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0x8b707e…
06-04 11:59:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0x7eacd6…
06-04 11:59:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0x8fba4d…
06-04 11:59:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xce6d9f…
06-04 11:59:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0x1f1ebc…
06-04 11:59:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0x2eb567…
06-04 11:58:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$65	0xf3ce89…
06-04 11:58:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x93ffed…
06-04 11:57:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0090a6…
06-04 11:55:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0x8021e6…
06-04 11:54:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x24ef70…
06-04 11:54:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xed1ff3…
06-04 11:54:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xbd7c6e…
06-03 14:47:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1,002	97¢	$971	0x3383dd…
06-02 20:49:35	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	1,070	94¢	$1,006	0x58a95e…
06-01 14:09:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1,650	96¢	$1,584	0x92b6d5…
05-31 15:00:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	849	91¢	$773	0x64a3d3…
05-31 00:53:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	775	100¢	$773	0x4d8529…
05-29 20:50:25	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6cb731…
05-29 20:09:23	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	1,344	99¢	$1,330	0x9f1cd6…
05-29 20:08:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,300	99¢	$1,291	0xa5ef19…
05-29 01:14:15	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xaffc63…
05-29 01:14:15	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0xa8f1ac…
05-29 00:15:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	448	99¢	$442	0x32048b…
05-29 00:09:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,140	99¢	$1,127	0x82a0b4…
05-29 00:06:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,075	99¢	$2,063	0x216850…
05-28 16:20:25	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	806	99¢	$796	0xa39b84…
05-28 12:50:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$796	0x3260b5…
05-28 04:47:33	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x5fafb3…
05-27 21:17:12	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	1,180	92¢	$1,086	0xfbaaff…
05-24 16:45:28	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	164	98¢	$161	0x3b9fb1…
05-23 20:46:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0x1170b4…
05-23 20:45:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	158	84¢	$133	0xd2963b…
05-23 20:42:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	206	88¢	$180	0x6042fb…
05-23 13:42:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	585	95¢	$554	0x37b500…
05-22 12:19:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x1c2aa9…
05-22 11:21:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	900	94¢	$849	0x53e482…
05-22 09:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,760	96¢	$2,655	0x4d8a6f…
05-22 04:02:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,990	0x3c2d7e…
05-21 21:16:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xb6f419…
05-16 09:32:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	374	94¢	$352	0xbf8c6e…
05-16 09:25:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	730	100¢	$729	0x7c9b06…
05-07 04:54:11	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0xbaf84c…
05-06 22:34:20	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb53811…