Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

137

541 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.11K

$4.66K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-28 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 24% +$15

Other

14% 50% +$12

Politics

5% 33% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$520	328	322	+6	Down	+$30	04-26 20:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	9	$431	238	238	+0	Yes	+$15	10-28 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$218	190	138	+52	Up	-$1	04-26 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	3	$218	149	134	+15	Down	+$16	04-26 19:42
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	2	$208	111	111	+0	No	+$8	10-20 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$186	135	118	+16	Up	+$6	04-26 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$186	106	106	+0	Up	+$6	09-11 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$145	362	112	+250	Down	+$58	09-11 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$122	96	49	+46	Up	+$7	04-27 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	7	$108	95	69	+26	Up	+$3	04-26 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:40 UTC	2	$108	129	0	+129	Down	+$21	04-21 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$103	61	61	+0	Down	+$1	09-11 07:53
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	5	$96	59	59	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$87	148	48	+100	Down	+$5	09-10 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$87	50	49	+1	Up	+$8	04-26 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$80	138	0	+138	Down	-$80	09-11 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$71	97	0	+97	Up	+$26	04-26 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 05:30 UTC	7	$62	219	0	+219	Up	$0	04-24 05:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	3	$52	35	35	+0	open	—	10-28 12:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:15 UTC	1	$50	100	0	+100	Up	-$50	09-16 18:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:45 UTC	1	$50	64	0	+64	Down	-$50	04-21 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:10 UTC	2	$46	105	0	+105	Down	+$10	09-16 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$41	117	0	+117	Down	+$14	09-10 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$41	173	0	+173	Up	-$12	09-10 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	6	$41	229	0	+229	Up	-$9	09-10 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	5	$40	267	0	+267	Up	+$14	09-10 15:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 06:15 UTC	3	$39	147	0	+147	Down	+$2	04-24 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$32	20	20	+0	Down	+$7	09-11 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$30	119	0	+119	Up	-$9	09-10 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$30	76	0	+76	Down	+$15	09-10 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:53:56	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xf2eec0…
10-28 12:53:19	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	35	83¢	$29	0xdc56ca…
10-28 12:52:17	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0xd146aa…
10-28 12:51:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0x302774…
10-28 12:50:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	139	94¢	$131	0x1c8d5f…
10-25 16:40:24	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb33cd2…
10-25 16:39:50	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb2ae18…
10-25 16:39:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x67aa5e…
10-24 17:27:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xd2a881…
10-24 17:25:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x046866…
10-24 17:22:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xd7b8ec…
10-24 17:19:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x1f4d73…
10-24 15:56:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x78a476…
10-24 15:55:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xad8bc9…
10-24 08:03:26	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x12e608…
10-24 08:02:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x224dcf…
10-24 07:58:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x8920ea…
10-24 07:57:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x481d71…
10-24 07:53:32	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	33	81¢	$27	0xe2d125…
10-24 07:50:21	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0xa78bdc…
10-24 07:18:42	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf6d4bd…
10-24 07:14:29	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xcb5a90…
10-24 07:12:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9f0d9f…
10-24 06:51:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x375936…
10-21 07:47:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcb1ac9…
10-20 16:41:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x725c36…
10-20 14:55:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x50d1a4…
10-20 14:45:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	123	88¢	$108	0xfd7a87…
10-20 14:44:00	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	SELL	111	97¢	$108	0x15b78d…
10-20 14:43:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc7bf12…
10-19 16:36:15	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9341ee…
10-19 16:35:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7f57cc…
10-17 10:44:29	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xb4d93a…
10-17 07:09:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xb0a5a9…
09-16 18:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x8a7696…
09-16 18:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0x205241…
09-16 18:10:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xc9a051…
09-16 18:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0xd6dbe4…
09-15 18:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xe73dce…
09-15 17:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xb96835…
09-15 17:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x80fe80…
09-15 17:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x30e34b…
09-11 08:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xc51cb6…
09-11 08:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xbd77cf…
09-11 08:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x40f554…
09-11 08:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbd7aa9…
09-11 08:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0x4581c8…
09-11 07:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa53c8d…
09-11 07:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	61	86¢	$52	0xa09c4b…
09-11 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	61	84¢	$51	0x530978…
09-11 07:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3325b3…
09-11 06:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x93be81…
09-11 06:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xed35b7…
09-11 05:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	106	91¢	$96	0x27dfc1…
09-11 05:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	106	85¢	$90	0x5d81fb…
09-11 05:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x90fd43…
09-11 05:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	112	91¢	$102	0x9512fc…
09-11 05:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	112	34¢	$38	0x1d561c…
09-11 05:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc25919…
09-10 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdb92f1…
09-10 18:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x4baba3…
09-10 18:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x0ebeb1…
09-10 18:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf17a6c…
09-10 18:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x385013…
09-10 18:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd45c5a…
09-10 18:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd6d643…
09-10 18:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xba1232…
09-10 18:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd01314…
09-10 18:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb6ccbe…
09-10 18:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe1ebae…
09-10 18:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xe9b569…
09-10 18:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xaa7127…
09-10 17:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0xb5a24b…
09-10 17:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x64bf15…
09-10 17:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe0f3fe…
09-10 17:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd88816…
09-10 16:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6902cd…
09-10 16:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbecd56…
09-10 16:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x962fa6…
09-10 16:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8d0ac0…
09-10 16:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe5593f…
09-10 16:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0feb96…
09-10 16:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xdb9cdf…
09-10 16:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xec63be…
09-10 16:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa55ec8…
09-10 16:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x706183…
09-10 16:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1c3f6d…
09-10 16:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x56b371…
09-10 16:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x00c346…
09-10 16:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbaca17…
09-10 16:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xce629e…
09-10 16:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xc48a19…
09-10 16:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x077ca1…
09-10 16:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8328b2…
09-10 16:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x78baac…
09-10 16:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xbbb675…
09-10 15:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbf11f9…
09-10 15:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x91aa76…
09-10 15:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x33397c…
09-10 15:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	181	3¢	$5	0x6140f0…