Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

455

Trades

1,030

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-31 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

85% 35% +$235

Crypto

14% 36% -$273

Sports

1% 12% -$29

Politics

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+10	$4	29¢	$3	-$1	10-13 08:40
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+30	$3	6¢	$2	-$1	10-13 08:39
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	+30	$6	2¢	$0	-$6	10-14 16:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	23	$360	1,466	1,228	+238	No	-$181	07-09 16:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	10	$349	320	320	+0	Yes	+$9	07-10 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	18	$339	450	450	+0	Yes	+$107	07-24 11:41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	8	$338	643	643	+0	Yes	+$164	07-29 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	2	$201	114	114	+0	Yes	+$1	07-18 06:35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$199	103	103	+0	No	-$1	07-06 13:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	7	$186	124	124	+0	Yes	+$16	07-14 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	7	$186	280	280	+0	Yes	+$136	08-14 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:20 UTC	5	$154	206	103	+103	Up	-$46	07-12 08:23
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	8	$147	122	122	+0	No	-$3	07-07 13:19
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	11	$143	254	143	+111	No	-$8	07-17 14:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	5	$139	159	159	+0	Yes	+$20	09-08 16:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	9	$137	750	608	+142	No	+$61	07-24 13:40
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	2	$134	75	75	+0	Argentina	+$14	07-19 21:19
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	3	$132	108	108	+0	Yes	+$62	07-19 21:08
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	6	$127	155	155	+0	Yes	+$86	09-30 01:15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	3	$123	62	62	+0	No	+$0	07-03 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	8	$122	296	95	+201	No	-$76	07-14 15:50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	4	$117	94	94	+0	Yes	+$17	07-19 13:16
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026?	2	$117	60	60	+0	No	-$1	07-07 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:30 UTC	4	$112	131	110	+22	Up	+$2	07-12 08:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	6	$103	122	122	+0	No	-$9	07-09 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 07:50 UTC	1	$100	599	0	+599	Up	-$100	07-23 07:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	12	$96	310	90	+220	No	-$17	07-27 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	13	$96	998	433	+565	No	+$8	07-11 14:48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	7	$96	96	96	+0	Yes	+$17	07-08 15:00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	07-13 14:01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	2	$94	249	0	+249	No	-$94	07-29 06:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	4	$91	58	58	+0	Yes	+$24	08-03 16:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	14	$84	108	76	+32	No	+$16	07-08 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x088f15…
10-31 15:52:18	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x029779…
10-31 15:50:58	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x83e9b5…
10-31 15:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc795d9…
10-31 15:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x84e318…
10-31 15:45:57	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf1be5a…
10-31 15:44:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xb0e73a…
10-31 08:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xd827de…
10-31 08:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xbd1fd3…
10-31 07:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xde0234…
10-31 07:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	6¢	$5	0xaaeec4…
10-31 03:02:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x5ac25c…
10-31 01:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xb0a677…
10-31 01:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x66b313…
10-31 01:44:45	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0xb9ca82…
10-31 01:43:52	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5ab2ea…
10-31 01:39:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	11¢	$10	0x407f59…
10-31 01:38:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0xe4c5ed…
10-30 22:33:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4298eb…
10-29 05:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x0dd7d8…
10-28 12:50:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x95ae57…
10-28 10:15:58	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x017c76…
10-28 08:41:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x68ddce…
10-27 15:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x4226a8…
10-27 15:37:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x995005…
10-27 15:23:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x7e04ee…
10-27 15:18:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x526285…
10-27 13:21:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xcca258…
10-24 08:55:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x33966d…
10-23 12:27:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3894fc…
10-21 15:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	12¢	$4	0x61f9f3…
10-21 15:39:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xe06ab8…
10-21 05:13:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0xde2904…
10-19 14:53:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0x6b6d3d…
10-19 14:53:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x2f844f…
10-17 06:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xd5931b…
10-16 08:51:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	8¢	$5	0x11148b…
10-16 07:53:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x4e8540…
10-16 01:32:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x13b129…
10-16 01:26:40	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	0¢	$0	0x30fe2f…
10-16 01:26:30	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	1¢	$2	0x054279…
10-14 16:41:34	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xf8ebcf…
10-14 16:40:36	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x174c13…
10-14 12:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	14¢	$7	0x4c177a…
10-14 12:46:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0xef6373…
10-13 08:40:07	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xffb4f8…
10-13 08:39:38	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x43fe61…
10-09 17:40:32	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xabd1a1…
10-09 15:29:28	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x720681…
10-09 15:24:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x3dfa6e…
10-09 15:21:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x95fb81…
10-09 14:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$7	0x4b04bb…
10-09 14:36:49	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x324ed7…
10-09 14:31:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	47¢	$26	0xe2fe26…
10-08 14:52:11	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xf6b5c0…
10-08 14:51:59	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xfd38ac…
10-07 11:35:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x27eba7…
10-07 11:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x4251ec…
10-07 11:34:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xfb63b2…
10-07 11:34:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x43c033…
10-07 11:33:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xf82153…
10-07 11:32:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x76ce7d…
10-07 08:30:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x57f64f…
10-07 07:19:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x5b11e6…
10-07 07:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7dd341…
10-06 11:09:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xddabe1…
10-06 11:09:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xd4fa95…
10-06 10:26:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xb729f0…
10-03 17:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	2¢	$5	0x1aa191…
10-03 02:18:08	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xb7b7eb…
10-02 16:20:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6fb5e5…
10-02 16:19:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x1fa3e2…
10-02 15:58:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x1414ac…
10-02 15:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	11¢	$12	0x06c81e…
10-02 09:25:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xc18cb1…
10-01 13:09:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x8f6cc6…
10-01 02:02:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x6bf79e…
09-30 18:15:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x2e583f…
09-30 01:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x1f8638…
09-30 01:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xaa815c…
09-30 01:16:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x73aa8b…
09-30 01:15:05	Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x358500…
09-29 22:41:29	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd52efd…
09-29 22:40:54	Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	77¢	$69	0x3219c9…
09-29 06:19:32	Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x37f689…
09-29 06:17:18	Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x099bb9…
09-28 11:45:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	4¢	$5	0x7f3f4b…
09-28 07:52:50	Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	12¢	$7	0x89de7f…
09-25 06:59:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x3e406e…
09-24 15:00:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xfa5643…
09-24 14:58:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x622544…
09-23 17:35:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4dbfe9…
09-23 12:07:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x174e5c…
09-20 23:14:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xd06bf4…
09-20 22:28:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x84afd8…
09-20 22:11:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0e2411…
09-20 17:58:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x887277…
09-19 14:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	23¢	$7	0x86bc2a…
09-19 13:59:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x453395…
09-19 08:41:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x6c33b5…