Scented-Pants — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$281

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-11 00:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-0

Politics

27% 0% $-0

Crypto

21% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	82¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 00:14
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes		-1	$-1	99¢	$-1	$-0	06-03 00:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-13 04:06
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 03:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 00:59
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 03:22
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-11 00:57
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:55
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:38
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:34
will trump post president djt on truth social this week march 15	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 00:36
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 02:58
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:26
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:54
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:28
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 00:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:30
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:04
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 00:32
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	02-11 00:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 00:57:45	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x1ebcb2…
06-11 00:41:19	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4e0070…
06-10 00:39:27	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x26ac4a…
06-10 00:25:30	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x126a4a…
06-09 00:23:49	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc8af71…
06-09 00:15:54	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd2ed5d…
06-08 00:19:48	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6c98d6…
06-08 00:13:42	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3a9037…
06-05 00:36:24	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb1a3d8…
06-05 00:35:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x35186a…
06-05 00:27:31	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe3b966…
06-05 00:19:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x14ebd4…
06-03 00:38:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x81e47e…
06-03 00:37:44	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1c8a18…
06-03 00:20:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xffd159…
06-02 00:16:37	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xeccee7…
06-02 00:14:19	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x3bce14…
06-02 00:01:17	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1827a2…
06-01 00:47:26	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x3eac11…
06-01 00:45:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1fe9ea…
06-01 00:26:26	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6a45d3…
06-01 00:20:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4933c9…
05-30 00:23:55	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6ffc63…
05-30 00:02:31	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a7ce8…
05-29 00:37:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf8a960…
05-29 00:35:57	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6579f5…
05-29 00:22:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3dffb4…
05-29 00:18:08	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa70d16…
05-28 00:55:32	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3c9507…
05-28 00:54:08	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x57d7f0…
05-28 00:26:40	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf6f68c…
05-27 00:27:21	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x3aa424…
05-27 00:08:37	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2703c0…
05-26 00:40:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa57146…
05-26 00:40:12	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x753265…
05-26 00:25:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x59185c…
05-26 00:19:02	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42bf17…
05-22 00:39:26	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x5e68bf…
05-22 00:18:02	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x465e02…
05-21 00:52:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8d6b85…
05-21 00:30:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2f69fe…
05-20 00:37:36	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0eef4e…
05-20 00:35:37	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe3c692…
05-20 00:17:28	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x35e050…
05-20 00:14:18	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe15981…
05-18 00:57:29	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf8f361…
05-18 00:48:49	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0a6801…
05-16 00:22:53	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf4ad2f…
05-16 00:20:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe576de…
05-16 00:14:21	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a0e9e…
05-16 00:09:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6ee5df…
05-15 00:57:23	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xab57b6…
05-15 00:55:01	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd31901…
05-15 00:34:48	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbc1a1c…
05-15 00:27:15	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbc6215…
05-14 00:35:05	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x0bf545…
05-14 00:32:03	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc2f06f…
05-14 00:23:05	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x16905b…
05-14 00:18:59	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c1970…
05-13 01:00:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x5213d3…
05-13 00:36:03	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x26c8cf…
05-12 00:42:03	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x880920…
05-12 00:39:13	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd373e8…
05-12 00:20:57	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe4b228…
05-12 00:18:27	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa467b1…
05-08 01:23:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7e58e4…
05-08 01:16:51	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x111955…
05-08 01:12:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6cf8d0…
05-08 00:50:23	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbfbfea…
05-06 00:26:10	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x49b9cb…
05-06 00:14:30	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbfdd36…
05-05 00:07:58	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x62d2ee…
04-30 01:43:26	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd31fb0…
04-30 01:40:30	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8e2420…
04-30 00:29:24	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f2c28…
04-30 00:23:12	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x82dd23…
04-29 00:38:08	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9c7308…
04-29 00:36:24	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x86c242…
04-29 00:30:26	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe7a368…
04-29 00:25:18	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e0add…
04-28 00:44:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5e14e7…
04-28 00:42:22	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1dc9c0…
04-28 00:36:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa62193…
04-28 00:29:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x494511…
04-27 00:37:26	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc5697f…
04-27 00:27:18	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x027188…
04-27 00:18:50	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6efa1e…
04-25 00:57:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa63a45…
04-25 00:54:40	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x608ff7…
04-25 00:47:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x95b1b5…
04-25 00:33:08	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcba06…
04-24 00:47:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x784727…
04-24 00:46:02	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc54062…
04-24 00:37:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa4c071…
04-24 00:28:10	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf923e8…
04-23 08:56:42	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x185e2c…
04-23 08:56:00	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x92d85b…
04-23 08:53:56	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa66dc5…
04-23 08:49:52	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf4e68c…
04-22 08:25:32	OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe11052…