Scented-Pants — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

Trades

329

lifetime

Volume

$329

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-02 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-0

Politics

30% 0% $-0

Crypto

18% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	90¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 00:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-13 04:06
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 03:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 00:59
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 03:22
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-11 00:57
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:55
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:38
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:34
will trump post president djt on truth social this week march 15	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 00:36
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 02:58
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:26
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:54
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:28
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 00:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:30
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:55
will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-16 00:43
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 00:47
iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-29 00:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:04
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:53:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8fc983…
07-02 00:41:17	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xee5c68…
07-02 00:34:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x791325…
07-02 00:22:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x113dac…
07-01 00:34:17	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x44d033…
07-01 00:24:26	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d9165…
07-01 00:14:55	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x87d371…
06-30 23:56:41	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x203669…
06-30 00:44:01	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4d437b…
06-30 00:32:08	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0232b0…
06-30 00:28:23	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb3840d…
06-30 00:21:41	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xca5b2e…
06-29 00:53:14	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd4cf36…
06-29 00:42:17	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8b62ed…
06-27 00:47:20	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x9e71a9…
06-27 00:46:37	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xf2f124…
06-27 00:35:25	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x62daba…
06-27 00:31:52	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6cb64e…
06-27 00:27:13	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1fdb9b…
06-26 01:11:20	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6cb362…
06-26 01:05:37	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xec8159…
06-25 00:47:02	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0cd23a…
06-25 00:39:14	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x42559a…
06-24 00:52:49	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x646ea7…
06-24 00:46:28	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x175bb8…
06-24 00:43:10	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x601da9…
06-24 00:32:13	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x830b88…
06-23 00:52:55	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc211b1…
06-23 00:46:59	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe55f94…
06-23 00:41:50	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd32767…
06-23 00:30:25	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfac873…
06-22 00:47:26	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x719bdb…
06-22 00:37:59	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf611f9…
06-22 00:33:29	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xda28a4…
06-22 00:27:40	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf025b7…
06-21 00:31:37	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaf0208…
06-21 00:21:17	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x678f3d…
06-18 00:44:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 19	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9492be…
06-18 00:38:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 19	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe2511e…
06-17 00:45:11	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7dd4df…
06-17 00:37:25	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x675063…
06-17 00:31:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf610f7…
06-17 00:21:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x40272c…
06-16 00:43:52	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb90093…
06-16 00:16:06	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9fc16f…
06-13 00:54:22	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x4d436a…
06-13 00:42:55	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x94dd49…
06-13 00:38:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x496a31…
06-12 00:55:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x981972…
06-12 00:26:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5fc064…
06-11 00:57:45	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x1ebcb2…
06-11 00:41:19	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4e0070…
06-10 00:39:27	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x26ac4a…
06-10 00:25:30	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x126a4a…
06-09 00:23:49	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc8af71…
06-09 00:15:54	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd2ed5d…
06-08 00:19:48	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6c98d6…
06-08 00:13:42	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3a9037…
06-05 00:36:24	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb1a3d8…
06-05 00:35:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x35186a…
06-05 00:27:31	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe3b966…
06-05 00:19:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x14ebd4…
06-03 00:38:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x81e47e…
06-03 00:37:44	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1c8a18…
06-03 00:20:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xffd159…
06-02 00:16:37	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xeccee7…
06-02 00:14:19	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x3bce14…
06-02 00:01:17	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1827a2…
06-01 00:47:26	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x3eac11…
06-01 00:45:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1fe9ea…
06-01 00:26:26	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6a45d3…
06-01 00:20:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4933c9…
05-30 00:23:55	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6ffc63…
05-30 00:02:31	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a7ce8…
05-29 00:37:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf8a960…
05-29 00:35:57	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6579f5…
05-29 00:22:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3dffb4…
05-29 00:18:08	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa70d16…
05-28 00:55:32	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3c9507…
05-28 00:54:08	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x57d7f0…
05-28 00:26:40	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf6f68c…
05-27 00:27:21	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x3aa424…
05-27 00:08:37	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2703c0…
05-26 00:40:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa57146…
05-26 00:40:12	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x753265…
05-26 00:25:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x59185c…
05-26 00:19:02	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42bf17…
05-22 00:39:26	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x5e68bf…
05-22 00:18:02	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x465e02…
05-21 00:52:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8d6b85…
05-21 00:30:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2f69fe…
05-20 00:37:36	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0eef4e…
05-20 00:35:37	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe3c692…
05-20 00:17:28	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x35e050…
05-20 00:14:18	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe15981…
05-18 00:57:29	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf8f361…
05-18 00:48:49	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0a6801…
05-16 00:22:53	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf4ad2f…
05-16 00:20:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe576de…
05-16 00:14:21	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a0e9e…