Realized P&L
+$472
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
1,547
Trades
2,839
lifetime
Volume
$91.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$73
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-16 07:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 228 days
Categories
Other
65% 56% +$775
Crypto
22% 67% -$66
Politics
8% 51% -$269
Tech
3% 100% +$13
Sports
2% 67% +$13
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +62 $40 72¢ $45 +$5 10-03 14:54
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -13 -$8 100¢ $-13 -$5 06-14 00:03
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +15 $5 32¢ $5 $0 10-13 10:13
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655 Yes +15 $5 30¢ $5 $0 08-17 13:56
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +33 $5 8¢ $3 -$2 09-03 06:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -14 -$4 15¢ $-2 +$2 05-24 04:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +4 $1 15¢ $1 $0 08-08 13:38
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -7 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 00:04
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -17 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 00:04