Squeaky-Ark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,442

lifetime

Volume

$4.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 08-13 14:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 44% +$2

Other

9% 50% $-1

Politics

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773220800	10	$90	59	59	+1	open	—	03-11 09:24
btc updown 5m 1773228300	11	$73	84	50	+34	open	—	03-11 11:29
btc updown 5m 1773223500	2	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	03-11 10:10
btc updown 5m 1773223200	2	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	03-11 10:06
btc updown 5m 1773222600	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-11 09:54
btc updown 15m 1773451800	10	$53	100	99	+1	open	—	03-14 01:41
btc updown 5m 1773222000	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	03-11 09:45
btc updown 5m 1773072900	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	03-09 16:20
btc updown 5m 1773221700	2	$52	29	28	+0	open	—	03-11 09:39
btc updown 5m 1773228600	6	$52	37	37	+0	open	—	03-11 11:33
btc updown 5m 1773073500	3	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	03-09 16:30
btc updown 5m 1773155700	11	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	03-10 15:19
btc updown 5m 1773072600	8	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	03-09 16:15
btc updown 5m 1773070500	6	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	03-09 15:39
btc updown 5m 1773064800	4	$42	24	24	+0	open	—	03-09 14:07
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	8	$39	181	103	+79	open	—	04-23 16:13
btc updown 5m 1773078600	13	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	03-09 17:53
btc updown 5m 1773073200	7	$36	32	25	+7	open	—	03-09 16:25
btc updown 15m 1773438300	8	$35	20	40	-20	open	—	03-13 21:59
btc updown 15m 1773450900	7	$34	100	105	-5	open	—	03-14 01:29
btc updown 5m 1773157500	8	$33	21	21	+0	open	—	03-10 15:50
btc updown 5m 1773077400	7	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	03-09 17:34
btc updown 5m 1773156900	14	$33	23	22	+0	open	—	03-10 15:39
btc updown 5m 1773050400	7	$33	26	24	+1	open	—	03-09 10:04
btc updown 5m 1773076200	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	03-09 17:15
btc updown 5m 1773070200	3	$32	18	16	+1	open	—	03-09 15:35
btc updown 5m 1773223800	1	$31	34	0	+34	open	—	03-11 10:13
btc updown 5m 1773072300	7	$31	27	21	+6	open	—	03-09 16:09
btc updown 5m 1773156000	7	$30	21	15	+6	open	—	03-10 15:25
btc updown 5m 1773426600	4	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	03-13 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 14:38:42	btc updown 5m 1786631700	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x927c41…
08-13 14:37:34	btc updown 5m 1786631700	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2b6475…
08-13 14:31:09	btc updown 5m 1786631400	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb77858…
08-13 14:30:58	btc updown 5m 1786631400	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0f6a6e…
08-13 14:30:34	btc updown 5m 1786631400	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x76e365…
08-13 14:27:07	btc updown 5m 1786631100	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x869e59…
08-13 14:26:48	btc updown 5m 1786631100	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xec9034…
08-13 14:26:10	btc updown 5m 1786631100	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x02f998…
08-13 14:26:09	btc updown 5m 1786631100	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xa48b98…
08-13 14:23:48	btc updown 5m 1786630800	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc93e61…
08-13 14:20:39	btc updown 5m 1786630800	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x5f1fa5…
08-13 14:20:21	btc updown 5m 1786630800	Up	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x977f3c…
08-13 14:20:21	btc updown 5m 1786630800	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0feccc…
08-13 14:05:36	btc updown 5m 1786629900	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x9a5709…
08-13 14:04:57	btc updown 5m 1786629900	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2db4fb…
08-13 14:04:30	btc updown 5m 1786629600	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd90919…
08-13 14:03:46	btc updown 5m 1786629600	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x842287…
08-13 14:00:36	btc updown 5m 1786629600	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc702de…
08-13 13:57:31	will summer 2026 be the uks hottest summer on record 1786458473498	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x38b68b…
08-13 13:46:45	Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x07f518…
08-13 13:45:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5d2eee…
08-13 13:35:34	will a tropical cyclone make landfall on honshu in august 2026 1786370408878	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x77c91a…
08-11 10:29:04	will a tropical cyclone make landfall on honshu in august 2026 1786370408878	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x9740c3…
08-11 08:29:27	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x48b449…
08-11 08:25:24	chud the builder convicted	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x39078b…
08-10 16:25:34	btc updown 5m 1786379100	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xe9dc68…
08-10 16:25:12	btc updown 5m 1786379100	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x9949c6…
08-10 15:06:57	btc updown 5m 1786374300	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x908158…
08-10 15:05:19	btc updown 5m 1786374300	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xde1fbb…
08-10 14:57:52	btc updown 5m 1786373700	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaddec7…
08-10 14:55:15	btc updown 5m 1786373700	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0xa812a6…
08-10 14:55:15	btc updown 5m 1786373700	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x158c11…
08-10 14:52:37	btc updown 5m 1786373700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x14111e…
08-10 14:52:25	btc updown 5m 1786373700	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x343ed6…
08-10 14:40:19	btc updown 5m 1786372800	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x6bd522…
08-10 14:22:31	btc updown 5m 1786371600	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa50eb5…
08-10 14:20:31	btc updown 5m 1786371600	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xeb39fb…
08-10 14:20:12	btc updown 5m 1786371600	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe1f331…
08-10 14:18:58	btc updown 5m 1786371300	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x1c9c13…
08-10 14:18:49	btc updown 5m 1786371300	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x82fc5e…
08-10 14:18:21	btc updown 5m 1786371300	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf01ab6…
08-10 14:15:52	btc updown 5m 1786371300	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8ed2cd…
08-10 14:07:30	btc updown 5m 1786371000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5e1a72…
08-10 14:07:28	btc updown 5m 1786371000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x51a8d6…
08-10 14:06:58	btc updown 5m 1786370700	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xbb0923…
08-10 14:06:55	btc updown 5m 1786370700	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x2dfbec…
08-10 13:50:34	btc updown 5m 1786370700	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa62ec1…
08-10 13:50:34	btc updown 5m 1786370700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x944436…
08-10 13:38:30	btc updown 5m 1786369500	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x44e249…
08-10 13:38:28	btc updown 5m 1786369500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc8670f…
08-10 13:14:43	btc updown 5m 1786367400	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x36f6f7…
08-10 13:14:28	btc updown 5m 1786367400	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x8b2697…
08-10 13:14:06	btc updown 5m 1786367400	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfead19…
08-10 13:13:09	btc updown 5m 1786367400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4e8628…
08-10 13:09:12	btc updown 5m 1786367100	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0x5d396c…
08-10 13:08:45	btc updown 5m 1786367100	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa1cae5…
08-10 13:07:13	btc updown 5m 1786367100	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xb199b2…
08-10 13:06:48	btc updown 5m 1786367100	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xec8cf8…
08-10 13:04:13	btc updown 5m 1786366800	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x33b8dd…
08-10 13:04:01	btc updown 5m 1786366800	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd1510f…
08-10 13:00:00	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x66ebed…
08-06 14:39:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x6a8d82…
08-06 14:38:51	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x6de030…
07-30 12:52:47	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xb6908f…
07-30 12:52:26	will the next uk election be called by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x491cfc…
07-30 12:52:14	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x62c697…
07-27 15:22:54	will the next uk election be called by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x2debe5…
07-13 08:31:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xed5f73…
07-10 13:28:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0x53fe2c…
06-29 15:04:19	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x91b105…
06-22 10:26:05	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	36	7¢	$2	0xd8e3f5…
06-21 19:31:31	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x3102ea…
06-09 16:26:58	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x864fac…
05-29 11:13:18	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x26c4e8…
05-29 08:39:43	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x365ee4…
05-28 08:26:03	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x452836…
05-20 13:55:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x13d681…
05-20 13:55:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb32baf…
05-20 11:19:51	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x33093b…
05-18 12:53:30	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x72b2c4…
05-18 10:35:41	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xfcf22f…
05-12 14:50:49	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$3	0x5d9781…
05-12 10:13:34	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xa4743a…
05-09 11:21:56	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x92a505…
05-09 11:04:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xe81a84…
05-08 12:33:08	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x5fe112…
05-08 08:17:17	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xeaa1b6…
05-06 11:18:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa6a597…
05-06 11:18:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xe8c12e…
05-06 11:17:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xaecdae…
05-06 11:17:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xb3fbe2…
05-06 11:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x933c61…
05-06 09:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xecb57b…
05-06 09:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x55011d…
05-06 09:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xba9c19…
05-06 09:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x73a856…
05-06 09:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x756970…
05-06 08:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x14dd3e…
05-06 08:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb9b18b…
05-05 15:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0xf0150d…