0xc67c310db8677fdbb360ba40eeecb6690c809ad5 — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.64K

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

244

Trades

376

lifetime

Volume

$259.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$690

Open exposure

$34.9K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-28 20:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

84% 31% -$2,251

Politics

14% 25% -$9,901

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% 33% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		-36,747	-$33,069	94¢	$-34726	-$1,657	06-17 11:04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+227	$150	72¢	$163	+$13	10-26 21:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$83.3K	43,820	43,820	+0	No	+$190	04-14 10:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$49.9K	27,684	27,684	+0	No	-$85	04-03 14:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$33.1K	0	36,747	-36,747	open	—	06-17 11:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$32.6K	28,848	5,248	+23,599	No	+$988	03-18 19:15
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$18.7K	9,540	9,540	+0	No	+$10	03-14 05:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$9.7K	11,599	0	+11,599	Yes	-$9,656	04-07 20:58
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$5.5K	4,204	4,204	+0	Yes	-$204	02-25 06:21
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	6	$3.9K	2,735	2,735	+0	open	—	09-23 14:07
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	4	$2.5K	3,731	0	+3,731	No	-$2,500	06-17 11:38
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	2	$2.0K	1,132	1,132	+0	No	+$37	03-03 18:50
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	4	$1.4K	868	868	+0	Spain	+$285	07-06 21:18
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	3	$1.4K	1,072	972	+100	No	+$41	06-29 21:01
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	3	$913	761	761	+0	No	+$213	10-04 19:27
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	3	$794	438	438	+0	No	-$6	06-24 02:17
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	3	$687	479	479	+0	Switzerland	+$47	07-03 04:05
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	3	$620	697	0	+697	Yes	+$77	06-17 22:10
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	2	$580	654	0	+654	No	-$580	06-20 05:19
Will England win on 2026-10-03?	3	$555	356	356	+0	Yes	+$155	10-03 18:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$444	1,064	1,064	+0	No	+$44	06-28 07:18
will axiom be accused of insider trading	3	$332	1,702	702	+1,000	Yes	+$130	02-26 13:54
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	3	$303	1,952	909	+1,042	No	-$121	06-24 20:58
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$300	741	0	+741	No	-$300	07-14 13:33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	1	$300	1,304	0	+1,304	No	-$300	05-10 10:47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	3	$273	366	366	-0	Yes	+$85	10-25 21:19
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	5	$271	521	0	+521	Yes	+$250	09-28 19:55
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?	2	$260	433	0	+433	Yes	+$173	10-03 18:05
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$250	581	0	+581	Yes	-$250	06-28 07:26
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	3	$219	139	139	+0	Yes	+$59	06-17 22:05
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 btts	3	$200	308	0	+308	Yes	+$108	07-06 22:03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	2	$192	278	278	+0	Yes	+$92	09-13 16:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:26:40	Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xfe6e82…
10-28 20:26:17	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	112	5¢	$6	0x23feec…
10-28 20:09:26	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	88	46¢	$41	0x7ed8a2…
10-28 20:00:41	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x431a3b…
10-28 19:58:01	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	57	26¢	$15	0xb80518…
10-27 23:28:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x52f515…
10-27 23:28:00	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0xa6a8d0…
10-27 23:27:29	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x8fec02…
10-27 23:27:05	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x46bc3e…
10-27 23:26:47	Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x1b9fcd…
10-27 23:26:26	SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Team to Advance	VfL Wolfsburg	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x41cb35…
10-26 21:19:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	227	66¢	$150	0x0898ff…
10-26 19:53:08	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	111	22¢	$24	0xcea766…
10-26 19:43:06	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x2a4fe1…
10-25 21:19:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	366	49¢	$179	0x37b236…
10-24 14:07:17	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	72	25¢	$18	0x5bcd50…
10-24 14:06:51	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4e1ff1…
10-24 14:06:20	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x9f052e…
10-22 08:16:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	294	26¢	$76	0x343d62…
10-21 16:53:56	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x7e9e59…
10-21 16:44:11	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x4afb06…
10-21 16:43:56	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x379c64…
10-21 08:10:18	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xc2e814…
10-21 08:09:59	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x51c53b…
10-21 08:09:51	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x7b439f…
10-18 13:04:05	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	87	79¢	$69	0x534eb4…
10-18 13:03:23	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xfea42d…
10-18 13:03:15	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x37fda0…
10-17 15:43:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	111	43¢	$48	0xdde126…
10-17 15:42:23	Will Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x4dd48f…
10-17 15:42:12	Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x80b121…
10-17 15:41:54	Will Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xf1eb78…
10-17 15:15:54	Will SV Werder Bremen vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	83	75¢	$62	0x6c64e9…
10-17 14:26:26	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x66d88d…
10-17 14:26:08	Will SV Werder Bremen vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xf56d36…
10-17 14:25:50	Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x22252a…
10-17 13:56:29	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8cad77…
10-17 13:56:08	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x974776…
10-17 12:58:41	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xd73db0…
10-17 12:58:30	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xca83a7…
10-17 12:58:08	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0xd704d0…
10-17 12:57:44	Will FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	164	11¢	$18	0x20347d…
10-17 12:57:38	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	225	8¢	$18	0xc637ce…
10-17 12:57:15	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x06ab54…
10-17 12:57:03	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xb07a0e…
10-17 12:56:44	Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xdb6b93…
10-17 12:56:24	Will Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x1eef2d…
10-17 12:55:59	Will Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0xd8eabe…
10-17 12:55:05	Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xc66549…
10-14 12:33:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	158	50¢	$79	0x97c569…
10-14 12:32:56	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x9418b4…
10-14 12:32:39	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x308dcf…
10-12 09:41:25	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x46f32e…
10-12 09:40:53	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xb11d2e…
10-12 09:40:37	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x8c65d6…
10-12 09:40:17	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x685752…
10-06 20:46:11	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x3e8e12…
10-06 20:44:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0x398aad…
10-06 20:43:44	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x35031d…
10-06 20:43:30	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x62deeb…
10-06 20:43:17	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	159	22¢	$35	0x228090…
10-06 20:42:59	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x2037e7…
10-06 20:42:45	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x6898f0…
10-06 20:42:36	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xabf82c…
10-06 20:42:23	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	267	11¢	$30	0x5081a4…
10-06 20:41:20	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x61c9ec…
10-06 19:35:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xf0b267…
10-06 19:34:20	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x2e83f3…
10-04 19:27:53	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	SELL	761	74¢	$563	0xd50a46…
10-04 18:20:56	Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	318	22¢	$70	0xaacdae…
10-04 18:20:43	Will Greece win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x54ddec…
10-03 18:06:18	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	326	46¢	$150	0xa42b29…
10-03 18:05:47	Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x23b12b…
10-03 18:05:23	Will England win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	356	100¢	$355	0x42d9fe…
10-03 18:04:50	Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xc89451…
10-03 17:59:36	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x8d6466…
10-03 16:02:11	Will England win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x522ccf…
10-03 16:01:56	Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x01a086…
10-03 16:01:32	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x4d79eb…
10-03 16:00:38	Will England win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	268	56¢	$150	0x76de90…
10-02 18:18:20	Will France win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	273	33¢	$90	0x166f7c…
10-02 18:17:57	Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	221	34¢	$75	0x1d2040…
10-01 20:35:57	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	152	11¢	$17	0x562b71…
10-01 12:09:00	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x65665d…
10-01 12:08:53	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x79e741…
10-01 12:08:27	Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	421	19¢	$80	0x64525d…
10-01 12:08:12	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0xd418aa…
10-01 12:07:56	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xe8e966…
09-28 19:55:11	Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x645b97…
09-28 19:51:26	Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	110	52¢	$57	0x340933…
09-28 19:35:23	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	SELL	152	22¢	$33	0x933d44…
09-28 19:35:03	Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	SELL	128	98¢	$125	0x901df8…
09-28 18:46:57	Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xeb1be1…
09-28 18:46:27	Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	125	52¢	$65	0xe9ba4e…
09-28 18:46:17	Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xbe1848…
09-28 18:45:57	Will England win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x256d02…
09-28 18:45:35	Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	211	19¢	$40	0x145c1f…
09-28 18:45:06	Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x446a23…
09-28 18:44:51	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xfc5682…
09-27 12:51:59	Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	42	32¢	$13	0x64bf7e…