Intent-Reference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$325

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$94

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-02 19:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

44% 41% -$326

Sports

27% 46% -$72

Politics

15% 33% -$27

Crypto

14% 33% +$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No		+110	$73	86¢	$94	+$21	08-03 10:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$490	490	490	+0	Yes	+$39	05-26 23:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	2	$378	210	210	+0	No	+$0	05-22 08:44
2026 texas childrens houston open winner nicolas echavarria win	1	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	03-25 18:04
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$292	632	632	+0	No	-$14	06-08 16:22
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	2	$281	230	230	+0	No	+$60	06-12 03:22
will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	2	$271	345	344	+1	Yes	+$0	06-23 02:10
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	2	$261	170	170	+0	No	+$61	08-19 16:14
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 4pt5	1	$205	660	0	+660	Under	-$205	06-16 05:09
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	2	$192	370	370	+0	Yes	+$37	05-22 08:44
fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 btts	1	$174	370	0	+370	No	-$174	06-21 04:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$171	300	300	+0	No	-$51	05-22 08:44
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$143	426	0	+426	Yes	-$143	06-19 18:02
will ethereum reach 2100 in august 2026	2	$136	200	200	+0	Yes	+$16	08-08 07:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$124	274	273	+1	Yes	-$33	07-31 07:14
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	2	$123	110	110	+0	Under	+$0	07-02 23:22
mlb lad cws 2026 06 12	1	$113	290	0	+290	Chicago White Sox	+$177	06-12 18:06
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins	1	$113	240	0	+240	Boston Red Sox	-$113	08-24 14:05
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$106	280	280	+0	No	-$22	06-19 20:22
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$105	170	0	+170	No	-$105	05-10 16:02
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	1	$105	190	0	+190	Rajasthan Royals	+$85	05-18 23:03
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$101	240	240	+0	Yes	-$10	07-01 19:22
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	1	$85	120	0	+120	Genoa CFC	+$35	05-14 02:09
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	2	$83	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	08-10 12:14
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	1	$73	110	0	+110	open	—	08-03 10:08
mlb tor tb 2026 08 19	1	$68	200	0	+200	Tampa Bay Rays	-$68	08-19 08:07
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$66	381	381	+0	No	-$34	05-22 08:44
wta vidmano day 2026 08 01 set 2 winner Vidmanova vs Day	1	$55	110	0	+110	cancelled	+$0	08-01 14:06
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	1	$48	90	0	+90	Under	+$42	06-24 22:07
mlb oak bos 2026 08 08	1	$39	130	0	+130	Athletics	+$91	08-08 10:07
mlb sea mil 2026 08 18	1	$31	50	0	+50	Milwaukee Brewers	+$19	08-18 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 19:09:10	New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Yankees	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9b3044…
08-29 16:07:13	mlb cws min 2026 08 29	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x64904b…
08-24 14:05:42	Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	240	47¢	$113	0x15a1ae…
08-19 16:14:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	SELL	170	95¢	$161	0x34b6a8…
08-19 08:07:22	mlb tor tb 2026 08 19	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xf5eeb7…
08-18 20:06:43	mlb sea mil 2026 08 18	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xf76e33…
08-15 16:03:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xda393a…
08-13 08:02:36	mlb bos tor 2026 08 13	Boston Red Sox	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x3b0b5e…
08-10 12:14:22	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	60	68¢	$41	0xac77d5…
08-09 12:08:57	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x673fb4…
08-08 10:07:43	mlb oak bos 2026 08 08	Athletics	BUY	130	30¢	$39	0xa7f4b4…
08-08 07:14:19	will ethereum reach 2100 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x10dbdc…
08-05 07:00:18	will ethereum reach 2100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xed5ad0…
08-03 10:08:44	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	110	66¢	$73	0x8a381a…
08-01 14:06:54	wta vidmano day 2026 08 01 set 2 winner Vidmanova vs Day	Day	BUY	110	50¢	$55	0xc45420…
07-31 07:14:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	273	17¢	$46	0x2dd239…
07-30 07:04:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	274	29¢	$78	0x70ee27…
07-02 23:22:59	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	110	56¢	$62	0x0baf75…
07-01 19:22:37	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	240	19¢	$46	0xe02b95…
06-30 19:03:29	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	240	23¢	$55	0x7fa4a4…
06-28 23:01:40	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	110	56¢	$62	0x6e1a32…
06-24 22:07:46	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	90	53¢	$48	0xf98458…
06-23 02:10:44	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	Yes	SELL	344	39¢	$135	0xc08df7…
06-22 02:05:04	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	Yes	BUY	345	39¢	$136	0x513a8e…
06-21 04:04:26	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	370	47¢	$174	0xa06b58…
06-19 20:22:28	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	280	15¢	$42	0x2564f3…
06-19 18:02:41	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	426	34¢	$143	0xace898…
06-16 05:09:24	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	660	31¢	$205	0x32b452…
06-14 20:07:55	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	280	23¢	$64	0xc11730…
06-12 18:06:34	mlb lad cws 2026 06 12	Chicago White Sox	BUY	290	39¢	$113	0x0a1093…
06-12 03:22:25	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	SELL	230	74¢	$170	0x5d8d20…
06-08 16:22:42	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	632	22¢	$139	0x54b375…
06-07 03:01:09	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	230	48¢	$110	0xe49d96…
06-06 16:09:57	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	632	24¢	$153	0x43ba0d…
05-29 04:18:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xd0d2cf…
05-26 23:18:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	490	54¢	$265	0xfd75d4…
05-25 04:09:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x9fb610…
05-24 23:09:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	490	46¢	$225	0x25c37d…
05-22 08:44:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	381	4¢	$16	0xb53f6f…
05-22 08:44:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0x1a6691…
05-22 08:44:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	370	31¢	$115	0x71de97…
05-22 08:44:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	210	90¢	$189	0xad90f5…
05-20 21:03:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	210	90¢	$189	0xe318d4…
05-18 23:03:03	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	190	55¢	$105	0x0e32a2…
05-17 02:02:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	37¢	$111	0x6120db…
05-14 02:09:07	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	Genoa CFC	BUY	120	71¢	$85	0x491f27…
05-10 16:02:36	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	62¢	$105	0x74436a…
05-10 03:02:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	370	21¢	$78	0x409384…
05-07 03:06:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	381	13¢	$50	0x510d83…
03-31 17:09:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	760	0¢	$2	0x9aa595…
03-28 17:34:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	290	0¢	$1	0xd4a45a…
03-27 17:06:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	290	1¢	$2	0x85b183…
03-25 18:04:21	2026 texas childrens houston open winner nicolas echavarria win	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x421284…
03-21 04:06:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 520 539	Yes	BUY	744	1¢	$5	0x253668…
03-16 23:03:09	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	Yes	BUY	502	1¢	$8	0x3bec04…
01-31 01:10:26	solana above 140 on february 3	Yes	BUY	193	1¢	$2	0xa49cfc…
01-13 17:10:01	will the price of solana be greater than 190 on january 18	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x1ac0fa…
01-13 17:09:49	will the price of solana be greater than 190 on january 18	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x1c846b…
01-13 17:09:47	xrp above 2pt6 on january 15	Yes	SELL	430	0¢	$0	0xb24f6e…
01-13 17:09:33	xrp above 2pt6 on january 15	Yes	BUY	570	1¢	$4	0x377528…
01-13 17:09:31	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 640 659	Yes	SELL	580	2¢	$9	0x9cfa4f…
01-13 17:09:19	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 640 659	Yes	BUY	597	2¢	$10	0x66ce28…
01-13 17:09:15	bitcoin above 100k on january 14	Yes	SELL	530	0¢	$1	0x30432e…
01-13 17:09:01	bitcoin above 100k on january 14	Yes	BUY	530	1¢	$4	0xf3f2ea…
01-04 02:03:41	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 260 279	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$1	0xc38465…