Humiliating-Bonfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-23 08:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Other

28% — —

Sports

18% 33% $-14

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	2	$592	399	393	+6	open	—	04-12 17:27
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$572	377	372	+5	open	—	04-09 00:20
btc updown 5m 1775310600	4	$436	263	259	+5	open	—	04-04 13:55
btc updown 5m 1775319300	4	$374	336	323	+13	open	—	04-04 16:20
btc updown 5m 1775401800	2	$314	182	179	+3	open	—	04-05 15:17
nba den min 2026 04 23 total 232pt5	2	$313	167	167	+1	open	—	04-24 03:30
btc updown 5m 1775320200	2	$312	227	218	+9	open	—	04-04 16:34
btc updown 5m 1775319600	2	$307	222	213	+9	open	—	04-04 16:24
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$297	200	197	+3	open	—	04-26 03:27
chi sgr shp 2026 04 11 sgr	2	$278	178	178	+0	open	—	04-11 13:36
btc updown 5m 1775311200	2	$277	200	193	+7	open	—	04-04 14:04
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	3	$269	345	150	+195	open	—	01-23 16:44
btc updown 5m 1775360700	2	$259	183	177	+6	open	—	04-05 03:49
btc updown 5m 1775985600	2	$251	150	147	+3	open	—	04-12 09:24
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$241	143	142	+1	open	—	04-25 03:09
nba por phx 2026 04 14	2	$231	145	144	+1	open	—	04-15 04:31
btc updown 5m 1775360400	2	$228	147	143	+4	open	—	04-05 03:45
btc updown 5m 1775321400	2	$221	124	122	+2	open	—	04-04 16:55
btc updown 5m 1775310900	2	$204	130	126	+4	open	—	04-04 14:00
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$200	148	145	+3	open	—	04-15 00:13
btc updown 5m 1775362200	1	$191	236	0	+236	open	—	04-05 04:11
btc updown 5m 1775360100	3	$141	122	94	+28	open	—	04-05 03:39
btc updown 5m 1775749500	2	$139	98	95	+3	open	—	04-09 15:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$137	128	128	+0	open	—	04-18 12:57
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 draw	2	$137	136	133	+3	open	—	04-15 20:47
btc updown 5m 1775409000	2	$130	84	81	+2	open	—	04-05 17:16
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	3	$128	127	127	+0	open	—	04-29 02:42
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$121	71	71	+0	open	—	04-13 02:09
btc updown 5m 1775403000	3	$120	168	140	+29	open	—	04-05 15:33
btc updown 5m 1775739300	2	$118	78	76	+2	open	—	04-09 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 08:14:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	320	25¢	$80	0xe87748…
05-17 07:47:14	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe7efca…
05-17 04:39:38	San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x71e6bd…
05-17 04:25:03	San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa1279d…
05-17 03:39:59	Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x722102…
05-17 03:23:01	Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x7ef5b3…
05-17 02:58:10	CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x9ce92c…
05-16 13:46:28	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1812aa…
05-16 13:27:13	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x027a9e…
05-16 13:12:03	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xfddc2c…
05-16 12:55:30	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfead02…
05-16 03:31:53	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x96f8cf…
05-16 02:52:47	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0x870ff5…
05-16 01:47:41	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x48326e…
05-16 01:45:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	11¢	$12	0x289a9b…
05-16 01:45:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$3	0x04a01c…
05-16 01:32:36	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5	Under	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0xef3fbc…
05-16 00:50:04	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5	Under	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xfb1bcc…
05-14 11:48:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0xa64e01…
05-14 11:47:59	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	133	7¢	$10	0x832fae…
05-14 11:47:12	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0x68c052…
05-14 11:46:56	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa10fae…
05-14 11:43:03	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x5e64ff…
05-09 02:22:41	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe8d5e5…
05-08 04:22:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0x215ec5…
05-08 03:31:34	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x427108…
05-08 01:03:19	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7b95db…
05-07 15:31:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x3ecce7…
05-07 15:31:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xbf63f0…
05-07 00:41:29	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x4e30c0…
05-03 16:52:16	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x7e0b80…
05-03 13:52:28	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x7a78eb…
05-03 08:30:54	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x3feafd…
05-03 07:47:14	Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x51a109…
05-03 03:42:38	San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xd5c84a…
05-03 03:23:04	San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x8a9deb…
05-03 03:11:08	Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0xb6eaf2…
05-03 02:55:22	Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x06ee5b…
05-03 02:45:54	Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	49	46¢	$23	0x7222a8…
05-03 02:38:28	Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x9e63a0…
05-02 16:52:32	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xefcc57…
05-02 16:45:00	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xf30cf0…
05-02 15:51:04	Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x94edb7…
05-02 13:20:00	Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3f3a4a…
05-02 11:12:42	Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xa98ca2…
05-02 10:55:56	Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x19e136…
05-02 09:29:00	Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xe30af4…
05-02 09:16:28	Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xb60d40…
05-02 08:48:06	Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5b7234…
05-02 02:32:28	Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 203.5	Over	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x246f7c…
05-02 02:22:54	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	SELL	22	75¢	$16	0x6d4a0a…
05-02 02:18:50	Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 203.5	Over	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x30c131…
05-02 01:59:16	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7d6945…
05-01 13:15:16	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5e49f6…
05-01 12:41:50	Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xe29056…
05-01 12:21:18	Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa2a3b8…
05-01 04:43:12	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x158439…
05-01 02:24:12	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0ded30…
05-01 01:12:54	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	59	59¢	$35	0xaf5ed7…
05-01 00:37:14	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x0c2de8…
04-30 15:15:40	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xc1d0d8…
04-30 02:58:02	Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x429603…
04-30 00:18:42	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xb6b3f2…
04-29 13:43:06	Qingdao Eagles vs. Shanxi Loongs	Qingdao Eagles	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0x8e33eb…
04-29 13:31:32	Qingdao Eagles vs. Shanxi Loongs	Qingdao Eagles	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5a7d3d…
04-29 12:59:38	Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Ningbo Rockets	Ningbo Rockets	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xe850a3…
04-29 12:59:24	Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Ningbo Rockets	Ningbo Rockets	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x80b107…
04-29 12:55:18	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8ee583…
04-29 10:47:14	AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Fukushima United FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4c325b…
04-29 08:58:04	FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc7b58c…
04-29 08:55:54	Kashiwa Reysol vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x03edd5…
04-29 08:40:48	Kashiwa Reysol vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x35660e…
04-29 08:40:24	FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9eac3c…
04-29 03:38:40	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	36	7¢	$3	0x34f0c0…
04-29 02:54:44	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x5cf07b…
04-29 02:42:44	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Under	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd92348…
04-29 01:36:22	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x530dcc…
04-29 00:48:42	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x3a712f…
04-29 00:44:40	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Under	SELL	127	42¢	$53	0xa61441…
04-29 00:29:34	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	127	59¢	$75	0x20f05a…
04-28 14:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xc44661…
04-28 13:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x024fa1…
04-28 13:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1f30f2…
04-28 13:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8ff675…
04-28 05:09:36	Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0xfacbe8…
04-28 04:20:34	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	SELL	98	2¢	$2	0x40bcbb…
04-28 03:18:42	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0xdbc3c5…
04-28 02:49:42	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x5974fa…
04-28 02:48:10	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x48f94e…
04-28 02:44:36	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0x177a2e…
04-28 02:28:44	Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x021828…
04-28 02:27:58	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc93056…
04-28 01:16:36	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4faaa8…
04-28 00:32:06	Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x5f0bcb…
04-27 15:44:42	Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xfcfc54…
04-27 03:13:38	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	52	12¢	$6	0xef5b38…
04-27 03:09:28	CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x3f8204…
04-27 03:02:18	CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x8815d3…
04-27 02:37:18	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x7de29e…
04-26 16:18:58	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe87997…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	149	$72.7K	7,628	05-16 01:29
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	146	$247.5K	2,426	06-01 05:55
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	127	$32.8K	4,411	05-08 01:08
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	103	$332.8K	11,199	04-28 14:04
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	103	$81.3K	4,525	04-28 14:04
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	103	$35.4K	11,699	04-28 14:04
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	103	$28.9K	10,876	04-28 14:04
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	102	$17.7K	905	04-28 14:01