Humiliating-Bonfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$334

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

247

Trades

399

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-24 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 40% +$52

Other

35% 40% -$240

Sports

16% 43% -$48

Politics

2% 22% -$99

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	2	$592	399	393	+6	Yes	+$199	04-12 17:27
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$572	377	372	+5	Yes	+$177	04-09 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:50 UTC	4	$436	263	259	+5	Down	+$40	04-04 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 16:15 UTC	4	$374	336	323	+13	Up	+$88	04-04 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:10 UTC	2	$314	182	179	+3	Up	+$44	04-05 15:17
nba den min 2026 04 23 total 232pt5	2	$313	167	167	+1	Under	+$18	04-24 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 16:30 UTC	2	$312	227	218	+9	Down	+$121	04-04 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 16:20 UTC	2	$307	222	213	+9	Up	+$116	04-04 16:24
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$297	200	197	+3	Timberwolves	+$100	04-26 03:27
chi sgr shp 2026 04 11 sgr	2	$278	178	178	+0	Yes	+$78	04-11 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC	2	$277	200	193	+7	Up	+$85	04-04 14:04
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	3	$269	345	150	+195	Yes	-$27	01-23 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 03:45 UTC	2	$259	183	177	+6	Up	+$64	04-05 03:49
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?	5	$253	161	161	+0	Yes	+$53	05-03 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 09:20 UTC	2	$251	150	147	+3	Up	+$41	04-12 09:24
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$241	143	142	+1	Lakers	+$43	04-25 03:09
nba por phx 2026 04 14	2	$231	145	144	+1	Trail Blazers	+$31	04-15 04:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 03:40 UTC	2	$228	147	143	+4	Up	+$60	04-05 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 16:50 UTC	2	$221	124	122	+2	Up	+$23	04-04 16:55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$216	167	167	+0	Yes	+$117	04-30 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:55 UTC	2	$204	130	126	+4	Up	+$49	04-04 14:00
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$200	148	145	+3	Yes	+$93	04-15 00:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$197	360	0	+360	No	-$197	09-07 06:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 04:10 UTC	1	$191	236	0	+236	Down	+$45	04-05 04:11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$162	250	250	+0	Yes	-$38	05-03 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 03:35 UTC	3	$141	122	94	+28	Up	+$38	04-05 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:45 UTC	2	$139	98	95	+3	Up	+$42	04-09 15:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$137	128	128	+0	No	+$37	04-18 12:57
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 draw	2	$137	136	133	+3	Yes	+$80	04-15 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:10 UTC	2	$130	84	81	+2	Up	+$33	04-05 17:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:23:56	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xc7ccca…
10-24 14:26:12	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Everton FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x31b70d…
10-24 12:05:26	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	62	38¢	$24	0xbefe4d…
10-24 12:05:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$1	0x033c66…
10-24 12:03:56	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	3¢	$24	0x3fcaf2…
09-07 06:27:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	160	52¢	$83	0x5f5a7d…
09-04 15:00:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	14¢	$98	0x8459ad…
09-04 00:48:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x0b3832…
07-14 16:02:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	120	49¢	$60	0xd6a4e0…
07-11 23:17:11	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	55	12¢	$7	0x671017…
07-11 23:06:58	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xe147d2…
07-11 22:38:31	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0xdfe163…
05-23 08:14:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	320	25¢	$80	0xe87748…
05-18 14:14:12	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	65	77¢	$50	0x44e7e0…
05-17 13:20:49	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	43	89¢	$38	0xcc5d89…
05-17 11:27:44	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x1ea807…
05-17 10:00:54	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x64d554…
05-17 08:52:02	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x41d772…
05-17 07:47:14	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe7efca…
05-17 04:39:38	San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x71e6bd…
05-17 04:25:03	San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa1279d…
05-17 03:39:59	Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x722102…
05-17 03:23:01	Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x7ef5b3…
05-17 02:58:10	CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x9ce92c…
05-16 14:10:02	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xbfef95…
05-16 13:46:28	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1812aa…
05-16 13:27:13	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x027a9e…
05-16 13:12:03	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xfddc2c…
05-16 12:55:30	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfead02…
05-16 03:31:53	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x96f8cf…
05-16 02:52:47	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0x870ff5…
05-16 01:47:41	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x48326e…
05-16 01:45:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	11¢	$12	0x289a9b…
05-16 01:45:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$3	0x04a01c…
05-16 01:32:36	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5	Under	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0xef3fbc…
05-16 00:50:04	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5	Under	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xfb1bcc…
05-14 11:48:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0xa64e01…
05-14 11:47:59	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	133	7¢	$10	0x832fae…
05-14 11:47:12	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0x68c052…
05-14 11:46:56	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa10fae…
05-14 11:43:03	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x5e64ff…
05-09 02:22:41	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe8d5e5…
05-08 04:22:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0x215ec5…
05-08 03:31:34	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x427108…
05-08 01:03:19	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7b95db…
05-07 15:31:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x3ecce7…
05-07 15:31:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xbf63f0…
05-07 00:41:29	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x4e30c0…
05-07 00:27:04	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x95e31a…
05-06 15:47:31	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x7c31f1…
05-03 16:52:16	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x7e0b80…
05-03 15:59:58	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	250	25¢	$62	0xf458a6…
05-03 14:07:44	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x7b6e2a…
05-03 13:52:28	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x7a78eb…
05-03 13:42:20	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	158	95¢	$150	0x717e6d…
05-03 13:42:14	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x576e30…
05-03 13:42:10	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x760786…
05-03 13:41:38	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf8c21c…
05-03 11:57:48	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xf640ba…
05-03 08:30:54	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x3feafd…
05-03 07:47:14	Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x51a109…
05-03 03:42:38	San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xd5c84a…
05-03 03:23:04	San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x8a9deb…
05-03 03:11:08	Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0xb6eaf2…
05-03 02:55:22	Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x06ee5b…
05-03 02:45:54	Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	49	46¢	$23	0x7222a8…
05-03 02:38:28	Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x9e63a0…
05-02 16:52:32	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xefcc57…
05-02 16:45:00	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xf30cf0…
05-02 15:51:04	Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x94edb7…
05-02 14:32:10	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd646ff…
05-02 14:05:34	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6de610…
05-02 13:20:00	Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3f3a4a…
05-02 13:17:54	Will Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6afe4c…
05-02 13:05:58	Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	48	70¢	$33	0x87fbad…
05-02 12:51:18	Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x637e34…
05-02 11:19:22	Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	70	14¢	$10	0xe5df1a…
05-02 11:12:42	Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xa98ca2…
05-02 11:10:14	Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0x8a561d…
05-02 11:06:32	Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6ddcfe…
05-02 10:55:56	Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x19e136…
05-02 09:29:00	Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xe30af4…
05-02 09:16:28	Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xb60d40…
05-02 08:48:06	Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5b7234…
05-02 02:32:28	Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 203.5	Over	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x246f7c…
05-02 02:22:54	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	SELL	22	75¢	$16	0x6d4a0a…
05-02 02:18:50	Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 203.5	Over	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x30c131…
05-02 01:59:16	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7d6945…
05-01 13:15:16	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5e49f6…
05-01 12:41:50	Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xe29056…
05-01 12:21:18	Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa2a3b8…
05-01 04:43:12	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x158439…
05-01 02:24:12	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0ded30…
05-01 01:12:54	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	59	59¢	$35	0xaf5ed7…
05-01 00:37:14	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x0c2de8…
04-30 21:07:08	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xf3f5ec…
04-30 15:15:40	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xc1d0d8…
04-30 15:14:40	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xff6979…
04-30 15:04:30	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xff726a…
04-30 02:58:02	Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x429603…