Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

24.0%

Resolved

452

Trades

51,756

lifetime

Volume

$1.02M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-18

last 09-28 16:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

69% 25% -$21

Sports

17% 29% -$5

Politics

12% 32% -$1

Crypto

3% 24% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 374 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	09-17 08:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	2,061	$37.0K	18,636	18,636	+0	No	$0	07-24 02:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2,063	$33.5K	17,074	17,074	+0	No	$0	07-28 16:26
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?	1,425	$29.8K	15,029	15,029	+0	No	$0	07-09 19:50
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1,167	$22.5K	11,264	11,264	+0	No	+$0	06-21 14:58
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?	805	$19.9K	10,170	10,170	+0	Yes	$0	07-07 15:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1,064	$19.6K	9,930	9,930	+0	No	$0	07-28 10:00
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	924	$19.6K	10,033	10,033	-0	open	—	07-12 19:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	989	$16.4K	8,240	8,240	+0	No	+$0	06-27 19:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	616	$15.7K	7,874	7,874	+0	No	$0	06-21 01:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	592	$14.4K	7,328	7,328	+0	No	$0	06-29 20:39
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	748	$13.9K	7,101	7,101	+0	No	+$0	07-19 19:25
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	670	$13.8K	7,078	7,078	+0	No	-$1	07-09 21:57
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?	691	$13.5K	6,863	6,863	+0	No	$0	07-11 20:59
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	315	$12.4K	6,332	6,332	+0	No	$0	06-18 19:15
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?	565	$12.3K	6,182	6,182	+0	No	+$0	07-07 17:19
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?	636	$12.2K	6,158	6,158	+0	No	$0	07-09 19:49
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	615	$11.8K	5,980	5,980	+0	No	$0	07-19 19:06
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?	535	$11.6K	5,816	5,816	+0	No	$0	07-07 16:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	585	$11.1K	5,625	5,625	+0	No	$0	07-14 06:49
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?	522	$10.4K	5,316	5,316	+0	No	$0	07-15 18:55
mlb pit cle 2026 07 17	509	$9.8K	4,930	4,930	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	$0	07-19 04:13
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia?	403	$9.8K	5,015	5,015	+0	No	$0	07-07 19:56
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?	415	$9.8K	4,980	4,980	+0	No	+$0	07-10 18:59
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?	488	$9.6K	4,956	4,956	+0	No	$0	07-09 16:54
bitcoin above 56k on july 3 2026	346	$9.6K	4,798	4,798	-0	Yes	$0	07-03 13:54
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	460	$9.6K	4,893	4,893	+0	No	$0	06-22 07:50
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?	489	$9.3K	4,720	4,720	+0	No	$0	07-07 20:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	454	$9.2K	4,614	4,614	+0	No	$0	07-28 19:08
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?	471	$9.2K	4,613	4,613	+0	No	$0	07-09 19:59
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?	453	$9.1K	4,635	4,635	-0	No	$0	07-06 19:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 16:16:39	Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x845975…
09-28 16:16:32	will bitcoin dip to 75k in september 2026 from september 16	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x0dd209…
09-28 16:16:27	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x35a211…
09-28 11:32:18	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x31c29b…
09-28 11:32:17	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb58025…
09-28 11:32:17	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c55f2…
09-28 11:32:15	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc2502…
09-28 11:32:14	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa75e9c…
09-28 09:02:41	will bitcoin dip to 75k in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xbc3bd9…
09-28 06:07:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xeda2c8…
09-28 06:04:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa79e62…
09-28 05:23:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd1fcbc…
09-28 03:38:24	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5e11f6…
09-28 02:57:45	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x363816…
09-28 02:48:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7d15df…
09-28 02:48:45	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5100ee…
09-28 02:48:44	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdc5bfb…
09-28 02:35:00	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x08cf3d…
09-28 02:34:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x779238…
09-28 02:34:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x060aac…
09-28 02:34:47	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf84898…
09-27 18:11:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x541b5c…
09-27 18:06:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x443c6b…
09-27 18:06:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6b52ec…
09-27 18:06:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x635d19…
09-27 18:02:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xabe54a…
09-27 18:01:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x1bd177…
09-27 18:01:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x5f2dec…
09-27 17:57:17	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x68ae45…
09-27 17:57:05	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe72582…
09-27 17:57:05	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ef12d…
09-27 17:57:05	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c3c50…
09-27 17:57:03	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x757100…
09-27 16:55:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x0eee70…
09-27 16:10:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xf9b56e…
09-27 11:52:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3044ba…
09-27 11:52:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa0e616…
09-27 02:59:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xc0d721…
09-27 02:37:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xa8d01e…
09-27 01:35:56	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x60b5fa…
09-27 01:15:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x20a795…
09-27 01:15:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4fb601…
09-27 00:36:57	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9e1d04…
09-27 00:36:47	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa34451…
09-27 00:36:47	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91471a…
09-27 00:36:45	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x948b9e…
09-26 22:01:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x7c33b9…
09-26 22:01:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8477d5…
09-26 21:43:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xbd358e…
09-26 20:57:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x27be5f…
09-26 20:54:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf9641d…
09-26 20:54:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9b8900…
09-26 20:53:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfddb4c…
09-26 20:45:06	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5116e2…
09-26 20:30:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6f392c…
09-26 19:42:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x11f0dc…
09-26 19:10:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8b8d13…
09-26 18:32:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4f801a…
09-26 18:12:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1a866f…
09-26 18:12:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8c17ca…
09-26 18:12:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbaf44f…
09-26 18:00:00	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1866d4…
09-26 17:53:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb75cfd…
09-26 17:53:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3a8656…
09-26 17:53:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdb399d…
09-26 17:46:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4cdfa8…
09-26 17:39:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x94b283…
09-26 17:27:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8d6de6…
09-26 16:42:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5c398e…
09-26 16:29:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xda152c…
09-26 16:23:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xda8bb7…
09-26 16:22:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x07c9db…
09-26 15:51:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5a1b3f…
09-26 15:38:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xea9805…
09-26 15:14:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4d5a95…
09-26 15:10:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x58fd7b…
09-26 14:38:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa796ae…
09-26 14:35:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x66c9a4…
09-26 14:33:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x20a13f…
09-26 14:32:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xaba1e7…
09-26 14:26:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3b2640…
09-26 14:26:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x681388…
09-26 14:22:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x10270d…
09-26 14:22:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x822b28…
09-26 14:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x37eed6…
09-26 14:17:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9544c1…
09-26 13:42:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xce9654…
09-26 13:40:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x7f42f7…
09-26 12:28:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xcd16fd…
09-26 11:55:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3aa000…
09-26 10:46:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5784de…
09-26 10:46:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x27f93f…
09-26 10:05:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x092e9a…
09-26 09:40:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x486a20…
09-26 09:09:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x981713…
09-26 09:09:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xfceb3a…
09-26 07:36:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa65a77…
09-26 07:35:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc0dd1c…
09-26 06:45:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x3dbbe0…
09-26 06:45:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x08a9b5…