Soupy-Selfconfidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$599

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.5%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$23.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 11-09 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

48% 18% +$601

Politics

36% 0% $0

Tech

12% 0% -$1

Sports

3% 0% $0

Crypto

2% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$2.8K	1,382	1,382	+0	No	-$1	04-15 07:47
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	4	$2.6K	1,321	1,321	+0	Yes	-$1	06-11 11:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$2.6K	1,291	1,291	+0	No	-$1	06-13 03:55
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$2.5K	1,262	1,262	+0	open	—	06-11 09:34
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$2.5K	1,237	1,237	+0	open	—	06-12 08:24
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$2.4K	1,225	1,225	+0	open	—	06-13 03:22
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,179	1,179	+0	No	-$1	06-12 07:18
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$1.4K	688	688	+0	No	-$1	04-15 08:59
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-09-12?	2	$404	927	37	+890	No	+$516	09-11 13:15
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-09-07?	2	$371	619	45	+573	Yes	+$252	09-07 05:21
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 520 539	3	$325	163	163	+0	No	$0	04-02 14:35
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	3	$283	142	142	+0	No	$0	04-06 08:17
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?	2	$187	363	27	+336	No	-$162	08-20 11:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$139	70	70	+0	No	$0	04-13 10:50
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	3	$132	66	66	+0	No	$0	05-15 02:44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	11-09 10:24
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$117	58	58	+0	No	$0	06-13 04:27
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	4	$111	55	55	+0	open	—	10-20 14:37
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	11-01 11:37
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	3	$105	53	53	+0	No	$0	06-15 15:47
Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	2	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	11-04 05:31
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	4	$95	49	49	+0	No	$0	04-14 09:36
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	06-11 10:33
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	4	$87	44	44	+0	No	$0	06-12 08:31
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	3	$79	39	39	+0	No	$0	10-22 17:51
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	06-13 04:34
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	10-28 12:20
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$75	37	37	+0	open	—	10-26 04:04
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	3	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	05-15 02:36
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	06-12 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 10:24:34	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x118d3d…
11-09 10:15:28	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$59	0x644fcd…
11-09 10:09:40	Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd1ce04…
11-09 10:02:04	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x293fa8…
11-09 09:50:16	Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2b00f2…
11-09 09:31:13	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3898f5…
11-09 09:03:25	Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x708288…
11-09 05:10:57	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9e5d9b…
11-04 05:31:36	Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x3b5a3f…
11-04 05:20:12	Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xec8dc0…
11-04 05:14:15	Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x43e26b…
11-04 04:40:43	Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x63a380…
11-04 03:59:09	Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6ac9cf…
11-04 03:47:31	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7c3d4c…
11-01 11:37:48	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$54	0xa77131…
11-01 11:29:28	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x4021a1…
11-01 11:24:09	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xc5adff…
11-01 11:15:12	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x203cbf…
11-01 11:06:07	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xec75e5…
11-01 10:56:01	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fae24…
11-01 10:47:58	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x48d014…
11-01 10:38:36	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x66afbd…
11-01 10:31:54	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf6ad13…
10-28 12:20:05	Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x75cb6a…
10-28 12:11:28	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3b2680…
10-28 12:05:17	Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4e365b…
10-28 11:59:04	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3afba0…
10-28 11:48:46	Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7bd4fa…
10-28 11:39:13	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc28b7b…
10-28 11:31:35	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5ea84c…
10-28 11:24:17	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x37d11e…
10-28 11:14:16	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x67740f…
10-26 04:04:54	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x565159…
10-26 03:57:39	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb518cc…
10-26 03:52:05	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd2b17f…
10-26 03:41:54	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x07ad3f…
10-26 03:34:54	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1841c…
10-26 03:25:54	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x229d4e…
10-26 03:19:05	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe39324…
10-26 03:12:41	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1e7fb9…
10-26 03:03:00	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x57fadf…
10-22 17:51:06	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x8c7fde…
10-22 17:43:02	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x69dbd3…
10-22 17:35:21	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xcb5683…
10-22 17:27:57	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb750a6…
10-22 17:22:32	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x3800f3…
10-22 17:14:32	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3a093…
10-22 17:04:50	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb43c07…
10-22 16:58:36	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x543f79…
10-22 16:48:23	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf77150…
10-20 14:37:08	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x641e11…
10-20 14:30:57	Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4018c2…
10-20 14:23:09	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x203049…
10-20 14:13:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xf30a1f…
10-20 14:06:02	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdccc73…
10-20 13:56:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x268acc…
10-20 13:45:42	Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f6bf4…
10-20 13:39:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x296577…
10-20 13:32:17	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd8eff5…
10-20 13:24:38	Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x724164…
09-11 13:15:45	Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	SELL	37	41¢	$15	0x75a019…
09-11 12:40:49	Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	927	42¢	$389	0x6f270d…
09-07 05:21:55	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0x2998ca…
09-07 04:21:57	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	619	56¢	$346	0x396332…
08-20 11:27:15	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	27	47¢	$13	0xf6505f…
08-20 10:32:15	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	363	48¢	$174	0x38d5c7…
06-15 15:47:13	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x20246c…
06-15 15:38:57	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xcbc467…
06-15 15:29:33	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xa877aa…
06-15 15:19:31	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xaf1c7c…
06-15 15:11:57	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf14c45…
06-15 15:03:07	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x742e06…
06-15 14:53:21	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf9f398…
06-15 14:43:31	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf916a3…
06-15 14:33:13	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa07197…
06-13 17:32:54	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xaf3bf8…
06-13 17:23:18	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xf3fdba…
06-13 17:17:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xb4a47f…
06-13 17:06:37	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb30391…
06-13 16:57:48	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xc0bc44…
06-13 04:34:45	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xb2a267…
06-13 04:27:46	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x300af9…
06-13 04:21:51	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb10493…
06-13 04:05:42	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x16663c…
06-13 03:55:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,291	100¢	$1,288	0x2297a9…
06-13 03:45:15	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf08bbc…
06-13 03:36:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,263	100¢	$1,262	0xe8c58b…
06-13 03:30:24	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xab7125…
06-13 03:22:57	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	880	99¢	$874	0x1bfadf…
06-13 03:14:45	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	345	99¢	$342	0x5d6ae6…
06-13 03:04:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x66e097…
06-13 02:55:06	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,225	99¢	$1,217	0x150440…
06-12 08:31:16	Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$43	0xd73761…
06-12 08:24:03	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,237	99¢	$1,227	0xaa059d…
06-12 08:13:40	Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60a465…
06-12 08:06:16	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,206	99¢	$1,198	0xabb3f3…
06-12 07:56:22	Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe0d57f…
06-12 07:49:48	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$36	0x8ec810…
06-12 07:41:27	Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xe0c116…
06-12 07:27:27	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8886ff…