Colossal-Shootdown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-07 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 50% $-2

Other

44% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-27 09:52
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-24 03:31
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 380 399	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-19 08:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$99	99	+99	No	+$0	05-06 03:46
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 10	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-10 09:51
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-03 02:22
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 30	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-28 09:57
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-23 02:52
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-09 09:03
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	02-28 06:27
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	02-09 03:16
bitcoin above 96k on january 31	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	01-30 02:17
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 40 59	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	01-20 07:19
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 300 319	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	01-13 07:00
bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	06-07 02:34
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 215 239	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-03 06:13
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 280 299	1	$48	48	+48	open	—	03-03 06:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$3	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-13 03:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	Yes	$-2	05-10 08:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 02:34:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x0f1223…
05-13 03:08:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xfd308c…
05-10 08:42:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0x1793f9…
05-06 03:46:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x77105c…
04-27 09:52:48	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x012b42…
04-24 03:31:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x84c413…
04-19 08:15:54	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 380 399	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xdd47b7…
04-10 09:51:43	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 10	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x418d2e…
04-03 02:22:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xeeb65f…
03-28 09:57:59	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 30	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x30e7b1…
03-23 02:52:13	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x2990fa…
03-09 09:03:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x59e5a6…
03-03 06:14:13	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 280 299	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x5762ab…
03-03 06:13:57	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 215 239	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdf2d62…
02-28 06:27:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x234e44…
02-09 03:16:49	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xd5345f…
01-30 02:17:10	bitcoin above 96k on january 31	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x8f06d8…
01-20 07:19:36	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 40 59	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xfae58c…
01-13 07:00:05	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 300 319	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x7b041e…