Meaty-Building — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

241

Trades

1,642

lifetime

Volume

$6.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 08-20 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

61% 39% -$951

Politics

34% 55% -$162

Sports

4% 26% -$5

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	8	$382	777	777	+0	Yes	-$35	05-13 14:40
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$363	195	195	+0	Yes	+$16	05-11 01:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$235	220	165	+55	No	+$9	05-30 18:03
Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5	2	$216	166	166	+0	Over	+$116	05-09 18:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$189	104	104	+0	No	-$11	05-10 12:07
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$168	2,120	900	+1,220	No	-$80	05-14 17:40
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	9	$162	293	0	+293	No	-$162	05-15 03:38
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$150	426	0	+426	No	-$150	05-10 12:35
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	1	$150	250	0	+250	Yes	-$150	06-24 12:37
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$133	83	83	+0	Belgium	+$33	07-01 22:54
iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	6	$115	145	0	+145	Yes	+$30	07-13 02:40
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$110	60	60	+0	United States	+$10	07-02 02:19
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$108	58	58	+0	England	+$7	07-01 18:19
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	3	$104	57	57	+0	Yes	+$5	07-18 22:51
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	5	$101	57	57	+0	Spain	+$2	07-02 20:20
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	4	$101	67	67	+0	Yes	+$11	07-19 23:00
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	1	$100	556	0	+556	No	-$100	07-04 07:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$99	102	0	+102	No	+$2	05-03 17:52
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$99	54	54	+0	Argentina	-$1	07-02 22:21
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	6	$94	121	121	+0	Yes	-$26	07-12 03:18
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	5	$93	51	46	+5	Yes	+$2	07-11 12:02
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	3	$80	41	41	+0	No	+$2	07-13 14:45
will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	7	$79	57	57	+0	Yes	+$15	07-17 01:24
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	4	$73	193	0	+193	No	-$73	07-23 12:32
will the us house pass the sunshine protection act by july 17 20260710183842097	3	$72	43	39	+4	Yes	+$7	07-15 18:05
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	4	$71	86	75	+11	Yes	+$21	07-07 17:33
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$61	290	281	+9	No	+$51	07-15 21:17
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	2	$60	102	20	+82	cancelled	+$1	07-02 16:20
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	4	$58	41	41	+0	Yes	+$9	07-10 02:45
iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	6	$56	94	94	+0	No	-$6	07-11 22:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 16:42:30	Will Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	SELL	54	15¢	$8	0x65b38f…
08-06 18:14:14	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	56	24¢	$13	0x51ce88…
07-30 02:38:03	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xb044da…
07-29 22:34:24	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	No	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xe4a1a0…
07-29 19:22:05	will warsh say productivity during july press conference 20260720204109042	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x87a920…
07-29 18:56:45	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x18b2cf…
07-29 18:36:17	will warsh say productivity during july press conference 20260720204109042	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x35a186…
07-29 18:33:57	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5e6c25…
07-29 13:03:26	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 30 2026 20260722225036923	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xd26bbe…
07-28 22:38:07	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 28 2026 20260722225036921	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x039862…
07-28 18:41:26	Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0xa89a32…
07-28 18:12:47	Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0xf25bff…
07-28 16:35:32	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x0023c3…
07-28 13:25:35	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xd06f60…
07-28 13:08:53	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xf70733…
07-28 10:17:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5bf412…
07-28 09:38:11	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-07-28?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x11974c…
07-28 07:10:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x3458bd…
07-28 00:38:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x072c15…
07-27 22:35:46	Will Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xfd2ae7…
07-27 18:09:52	will trump say hottest during michigan remarks 20260724162420370	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xabb82d…
07-27 14:54:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0xccd36d…
07-27 14:41:07	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x86628d…
07-27 13:07:48	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x60b042…
07-27 01:23:12	will trump say stock market during michigan remarks 20260724162420372	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x0f77b2…
07-26 22:39:07	will trump say stock market during michigan remarks 20260724162420372	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb0be97…
07-26 18:37:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x9ff2e1…
07-26 12:39:03	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1edcdd…
07-26 11:40:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x71470b…
07-26 00:38:25	will trump say hottest during michigan remarks 20260724162420370	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa35071…
07-25 22:33:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x560fc7…
07-25 18:36:01	Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xda4f20…
07-25 17:02:30	Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xd98f9b…
07-25 14:37:00	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 26 2026 20260722225036919	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xd53144…
07-25 12:32:28	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 26 2026 20260722225036919	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x06054b…
07-25 03:10:52	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x91c549…
07-24 22:39:07	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 24 2026 20260722225036917	Yes	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0xf211b9…
07-24 20:41:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0x477bfe…
07-24 20:17:06	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xfc7719…
07-24 02:32:51	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xec254b…
07-23 20:36:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa28da5…
07-23 18:41:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x7cfd40…
07-23 16:37:57	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 24 2026 20260722225036917	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8012eb…
07-23 14:36:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x1e944e…
07-23 12:32:43	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x8950f9…
07-23 02:36:48	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xd51f73…
07-22 20:41:18	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xfe2dbb…
07-22 20:38:55	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0xdeecfe…
07-22 19:22:18	will trump say big beautiful bill during remarks in georgia 20260720190340710	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x8d18b8…
07-22 18:32:40	will trump say booming during remarks in georgia 20260720190340711	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xbd6eba…
07-22 18:06:18	will trump say stock market during remarks in georgia 20260720190340715	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xd14bda…
07-22 14:55:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x377a04…
07-22 14:52:46	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x47a8b4…
07-22 12:38:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9fea4a…
07-22 04:12:12	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x415473…
07-22 03:35:06	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x734067…
07-22 03:14:12	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0x79d14f…
07-22 00:36:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6bd899…
07-21 22:36:52	will trump say big beautiful bill during remarks in georgia 20260720190340710	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa196cb…
07-21 20:35:48	iran successfully targets shipping on july 21	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x9750d7…
07-21 18:11:06	Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x6df5b9…
07-21 18:09:21	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?	Yes	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x7c0e1b…
07-21 17:09:24	will trump say stock market during remarks in georgia 20260720190340715	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x46d152…
07-21 16:38:45	iran successfully targets shipping on july 21	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x1e4bc2…
07-21 16:38:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x13e322…
07-21 12:35:39	Iran successfully targets shipping on July 20?	No	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0xca69c4…
07-21 02:35:40	iran successfully targets shipping on july 21	Yes	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0x903460…
07-21 00:22:42	New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xeb234b…
07-20 22:34:58	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x430618…
07-20 18:44:01	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xb52a79…
07-20 17:36:55	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	BUY	51	12¢	$6	0xcd6ba7…
07-20 17:36:31	iran successfully targets shipping on july 19	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x200609…
07-20 14:56:01	will bernie say ai or artificial intelligence during minneapolis rally 20260719004357853	No	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0x4a8dd8…
07-20 14:38:57	Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x420a37…
07-20 03:48:25	mlb nym mil 2026 07 20	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc344d2…
07-20 03:36:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x26bc97…
07-20 03:14:57	Will Kimberly Yee be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x7a8d55…
07-20 00:24:33	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x7887d3…
07-19 23:00:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	67	83¢	$56	0xb7abce…
07-19 22:38:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x238b43…
07-19 18:12:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xc627fc…
07-19 13:24:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x94e92e…
07-19 12:41:55	Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x92e926…
07-19 12:01:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x281349…
07-19 08:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	No	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x15ea2a…
07-19 02:37:49	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 18 20260708001726334	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x681792…
07-19 00:40:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x623646…
07-18 22:51:19	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0x195c7f…
07-18 22:38:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x9707f0…
07-18 22:37:27	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 18 20260708001726334	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x7f0b4a…
07-18 22:16:45	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x200773…
07-18 21:49:18	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x05a12d…
07-18 13:48:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7f5cb4…
07-18 12:43:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x20da97…
07-18 12:03:13	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x4960a0…
07-18 03:11:49	Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xe1c005…
07-18 03:10:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x14ac30…
07-18 02:38:39	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3978d1…
07-18 00:37:21	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 18 20260708001726334	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x564ac6…
07-17 20:37:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa00e03…