Empty-Numeracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$495

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-10 05:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 28% $-18

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	10	$67	71	71	+0	Up	+$7	05-08 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	12	$45	48	42	+6	Up	$-3	05-09 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	15	$27	306	305	+1	Up	$-7	05-08 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$26	26	26	+0	open	—	04-30 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$20	38	38	+0	open	—	05-01 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$13	54	54	+0	open	—	05-01 14:39
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$10	16	16	+0	open	—	04-30 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	8	$8	28	5	+23	open	—	05-01 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$5	7	3	+4	open	—	05-02 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-30 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	6	$5	23	23	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	6	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$4	5	2	+3	open	—	05-01 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$4	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$4	39	14	+25	open	—	05-01 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$4	21	4	+17	open	—	05-01 04:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 05:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xfc9265…
05-10 05:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4091af…
05-10 05:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xcb529e…
05-10 05:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7b00ce…
05-10 05:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x632bcc…
05-10 05:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x88369f…
05-10 05:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x98e324…
05-09 12:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x21693f…
05-09 12:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2f5c55…
05-09 10:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0xd65971…
05-09 10:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x080952…
05-09 10:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x085e85…
05-09 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xa3d481…
05-09 10:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x8d0d22…
05-09 10:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe0533b…
05-09 10:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x885f1a…
05-09 10:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x5606b4…
05-09 10:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x03b88e…
05-09 10:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x0be7e0…
05-09 10:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9f9f31…
05-09 10:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xc1119d…
05-09 10:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0e7e86…
05-09 10:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xe1dec9…
05-09 10:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x939965…
05-09 10:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc660c7…
05-09 10:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x701d75…
05-09 10:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd95818…
05-09 09:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x07f52e…
05-09 09:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x692410…
05-09 09:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x67eab8…
05-09 09:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd3ba08…
05-09 09:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe62295…
05-09 09:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe417a7…
05-09 09:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf807cf…
05-09 09:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5003e5…
05-09 09:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xbcee94…
05-09 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b61c6…
05-09 09:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x26c2a2…
05-09 09:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0650c6…
05-09 09:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb76c01…
05-09 09:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x5a9fde…
05-09 09:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa6ab5e…
05-09 09:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x505e8b…
05-09 09:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa67c23…
05-09 09:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x888304…
05-09 08:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xc7a7c2…
05-09 08:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa1e9fe…
05-09 08:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb35902…
05-09 08:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x823e7e…
05-09 08:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x9e0074…
05-09 08:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$5	0xa355ac…
05-09 08:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf4330b…
05-09 08:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x4bd9aa…
05-09 08:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x7fce78…
05-09 08:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x7342b6…
05-09 08:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x4b3c5d…
05-09 08:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x6977ff…
05-09 08:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0xdce811…
05-09 08:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x97344e…
05-09 07:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xd47710…
05-09 07:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb41e10…
05-09 07:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x12ef5d…
05-09 07:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc5a4db…
05-09 07:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x22a857…
05-09 07:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe81bc4…
05-08 15:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb689a2…
05-08 14:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x1e1184…
05-08 14:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x9a901c…
05-08 14:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x8533ae…
05-08 14:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xa37c35…
05-08 14:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1e6a74…
05-08 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xa82120…
05-08 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8e39b3…
05-08 14:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x46e45b…
05-08 14:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x8d59e9…
05-08 14:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x31db8e…
05-08 14:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	92	4¢	$4	0x066bfb…
05-08 14:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x5fa9f9…
05-08 14:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0xa4cfcc…
05-08 14:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x12185b…
05-08 14:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0xba84e4…
05-08 14:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x3a6381…
05-08 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7d8544…
05-08 13:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x985e81…
05-08 13:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xd3dfc5…
05-08 13:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x38eedc…
05-08 13:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	38¢	$7	0xf1ac88…
05-08 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x1b4f9e…
05-08 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x8f596b…
05-08 13:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd0b0c1…
05-08 13:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0xbfe984…
05-08 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xd39f29…
05-02 07:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x7e6d32…
05-02 07:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x337ae6…
05-02 07:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xa89ad6…
05-02 07:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe209f4…
05-02 07:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x087ce6…
05-02 07:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xefec4c…
05-02 07:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x510fc7…
05-02 07:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc9f6c5…