Unwilling-Division — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

37.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

12 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$52

$52 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-13 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 43% $-6

Other

7% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+40	$4	9¢	$3	$-0	05-08 12:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	-2	$-1	76¢	$-1	$-0	05-10 12:47
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	-1	$-1	100¢	$-1	$-0	05-08 14:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$14	0	25	-25	Down	$-10	05-11 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$9	24	0	+24	Down	+$15	05-11 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$8	24	0	+24	Down	$-8	05-11 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-11 16:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$4	40	0	+40	open	—	05-08 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-13 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Up	$-3	05-11 10:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-10 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-13 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 14:08
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-08 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 08:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xd13677…
05-13 07:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xff0148…
05-13 04:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x55b5ca…
05-11 19:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0xd5c86c…
05-11 16:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x0ca804…
05-11 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x74383b…
05-11 10:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xc09019…
05-11 10:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xb8c700…
05-11 10:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xb229ae…
05-10 12:47:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x1a92ba…
05-08 14:15:05	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x93d5ad…
05-08 12:59:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xabb9aa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$3.50K	154	05-13 08:44
Outlandish-Dragon-Curler 0x218f…17bc	9	$1.43K	91	05-13 08:40
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	8	$3.07K	118	05-13 08:43
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	8	$1.10K	57	05-13 08:41
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	8	$1.06K	43	05-13 08:40
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	8	$1.01K	68	05-13 08:41
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	8	$895	86	05-13 07:01
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	8	$874	168	05-13 08:41