Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$179

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-25 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

70% 28% -$23

Crypto

16% 50% +$3

Politics

12% 57% -$2

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-18	-$1	6¢	$-1	+$0	07-02 19:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-4	$0	16¢	$-1	$0	07-02 19:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$56	31	31	+0	Yes	+$6	01-10 08:28
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$25	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	02-24 11:16
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	1	$16	18	0	+18	Yes	-$16	01-10 15:10
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	09-25 12:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	-$5	09-25 13:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$4	8	11	-4	open	—	07-02 19:16
will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	09-25 12:59
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$4	42	42	+0	No	$0	03-17 14:15
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$4	10	0	+10	No	-$4	03-01 13:58
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	-$1	01-07 08:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$3	10	0	+10	No	-$3	04-12 06:56
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	02-24 11:15
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	4	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	-$1	01-06 15:19
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-07 11:19
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	01-10 15:32
nba nop cha 2026 02 02	1	$2	8	0	+8	Hornets	-$2	02-02 16:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-07 07:10
hok ttg agsp 2026 03 04	1	$2	5	0	+5	AG Super Play	+$3	03-04 07:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$2	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 13:39
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	07-16 08:22
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	06-27 06:54
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	01-04 10:17
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	-$1	03-10 08:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	04-07 13:38
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	03-02 09:53
will company b be accused of insider trading	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	02-26 07:22
will binance be accused of insider trading	1	$1	50	0	+50	No	-$1	02-25 14:49
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$1	0	18	-18	open	—	07-02 19:14
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$2	02-02 16:36
Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	01-10 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 13:00:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x217019…
09-25 12:59:47	Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x5037ed…
09-25 12:57:35	Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x0bca32…
07-16 08:24:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x027a5a…
07-16 08:22:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x53f86d…
07-02 19:17:35	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd13b1b…
07-02 19:16:46	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6d4e8b…
07-02 19:16:11	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x1b3922…
07-02 19:15:11	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfb4724…
07-02 19:14:37	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xc84657…
06-27 06:54:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd1e529…
06-06 08:00:49	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x052daa…
06-06 07:59:21	Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x4b2393…
05-04 07:31:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x64a888…
04-12 06:56:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc262fe…
04-07 13:41:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5418da…
04-07 13:39:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x7445a8…
04-07 13:38:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x4097c6…
04-07 11:19:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe3f406…
04-02 14:54:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x521ac2…
04-02 14:47:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5b339e…
04-01 15:42:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeb1c88…
03-22 14:02:51	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9cd56c…
03-22 14:02:15	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x50cbd9…
03-22 14:01:33	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x742e71…
03-17 14:15:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x7f6cad…
03-17 07:17:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x0f6da9…
03-15 06:28:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x17ded3…
03-10 08:53:35	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x603e28…
03-09 09:48:55	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa570ac…
03-07 07:10:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x060c9f…
03-06 14:36:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4b7347…
03-06 10:54:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x752981…
03-04 07:00:49	hok ttg agsp 2026 03 04	AG Super Play	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe2b661…
03-02 09:53:17	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb102d7…
03-01 13:58:13	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x8a139b…
02-26 07:22:16	will company b be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x838ed6…
02-26 07:21:30	will another company be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xadc826…
02-25 14:49:08	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc6300c…
02-25 10:02:24	will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7400d3…
02-25 10:01:54	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x97c3cf…
02-25 09:32:14	will company b be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd729a6…
02-24 11:16:32	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xab1086…
02-24 11:15:58	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x46593d…
02-02 16:36:42	Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x8d6b54…
02-02 16:20:16	nba nop cha 2026 02 02	Pelicans	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x834e80…
01-10 15:32:34	over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x539469…
01-10 15:10:34	over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	No	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0x00f67e…
01-10 15:10:08	over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8cbd72…
01-10 08:32:26	Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x426a7d…
01-10 08:32:04	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x5d535a…
01-10 08:28:24	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xf2e0a5…
01-07 08:55:47	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x21c5fb…
01-07 08:55:21	si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x96b246…
01-06 15:19:39	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xa91d43…
01-06 10:26:17	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x485794…
01-06 10:26:05	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	No	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x9efd50…
01-04 15:00:11	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	Yes	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x9012d8…
01-04 10:24:23	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfedbf2…
01-04 10:20:57	si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xca6440…
01-04 10:17:37	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x184809…