Flippant-Flick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$647

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-30 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

38% 50% -$22

Crypto

34% 77% -$13

Politics

24% 83% +$15

Tech

3% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:25 UTC	7	$40	78	78	+0	Up	-$10	06-27 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:45 UTC	4	$37	22	22	+0	Up	+$7	06-26 23:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$29	21	20	+0	No	+$10	04-19 20:39
will israel strike gaza on december 31	1	$26	0	27	-27	No	$0	01-02 10:42
will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	-$1	01-14 16:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$22	13	13	+0	No	+$2	06-23 12:50
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	3	$19	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-02 19:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$19	11	11	+0	No	+$1	03-10 14:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$1	04-27 13:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$15	18	0	+18	Yes	-$15	04-27 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:50 UTC	3	$15	24	0	+24	Up	-$15	06-26 23:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:20 UTC	3	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	06-27 07:23
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$1	01-25 15:23
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$2	06-23 12:50
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	04-25 13:16
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	04-30 11:43
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 11:43
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-27 07:22
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	06-27 07:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 08:05 UTC	2	$11	14	13	+0	Down	+$1	03-11 08:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:30 UTC	2	$11	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	06-27 07:34
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-26 23:47
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-26 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:50 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-10 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:35 UTC	2	$10	35	0	+35	Down	-$10	06-27 07:36
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	05-16 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	06-26 23:44
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	2	$10	11	11	+0	No	$0	06-26 23:43
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	1	$9	19	0	+19	Finland	+$10	05-31 18:28
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	-$2	06-27 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 14:01:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa418b6…
06-27 07:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf09c14…
06-27 07:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb01514…
06-27 07:34:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0xc9632e…
06-27 07:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa6ca11…
06-27 07:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xdaa2f3…
06-27 07:28:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2fcf89…
06-27 07:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	47	31¢	$14	0x17206b…
06-27 07:27:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x784a20…
06-27 07:26:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x18803e…
06-27 07:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x07bd6f…
06-27 07:26:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc8246d…
06-27 07:23:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f289a…
06-27 07:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb5bf53…
06-27 07:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5635f5…
06-27 07:23:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x0c702b…
06-27 07:22:56	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xc2a2e0…
06-27 07:22:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xe9683e…
06-27 07:22:38	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x2cb41d…
06-27 07:22:31	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfb2566…
06-26 23:51:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9fe908…
06-26 23:51:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2067f1…
06-26 23:51:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xce659e…
06-26 23:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x255f10…
06-26 23:47:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1206d5…
06-26 23:47:38	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xbc097d…
06-26 23:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xafe894…
06-26 23:46:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x83eaa4…
06-26 23:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf817b3…
06-26 23:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4baad8…
06-26 23:43:44	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x413d8f…
06-26 23:43:29	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x603286…
06-23 12:59:50	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x596239…
06-23 12:55:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf86d20…
06-23 12:55:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa30467…
06-23 12:54:05	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x687830…
06-23 12:53:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdf95cb…
06-23 12:52:58	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7e6eba…
06-23 12:52:31	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x69f193…
06-23 12:51:44	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf05be8…
06-23 12:50:49	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x7b4736…
06-23 12:50:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x3c1908…
06-02 19:22:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa6d432…
06-02 19:20:25	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xd2467e…
05-31 18:28:41	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x2df6a4…
05-31 18:27:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb56723…
05-31 18:27:43	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x5943cb…
05-31 18:27:32	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x0ac623…
05-31 18:27:25	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x7f8ff2…
05-17 08:51:29	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xbfc12d…
05-17 08:50:19	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x16dffa…
05-17 08:47:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x95424d…
05-17 08:46:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x0e60e6…
05-17 08:44:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x45752c…
05-16 18:27:55	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb1435f…
05-16 18:27:48	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1865e5…
04-30 11:43:12	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x06e741…
04-30 11:43:04	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x4009b1…
04-27 13:11:36	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x56b857…
04-27 13:02:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xf9f454…
04-27 13:00:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xe5ffca…
04-25 13:24:36	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x7b56ec…
04-25 13:22:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x637797…
04-25 13:19:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6fca54…
04-25 13:19:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xf798ff…
04-25 13:16:00	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x23a909…
04-25 13:15:54	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x068b6c…
04-19 20:47:00	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xbd2b5e…
04-19 20:45:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xb05527…
04-19 20:44:40	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3d605e…
04-19 20:43:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6f0d00…
04-19 20:39:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xf802c5…
04-05 11:20:19	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xa5c35b…
04-05 11:16:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5f1c78…
04-05 11:15:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5ac961…
03-17 07:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc04826…
03-17 07:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x36f2e3…
03-17 07:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x64bc50…
03-17 07:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xce86e0…
03-17 07:33:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x060a9b…
03-17 07:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x2fd2d8…
03-11 10:15:11	spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf0f989…
03-11 08:29:21	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6878c6…
03-11 08:29:17	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x779065…
03-11 08:27:51	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2c19c8…
03-11 08:23:57	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x568a75…
03-11 08:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x33a995…
03-11 08:06:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x17306b…
03-11 08:05:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7aac77…
03-11 08:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2e7389…
03-11 07:56:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x9aee24…
03-11 07:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x89f936…
03-11 07:52:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x684a96…
03-10 14:56:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xde571c…
03-10 14:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x14dc87…
03-10 14:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6edb25…
03-10 14:52:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xb72659…
03-04 10:56:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x4bf58d…
03-04 10:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1c8ab3…
03-04 10:50:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x8069f1…