Antique-Modification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$329

Unrealized P&L

+$317

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

833

Trades

1,277

lifetime

Volume

$7.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$922

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-27 17:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 76% -$130

Politics

14% 58% -$154

Other

11% 75% -$32

Sports

1% 71% -$4

Tech

0% 60% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+1,630	$605	57¢	$922	+$317	10-27 17:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$605	1,630	0	+1,630	open	—	10-27 17:36
will qatar strike iran by march 31	1	$131	166	0	+166	No	-$131	03-03 14:53
will trump say greenland during meetings with chancellor merz	3	$63	88	88	+0	No	+$3	03-03 16:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:00 UTC	2	$46	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	02-09 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$46	50	0	+50	Up	+$4	10-12 12:43
wta monnet scott 2026 09 13	11	$45	30	25	+5	Carole Monnet	+$0	09-13 18:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:45 UTC	2	$44	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	02-09 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:30 UTC	4	$43	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	02-09 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 16:45 UTC	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	02-09 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:00 UTC	2	$42	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	02-09 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	10-12 14:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 13:30 UTC	3	$40	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	02-09 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 13:00 UTC	2	$39	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	02-09 13:14
bitcoin up or down february 1 1pm et	2	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	02-01 20:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:00 UTC	5	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	02-09 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:45 UTC	2	$38	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	02-09 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:30 UTC	3	$37	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	02-09 20:43
atp ivashka sharipo 2026 09 13	10	$36	25	25	+0	Ilya Ivashka	-$4	09-13 10:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:45 UTC	2	$34	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	02-09 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:15 UTC	2	$33	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	02-09 17:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 07:45 UTC	2	$33	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	02-13 07:59
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$33	50	0	+50	No	-$33	03-03 22:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 06:30 UTC	1	$33	36	0	+36	Down	-$33	02-07 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 08:00 UTC	2	$31	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	02-13 08:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 14:30 UTC	4	$30	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	02-12 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 21:15 UTC	2	$30	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	02-09 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 06:15 UTC	4	$30	33	0	+33	Up	+$3	02-07 06:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 06:30 UTC	3	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	02-12 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:45 UTC	2	$28	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	02-09 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 08:15 UTC	2	$27	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	02-13 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:36:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,618	37¢	$600	0x902013…
10-27 09:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0417d5…
10-27 09:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xec5dde…
10-27 08:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4c5dc8…
10-27 05:18:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x87f59c…
10-26 14:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x26d186…
10-26 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xaeed1a…
10-26 05:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6c7eec…
10-26 04:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa48d41…
10-25 22:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x28dfb7…
10-24 14:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x95f12c…
10-24 14:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0aaea3…
10-23 20:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x89a087…
10-23 17:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e4605…
10-23 15:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x8a96a8…
10-23 13:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2f036d…
10-23 13:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x5e3cd3…
10-23 13:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x3f4842…
10-23 12:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x820fb6…
10-23 10:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5b147f…
10-23 09:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3eeb0e…
10-23 07:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x45b0a5…
10-22 21:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf8ff4f…
10-22 20:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x57caf5…
10-22 20:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x646fed…
10-22 20:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xda5513…
10-22 15:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7a7d37…
10-22 15:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3fd8bf…
10-22 14:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcd0b6d…
10-22 10:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x672209…
10-22 07:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaff654…
10-21 22:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5ccec2…
10-21 21:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3870e2…
10-21 17:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa86fd3…
10-21 17:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb82161…
10-21 15:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa2b2d8…
10-21 15:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1ce290…
10-20 23:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc0c9a8…
10-20 23:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x533c34…
10-20 21:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1a4bd6…
10-20 20:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd6bd74…
10-20 16:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7a3e91…
10-20 15:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbad0a9…
10-20 13:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa782d5…
10-18 04:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x78a56a…
10-17 21:13:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x3a6aab…
10-17 09:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x057fcd…
10-17 08:39:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf56ad4…
10-17 07:07:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd79370…
10-17 06:42:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x35cb72…
10-17 06:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x81f5ec…
10-17 06:31:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x347dfc…
10-17 06:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0xb14602…
10-15 17:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfd30ca…
10-15 17:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x5a271e…
10-15 13:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xf75bea…
10-15 13:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6f91d9…
10-15 13:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfb6ca2…
10-15 04:54:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5b8961…
10-15 03:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2d45b0…
10-15 01:58:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x596eff…
10-15 00:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0be6c4…
10-14 21:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x75ca79…
10-14 18:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x381f4f…
10-14 16:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9eeece…
10-14 15:38:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xccb435…
10-14 10:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf954fd…
10-14 08:48:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x86fb01…
10-14 08:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9a9b50…
10-14 08:11:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7ae007…
10-14 05:01:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x662902…
10-14 04:03:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x46c226…
10-14 03:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x254a04…
10-14 01:13:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x62c49a…
10-14 00:11:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x2156e8…
10-13 22:00:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xf0802c…
10-13 21:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x9b7934…
10-13 14:51:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x7ac169…
10-13 14:38:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa546eb…
10-13 14:38:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6ef4df…
10-13 12:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x82ead6…
10-13 11:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x4ca784…
10-13 10:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x506a75…
10-13 09:51:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x38906c…
10-13 09:00:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x1337fa…
10-13 05:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x8f0cd9…
10-13 02:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x220d8d…
10-13 02:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x39cec2…
10-13 02:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xc1311b…
10-13 00:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5a2e59…
10-13 00:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xb4d22c…
10-12 22:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x791974…
10-12 22:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd9deff…
10-12 21:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xde9d9b…
10-12 21:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x008992…
10-12 20:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x550a3b…
10-12 19:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x322bb7…
10-12 14:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x0bc95e…
10-12 14:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x29ebff…
10-12 14:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8e4ce2…