Idealistic-Institution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

1,424

Trades

1,567

lifetime

Volume

$9.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-30 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Other

100% 83% +$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 12?	6	$48	55	+55	No	+$8	06-11 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?	6	$48	54	+54	No	+$6	06-11 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12?	5	$40	47	+47	No	+$7	06-11 06:03
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on June 11?	3	$24	27	+27	No	+$4	06-10 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	1	$20	25	+25	No	+$5	08-22 07:03
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 20?	3	$20	25	+25	Yes	-$20	06-19 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?	3	$20	26	+26	Yes	-$20	08-03 20:19
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 21?	1	$20	24	+24	No	+$4	06-19 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4?	1	$20	25	+25	Yes	-$20	08-02 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 22?	2	$20	24	+24	No	+$4	06-20 11:04
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on July 20?	1	$20	24	+24	No	+$4	07-18 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 18?	1	$20	25	+25	No	+$5	06-16 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 29?	1	$20	25	+25	No	+$5	07-27 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?	1	$20	26	+26	No	+$6	06-24 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 22?	1	$15	18	+18	No	+$3	05-20 22:05
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C or higher on May 18?	2	$12	14	+14	No	+$2	05-17 04:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C or below on July 8?	1	$12	15	+15	No	+$3	07-06 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	1	$9	10	+10	No	+$1	05-10 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 12?	1	$9	10	+10	Yes	-$9	05-10 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C or higher on May 11?	1	$9	10	+10	Yes	-$9	05-10 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 12?	1	$9	10	+10	No	+$1	05-10 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 13?	1	$9	10	+10	No	+$1	05-11 20:28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 11?	1	$9	10	+10	No	+$1	05-10 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 10?	2	$9	10	+10	Yes	-$9	05-09 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?	1	$9	10	+10	No	+$1	05-11 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 7?	1	$8	9	+9	No	+$1	07-06 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 18?	1	$8	10	+10	Yes	-$8	08-17 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 3?	1	$8	10	+10	No	+$2	09-01 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 27?	1	$8	10	+10	No	+$2	07-25 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 26?	1	$8	10	+10	Yes	-$8	08-24 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x6366d2…
10-30 01:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6b1753…
10-29 12:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x02d114…
10-29 09:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xfa608f…
10-29 07:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x7e78a2…
10-29 06:55:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x98e688…
10-28 16:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9461c2…
10-28 11:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdd9397…
10-27 16:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x182b61…
10-27 15:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x889079…
10-27 12:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcffffa…
10-27 06:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5aeb71…
10-26 19:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd919a5…
10-26 09:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf50118…
10-26 06:03:18	highest temperature in madrid on october 28 2026 24c	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x141c19…
10-26 05:04:33	lowest temperature in madrid on october 28 2026 7c	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x2a256d…
10-26 02:10:39	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9bd64a…
10-26 02:10:39	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x8cbebe…
10-26 02:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9eae9a…
10-25 18:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa29e15…
10-25 15:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4e335e…
10-25 12:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2dfbbb…
10-25 09:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x11c36c…
10-25 09:02:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x58c341…
10-25 07:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x47de84…
10-25 06:02:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf8db53…
10-25 03:02:32	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x29a0f8…
10-25 00:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x488859…
10-24 17:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x65480f…
10-24 06:02:32	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6ce672…
10-24 06:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x172ca8…
10-23 19:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x7e1226…
10-23 10:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdd1941…
10-23 05:01:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 24?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x33737e…
10-22 21:03:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8a93ee…
10-22 18:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 23?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbbab5f…
10-22 18:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1d649a…
10-22 15:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 23?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4917b2…
10-22 09:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 23?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x472e19…
10-22 09:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 23?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4346dc…
10-21 08:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 22?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3d9507…
10-20 21:09:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 22?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe30e55…
10-20 20:04:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6268cf…
10-20 19:59:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x22f52f…
10-20 15:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 22?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa77584…
10-20 14:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x45564c…
10-20 14:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4e7fbd…
10-20 11:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 21?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb895c5…
10-20 11:01:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x154bd1…
10-20 08:04:02	highest temperature in houston on october 22 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9eb9fb…
10-20 02:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xca69ab…
10-20 00:03:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x946308…
10-20 00:02:53	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe3ffab…
10-19 22:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5e5b4c…
10-19 19:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5a1362…
10-19 18:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xd8f0ec…
10-19 17:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x27ab33…
10-19 13:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x16d4d3…
10-19 11:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x10ab77…
10-19 07:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0fa9ba…
10-19 05:02:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x716b3b…
10-19 05:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xf9ba63…
10-19 04:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6b861d…
10-19 03:02:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x223311…
10-19 00:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe633dd…
10-18 22:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 20?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe6b087…
10-18 21:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 20?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc17339…
10-18 21:02:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xeb6c11…
10-18 20:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x77339f…
10-18 17:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x96bc5e…
10-18 02:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 19?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5ce1be…
10-17 21:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 18?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x10afd4…
10-17 17:17:20	highest temperature in chengdu on october 19 2026 25c	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb2c9e7…
10-17 17:17:05	highest temperature in wuhan on october 19 2026 16c	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5728fa…
10-17 11:20:38	highest temperature in denver on october 18 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x545140…
10-17 09:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x28ed94…
10-16 21:02:44	highest temperature in austin on october 18 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x396c72…
10-16 21:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 18?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x582caa…
10-16 00:01:58	highest temperature in mexico city on october 17 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0d20fc…
10-15 21:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 17?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0cfd71…
10-15 18:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 17?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6dc231…
10-15 18:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 17?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x442fda…
10-15 18:07:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 17?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x36530e…
10-15 17:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x3ab93f…
10-15 16:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb59e5f…
10-15 14:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 17?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x523f6e…
10-15 14:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xe131d6…
10-15 12:03:53	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4a2d42…
10-15 09:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4ef06f…
10-15 02:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xef9a88…
10-14 23:26:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd07186…
10-14 22:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 75°F or below on October 16?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5d5bed…
10-14 22:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 16?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x6219b4…
10-14 21:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on October 16?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0ad49a…
10-14 21:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 16?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xadc66b…
10-14 21:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 16?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb168c6…
10-14 21:02:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 16?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x982f96…
10-14 19:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x928213…
10-14 17:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb656da…
10-14 17:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9ad485…