Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?
open
Total volume
$534
$1,164 in 24h
Trades
52
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$526
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 23:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $0
vs crowd: 3% YES on $512)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $0 | $90 | $89 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $15 | $407 | $392 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $14 | $14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $3 | $117 | $114 |
| Median | 4 | — | $57 | $57 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $154 | $154 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $4 | $64 | $60 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $7 | $79 | $72 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 21:52 |
| Wrathful-Solicitation 0x9dc9…fc76 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 05-12 20:11 |
| Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | No | +59 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 05-12 19:37 |
| kroonike 0xa717…faea | No | +56 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-12 19:35 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 5 | 05-12 21:42 |
| Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 21:38 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +39 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-12 21:51 |
| Essential-Tongue 0x8327…577d | No | +29 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 21:07 |
| Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 14:07 |
| Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 20:07 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 4 | 05-12 21:37 |
| Rundown-Thyme 0xde8a…a3fc | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-12 17:11 |
| Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 04:34 |
| Well-Groomed-Leptocephalus 0x5757…9e19 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 18:42 |
| Fearless-Boatload 0x7da5…0865 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 20:10 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 07:25 |
| Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:27 |
| All-Member 0x18ec…8b90 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 19:30 |
| Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 23:46 |
| Cheap-Blank 0x9977…7883 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:21 |
| Frosty-Series 0x8f60…39c4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:16 |
| Parallel-Shoot 0x2ead…8046 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 05:12 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 13:12 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 18:17 |
| Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 20:36 |
| Intentional-Strength 0x20f2…3b5c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 20:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 23:27:53 | Assured-Warming 0x5931…8ecb | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a027b… |
| 05-12 23:17:08 | Worried-Reinscription-Deduction 0x6d75…4f96 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xc228d8… |
| 05-12 21:52:40 | Glittering-Grease 0x0e66…52f5 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x7d7d96… |
| 05-12 21:52:38 | Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xde59a1… |
| 05-12 21:51:51 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc19deb… |
| 05-12 21:46:57 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc3ca88… |
| 05-12 21:46:53 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x829716… |
| 05-12 21:42:55 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x4174ba… |
| 05-12 21:37:56 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9b4c68… |
| 05-12 21:37:56 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa1f04e… |
| 05-12 21:37:56 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf84224… |
| 05-12 21:37:56 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb955f5… |
| 05-12 21:37:56 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbe8dd1… |
| 05-12 21:37:52 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xfc8496… |
| 05-12 21:36:06 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7e2bf6… |
| 05-12 21:36:06 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2f78d2… |
| 05-12 21:36:06 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x02163d… |
| 05-12 21:36:06 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x622a58… |
| 05-12 21:36:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd0cd1f… |
| 05-12 21:36:06 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x3d97a0… |
| 05-12 21:36:06 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1dd6e0… |
| 05-12 21:36:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xac5fce… |
| 05-12 21:36:06 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbfb9a2… |
| 05-12 21:36:06 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0a393d… |
| 05-12 20:11:29 | Wrathful-Solicitation 0x9dc9…fc76 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x166710… |
| 05-12 20:10:43 | Fearless-Boatload 0x7da5…0865 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x452c62… |
| 05-12 20:07:43 | Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x011afb… |
| 05-12 19:37:21 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | No | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0xb1a17b… |
| 05-12 19:36:18 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x902d13… |
| 05-12 19:35:40 | kroonike 0xa717…faea | No | BUY | 56 | 91¢ | $51 | 0x26d72b… |
| 05-12 19:30:16 | All-Member 0x18ec…8b90 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x28ff34… |
| 05-12 19:21:14 | Cheap-Blank 0x9977…7883 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x435758… |
| 05-12 18:42:33 | Well-Groomed-Leptocephalus 0x5757…9e19 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xcd46a5… |
| 05-12 18:17:28 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xcabbb6… |
| 05-12 18:17:26 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xece9c3… |
| 05-12 17:11:38 | Rundown-Thyme 0xde8a…a3fc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xafdbdb… |
| 05-12 13:12:46 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9565c3… |
| 05-12 08:42:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x891fa3… |
| 05-12 04:34:30 | Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x407fe1… |
| 05-11 23:46:03 | Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd0fca8… |
| 05-11 21:43:48 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x6b32a3… |
| 05-11 21:38:25 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x25ffff… |
| 05-11 21:07:17 | Essential-Tongue 0x8327…577d | No | BUY | 29 | 85¢ | $25 | 0x6eb81e… |
| 05-11 20:36:40 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x8150e4… |
| 05-11 20:14:25 | Intentional-Strength 0x20f2…3b5c | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xe6ad2f… |
| 05-11 14:07:44 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb4bcf5… |
| 05-11 14:03:33 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x4ffb0f… |
| 05-11 07:25:15 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x4d8958… |
| 05-11 05:27:46 | Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xacd04c… |
| 05-11 05:12:29 | Parallel-Shoot 0x2ead…8046 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x770865… |
| 05-10 07:16:38 | Frosty-Series 0x8f60…39c4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xff1dcf… |
| 05-10 07:16:31 | Rundown-Thyme 0xde8a…a3fc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x328ad4… |