Hoarse-Jackal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-02 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

37% 0% $-12

Crypto

33% — —

Politics

24% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1780863000	1	$80	85	0	+85	open	—	06-07 20:14
btc updown 5m 1781502900	3	$75	138	0	+138	open	—	06-15 05:57
eth updown 15m 1781986500	2	$50	96	0	+96	open	—	06-20 20:27
btc updown 5m 1781084100	2	$50	67	0	+67	open	—	06-10 09:38
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	4	$48	122	122	+0	open	—	05-22 17:49
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$44	35	35	+0	open	—	04-22 04:41
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$42	333	0	+333	open	—	04-16 18:54
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	2	$30	33	16	+16	open	—	03-01 15:14
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	2	$30	26	26	+0	open	—	06-20 20:52
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	3	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	04-09 06:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$27	106	106	+0	open	—	04-11 20:58
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	7	$26	66	0	+66	open	—	04-14 15:25
doge updown 5m 1780859100	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	06-07 19:09
btc updown 5m 1781452800	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	06-14 16:01
btc updown 5m 1781454000	1	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	06-14 16:21
eth updown 15m 1780852500	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	06-07 17:23
btc updown 5m 1781986500	1	$25	79	0	+79	open	—	06-20 20:19
btc updown 5m 1781453700	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	06-14 16:18
sol updown 5m 1782979500	1	$25	41	0	+41	open	—	07-02 08:07
btc updown 5m 1781453100	1	$25	34	0	+34	open	—	06-14 16:06
eth updown 5m 1781986200	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	06-20 20:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	03-14 23:40
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-07 07:33
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	2	$21	42	0	+42	open	—	06-14 15:56
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 atm1	5	$20	52	0	+52	open	—	03-17 21:16
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	5	$19	102	0	+102	open	—	03-17 16:15
fif ksa egy 2026 03 26 egy	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-27 21:35
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	03-31 05:26
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 20:16
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	03-06 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:13:20	sol updown 5m 1782979800	Up	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x3858f6…
07-02 08:07:28	sol updown 5m 1782979500	Up	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0x83964e…
07-01 17:48:22	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xeb5852…
06-29 23:19:07	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xca4b1a…
06-29 23:16:44	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8ef209…
06-26 20:22:28	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 6pt5	Over	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x7759bf…
06-26 19:42:46	doge updown 15m 1782502200	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbcecb8…
06-26 19:36:37	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x595e65…
06-26 04:50:16	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 goals mohamed salah gte1	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2317f3…
06-25 22:30:46	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 goals brian brobbey gte1	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfe7fe3…
06-24 13:43:34	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x613362…
06-22 21:42:14	xrp updown 5m 1782164400	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x858cc9…
06-22 21:41:35	xrp updown 5m 1782164400	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc09a95…
06-22 21:21:19	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xea38b2…
06-21 06:58:16	btc updown 5m 1782024900	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1b0707…
06-21 06:53:26	eth updown 5m 1782024600	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa597a1…
06-21 06:52:37	eth updown 5m 1782024600	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x51e9a0…
06-21 06:52:34	eth updown 5m 1782024600	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xeab63b…
06-21 06:49:16	btc updown 5m 1782024300	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb52d79…
06-21 06:49:11	btc updown 5m 1782024300	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1103b1…
06-20 20:52:53	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	26	55¢	$15	0x6607c8…
06-20 20:50:02	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x836d39…
06-20 20:27:23	eth updown 15m 1781986500	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xdd88a5…
06-20 20:24:49	eth updown 15m 1781986500	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x0e4109…
06-20 20:19:56	btc updown 5m 1781986500	Down	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x8d8cc8…
06-20 20:14:40	eth updown 5m 1781986200	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x3c2615…
06-18 16:24:20	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x910929…
06-15 05:57:39	btc updown 5m 1781502900	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x66f4e5…
06-15 05:56:13	btc updown 5m 1781502900	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xd63a16…
06-15 05:55:42	btc updown 5m 1781502900	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x1acd55…
06-14 16:21:13	btc updown 5m 1781454000	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xa96008…
06-14 16:18:57	btc updown 5m 1781453700	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xc6d0fe…
06-14 16:06:39	btc updown 5m 1781453100	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x406a81…
06-14 16:01:07	btc updown 5m 1781452800	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x3f1ae9…
06-14 15:57:12	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xdd068f…
06-14 15:56:18	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x27397f…
06-10 09:38:33	btc updown 5m 1781084100	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xa22b83…
06-10 09:38:33	btc updown 5m 1781084100	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x5d9785…
06-07 20:14:36	eth updown 5m 1780863000	Up	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xb13655…
06-07 19:09:00	doge updown 5m 1780859100	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xd0e61f…
06-07 17:23:58	eth updown 15m 1780852500	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x5718f1…
06-01 12:12:56	UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Michael Chandler	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x72fd80…
05-31 16:42:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4e8171…
05-31 16:37:38	UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0xfa30f8…
05-26 14:22:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x285433…
05-26 10:27:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x30dbab…
05-22 17:49:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd777d1…
05-22 17:49:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0x060fec…
05-22 17:39:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	92	22¢	$20	0x8dc237…
05-22 16:21:21	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x6e3185…
05-22 16:19:55	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	109	17¢	$19	0x035913…
05-06 20:39:17	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x36a62f…
05-05 20:39:38	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x009fb1…
05-03 15:05:16	Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xc59a5f…
05-03 15:04:24	Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd7c17c…
04-29 20:04:40	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x50627f…
04-29 19:10:30	Will Trump say "Trump Account" in May?	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xba635d…
04-29 13:04:44	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x774384…
04-29 07:43:16	Will Trump say "Trump Account" in May?	No	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xd99fb6…
04-29 07:42:12	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in May?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x355b8b…
04-28 20:17:38	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xdbf81b…
04-28 20:16:18	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x7a93b8…
04-28 20:14:08	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xfd1a05…
04-28 20:08:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x35ac52…
04-28 19:59:42	Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xa7031f…
04-28 19:56:48	Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x672556…
04-28 19:43:48	Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x6296e6…
04-27 21:22:08	Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x026c19…
04-27 21:18:14	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x105558…
04-27 07:08:36	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa2f360…
04-27 07:07:44	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	96	1¢	$1	0xab6599…
04-27 07:06:52	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xfac686…
04-27 07:03:08	Will Trump say "Marble" or "Granite" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdcc9b2…
04-27 06:50:28	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0fabcf…
04-26 05:33:26	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0xb25ab6…
04-26 05:32:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa7d8ef…
04-23 04:50:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xba69c9…
04-22 04:41:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x128ec4…
04-21 21:01:34	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x36da50…
04-21 20:59:28	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xcde8b5…
04-21 20:24:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	4	14¢	$0	0xfbddf2…
04-21 20:24:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2a20d7…
04-21 08:27:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8b83a6…
04-19 15:39:56	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xe131a2…
04-17 21:13:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8bfd02…
04-17 15:29:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x681e2c…
04-17 15:28:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x7e5b09…
04-17 15:28:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x77c7d1…
04-16 18:54:40	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd4255e…
04-16 17:39:56	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x6463b2…
04-16 17:26:22	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	6¢	$6	0x15bc5b…
04-15 20:24:50	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 spo1	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x413299…
04-15 20:16:10	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd5739d…
04-15 16:05:10	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x11ec80…
04-15 05:56:56	Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2a6cf1…
04-15 05:55:22	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 spo1	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x1229bb…
04-14 15:25:13	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0xe6239d…
04-13 15:45:49	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x2d3e8b…
04-13 09:47:17	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc28232…
04-13 09:39:29	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x376706…