Hoarse-Jackal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-07 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-12

Politics

35% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1780863000	1	$80	85	0	+85	open	—	06-07 20:14
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	4	$48	122	122	+0	open	—	05-22 17:49
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$44	35	35	+0	open	—	04-22 04:41
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$42	333	0	+333	open	—	04-16 18:54
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	2	$30	33	16	+16	open	—	03-01 15:14
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	3	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	04-09 06:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$27	106	106	+0	open	—	04-11 20:58
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	7	$26	66	0	+66	open	—	04-14 15:25
doge updown 5m 1780859100	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	06-07 19:09
eth updown 15m 1780852500	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	06-07 17:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	03-14 23:40
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-07 07:33
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 atm1	5	$20	52	0	+52	open	—	03-17 21:16
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	5	$19	102	0	+102	open	—	03-17 16:15
fif ksa egy 2026 03 26 egy	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-27 21:35
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	03-31 05:26
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 20:16
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	03-06 22:00
fif che ger 2026 03 27 ger	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	03-27 21:41
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$16	32	0	+32	open	—	05-31 16:37
ere fey aja 2026 03 22 aja	3	$15	34	20	+14	open	—	03-22 14:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$15	33	33	+0	open	—	03-01 07:08
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$14	348	14	+333	open	—	04-29 13:04
Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 19:59
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-29 21:03
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	3	$13	39	0	+39	open	—	03-15 19:17
will trump say too late during the 2026 state of the union address	4	$13	17	12	+6	open	—	02-23 17:59
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	03-26 19:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$12	153	153	+0	open	—	04-01 12:34
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	2	$11	42	0	+42	open	—	04-13 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 20:14:36	eth updown 5m 1780863000	Up	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xb13655…
06-07 19:09:00	doge updown 5m 1780859100	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xd0e61f…
06-07 17:23:58	eth updown 15m 1780852500	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x5718f1…
06-01 12:12:56	UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Michael Chandler	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x72fd80…
05-31 16:42:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4e8171…
05-31 16:37:38	UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0xfa30f8…
05-26 14:22:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x285433…
05-26 10:27:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x30dbab…
05-22 17:49:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd777d1…
05-22 17:49:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0x060fec…
05-22 17:39:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	92	22¢	$20	0x8dc237…
05-22 16:21:21	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x6e3185…
05-22 16:19:55	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	109	17¢	$19	0x035913…
05-06 20:39:17	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x36a62f…
05-05 20:39:38	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x009fb1…
05-03 15:05:16	Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xc59a5f…
05-03 15:04:24	Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd7c17c…
04-29 20:04:40	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x50627f…
04-29 19:10:30	Will Trump say "Trump Account" in May?	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xba635d…
04-29 13:04:44	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x774384…
04-29 07:43:16	Will Trump say "Trump Account" in May?	No	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xd99fb6…
04-29 07:42:12	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in May?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x355b8b…
04-28 20:17:38	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xdbf81b…
04-28 20:16:18	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x7a93b8…
04-28 20:14:08	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xfd1a05…
04-28 20:08:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x35ac52…
04-28 19:59:42	Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xa7031f…
04-28 19:56:48	Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x672556…
04-28 19:43:48	Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x6296e6…
04-27 21:22:08	Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x026c19…
04-27 21:18:14	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x105558…
04-27 07:08:36	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa2f360…
04-27 07:07:44	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	96	1¢	$1	0xab6599…
04-27 07:06:52	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xfac686…
04-27 07:03:08	Will Trump say "Marble" or "Granite" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdcc9b2…
04-27 06:50:28	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0fabcf…
04-26 05:33:26	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0xb25ab6…
04-26 05:32:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa7d8ef…
04-23 04:50:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xba69c9…
04-22 04:41:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x128ec4…
04-21 21:01:34	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x36da50…
04-21 20:59:28	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xcde8b5…
04-21 20:24:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	4	14¢	$0	0xfbddf2…
04-21 20:24:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2a20d7…
04-21 08:27:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8b83a6…
04-19 15:39:56	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xe131a2…
04-17 21:13:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8bfd02…
04-17 15:29:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x681e2c…
04-17 15:28:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x7e5b09…
04-17 15:28:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x77c7d1…
04-16 18:54:40	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd4255e…
04-16 17:39:56	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x6463b2…
04-16 17:26:22	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	6¢	$6	0x15bc5b…
04-15 20:24:50	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 spo1	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x413299…
04-15 20:16:10	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd5739d…
04-15 16:05:10	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x11ec80…
04-15 05:56:56	Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2a6cf1…
04-15 05:55:22	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 spo1	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x1229bb…
04-14 15:25:13	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0xe6239d…
04-13 15:45:49	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x2d3e8b…
04-13 09:47:17	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc28232…
04-13 09:39:29	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x376706…
04-12 20:58:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x0feb27…
04-12 08:37:33	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb01545…
04-12 08:36:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3768cf…
04-11 21:25:53	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x0487a9…
04-11 20:58:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	106	12¢	$13	0xab50af…
04-11 20:56:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	106	13¢	$14	0xa666b4…
04-11 07:24:09	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x49d647…
04-09 06:46:53	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x0641f5…
04-09 06:44:35	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x814abf…
04-09 06:44:23	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x47b522…
04-09 06:44:09	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf80073…
04-09 06:42:01	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xfc4faa…
04-08 14:18:13	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd69a20…
04-08 14:12:53	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xd65ab9…
04-08 14:09:05	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x49069c…
04-08 13:58:25	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x7be786…
04-08 13:52:19	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1ad5a9…
04-08 13:50:59	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x293ac6…
04-08 13:50:41	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x614772…
04-08 13:49:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x13449d…
04-08 13:39:35	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x9f905f…
04-08 13:23:57	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x08e85f…
04-06 16:13:13	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 halftime result home	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8f1a62…
04-06 16:12:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x726d2d…
04-04 20:41:59	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0fdbbc…
04-04 20:41:03	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 halftime result home	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x111099…
04-04 16:26:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xed801f…
04-02 07:41:57	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	No	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x027be4…
04-02 07:38:39	epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xd6afdd…
04-01 12:38:41	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 halftime result home	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x858d3c…
04-01 12:38:05	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 halftime result home	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x2a1995…
04-01 12:34:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0xc13c4e…
03-31 18:23:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x09f966…
03-31 05:26:57	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3cf54d…
03-31 05:25:11	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x4b7020…
03-31 05:24:33	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 halftime result home	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x00ca32…
03-31 05:19:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x731555…
03-30 13:08:54	fif ksa ser 2026 03 30 ksa	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x008c2b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	70	$262.9K	21,065	05-28 19:16
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	57	$197.0K	16,310	04-29 12:43
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	47	$3.68M	12,900	05-06 20:33
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	47	$128.1K	1,690	05-22 20:00
Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b	43	$1.70M	5,565	05-06 18:59
Alive-Fritter 0xd37a…2358	41	$32.0K	3,446	04-30 09:36
Unconscious-Penguin 0xead1…c76a	40	$1.89M	26,200	04-24 17:59
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	40	$333.0K	6,579	06-03 07:03