Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$254

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 03-20 22:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

96% 9% -$5,043

Tech

3% 50% +$1,497

Politics

1% 50% +$248

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	177	$54.0K	96,854	90,107	+6,747	Yes	-$2,709	02-02 18:53
another us government shutdown by february 14	16	$2.4K	8,627	9,627	-1,000	No	-$652	02-12 18:52
chatgpt outage by march 15	3	$1.5K	2,500	750	+1,750	No	+$1,547	03-14 23:52
us government funding lapse on january 31	17	$812	3,750	3,750	+0	Yes	+$212	01-27 23:50
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	2	$685	578	578	+0	No	+$285	01-20 15:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	4	$500	3,626	0	+3,626	No	-$500	03-20 22:41
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 321 977 231 512 671 595	2	$490	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$490	02-12 20:20
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	3	$474	1,307	0	+1,307	No	-$474	02-13 10:27
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	8	$221	7,880	0	+7,880	No	-$221	01-29 04:26
nvda close above 185 on march 16 2026	1	$100	1,251	0	+1,251	No	-$100	03-16 19:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$64	556	556	+0	Yes	-$36	01-31 02:06
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$57	12,598	0	+12,598	Yes	-$57	01-28 18:47
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	1	$50	1,134	0	+1,134	Yes	-$50	02-27 22:09
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	3	$41	709	0	+709	No	-$41	01-29 05:21
nvda close above 180 on march 16 2026	1	$10	314	0	+314	Yes	-$10	03-16 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-20 22:41:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xa5926b…
03-20 22:10:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x18f1c8…
03-19 16:23:29	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x286a5a…
03-16 19:55:37	nvda close above 180 on march 16 2026	No	BUY	314	3¢	$10	0xf0a3ab…
03-16 19:35:35	nvda close above 185 on march 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1,251	8¢	$100	0x598752…
03-14 23:57:45	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0xf6f997…
03-14 23:52:47	chatgpt outage by march 15	No	SELL	750	90¢	$672	0xe7c37e…
02-27 22:09:31	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	1,134	4¢	$50	0x1bacbd…
02-27 21:26:15	chatgpt outage by march 15	No	BUY	2,399	35¢	$840	0xbbfd17…
02-27 21:19:27	chatgpt outage by march 15	No	BUY	101	35¢	$35	0xa827dc…
02-13 10:27:05	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	Yes	BUY	258	17¢	$44	0xb685b4…
02-12 20:20:09	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 321 977 231 512 671 595	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0xb59961…
02-12 20:17:11	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	Yes	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0xacb141…
02-12 20:13:43	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 321 977 231 512 671 595	Yes	BUY	2,000	17¢	$340	0xbb3da0…
02-12 20:11:51	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	Yes	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0xebbe12…
02-12 18:52:17	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	3,792	5¢	$186	0xd9015c…
02-12 18:39:43	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x03a522…
02-12 18:38:45	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	340	5¢	$16	0x12b482…
02-12 18:37:11	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	350	5¢	$17	0xff761a…
02-12 18:35:45	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0x0dc4ab…
02-12 18:35:03	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	354	5¢	$18	0x1e2a76…
02-12 18:32:35	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf990e6…
02-12 18:31:57	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	400	5¢	$21	0x27025b…
02-12 18:28:43	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x6bf71d…
02-12 18:28:21	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	154	5¢	$7	0x7afcbf…
02-12 18:25:17	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	787	5¢	$40	0xd4a66d…
02-12 18:11:43	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	4,828	5¢	$219	0x46f9b7…
02-12 17:31:53	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0x7aa555…
02-12 17:02:03	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	2,328	4¢	$100	0x28eed6…
02-12 16:21:09	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	1,007	94¢	$947	0x747c4a…
02-08 13:41:25	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	1,007	66¢	$665	0xbc4df6…
02-02 18:53:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	6,667	0¢	$20	0x0e5745…
01-31 10:29:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	2,857	1¢	$20	0x36b309…
01-31 05:04:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	4,733	0¢	$14	0x49687a…
01-31 02:09:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	833	96¢	$800	0x8669d7…
01-31 02:06:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	556	2¢	$14	0xcac643…
01-31 01:40:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	2,528	5¢	$134	0x812012…
01-31 01:38:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	2,205	6¢	$128	0x7356e7…
01-31 01:38:32	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	278	94¢	$262	0x363b88…
01-31 00:58:10	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	1,111	97¢	$1,077	0xece7d2…
01-31 00:56:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	25,425	3¢	$763	0x397a52…
01-31 00:02:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	2,000	7¢	$140	0x796540…
01-31 00:00:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x9a41fd…
01-30 21:44:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	664	12¢	$80	0xc9614b…
01-30 21:44:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x33c083…
01-30 21:43:56	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	336	12¢	$40	0xff1d7c…
01-30 21:39:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x35ce32…
01-30 17:40:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xde5f8d…
01-30 17:27:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	989	8¢	$79	0x63600a…
01-30 17:27:48	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x58bbf4…
01-30 17:27:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf25a07…
01-30 17:27:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x2693e9…
01-30 16:38:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdc66fa…
01-30 16:38:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	804	8¢	$64	0xb3ef4d…
01-30 16:38:06	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x788241…
01-30 16:38:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	173	8¢	$14	0xbdbf0c…
01-30 16:37:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xf2b7e5…
01-30 16:36:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x096229…
01-30 16:36:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x082fac…
01-30 16:23:40	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	94	15¢	$14	0x15aa68…
01-30 16:23:32	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	2,306	15¢	$346	0xb38a80…
01-30 11:30:56	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0x97021a…
01-30 11:21:40	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0xeb8a81…
01-30 10:14:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	28¢	$280	0xfa59f2…
01-30 09:42:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x29e466…
01-30 09:42:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x20f7c7…
01-30 09:41:56	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x01e419…
01-30 09:41:22	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	899	31¢	$279	0xf6329c…
01-30 05:17:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	32¢	$320	0xdccd18…
01-30 04:55:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	251	32¢	$80	0xab5330…
01-30 04:54:32	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x8a681f…
01-30 04:54:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	117	32¢	$38	0x9ced21…
01-30 04:53:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x2596d7…
01-30 04:53:20	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0xc07823…
01-30 04:52:58	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	288	32¢	$92	0x47e390…
01-30 04:52:06	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x79e8b4…
01-30 04:51:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x89a048…
01-30 04:50:58	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x967472…
01-30 04:45:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	124	33¢	$41	0x45762a…
01-30 04:45:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd55bf3…
01-30 04:44:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x90eeda…
01-30 04:44:38	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x6d82c4…
01-30 04:44:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	842	33¢	$278	0x1244fc…
01-30 04:43:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	79	33¢	$26	0x366ea2…
01-30 04:42:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x50a581…
01-30 04:42:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x4b8bac…
01-30 04:42:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb6e00a…
01-30 04:42:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xb31059…
01-30 04:40:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe123f0…
01-30 04:40:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdae4ab…
01-30 04:39:36	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x04c6e0…
01-30 04:39:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	92	33¢	$30	0xc37040…
01-30 04:39:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	182	33¢	$60	0xc7f31a…
01-30 04:39:22	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7d76a1…
01-30 04:38:56	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x879de9…
01-30 04:38:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xdb8069…
01-30 04:38:20	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0xd45263…
01-30 04:38:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x492f80…
01-30 04:38:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	160	33¢	$53	0xd4c384…
01-30 04:37:42	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0x8738c2…