Fat-Confidentiality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

3,416

Trades

3,417

lifetime

Volume

$68.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-27 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% +$11,893

Other

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:55 UTC	1	$50	54	+54	Down	+$5	04-12 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 18:00 UTC	1	$50	62	+62	Up	+$12	04-12 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 09:35 UTC	1	$50	103	+103	Up	+$54	04-12 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:00 UTC	1	$50	56	+56	Down	-$50	04-12 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 02:50 UTC	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	04-12 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:10 UTC	1	$50	55	+55	Down	+$6	04-12 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:50 UTC	1	$50	55	+55	Up	+$6	04-13 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:00 UTC	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	04-13 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:35 UTC	1	$50	63	+63	Up	+$14	04-12 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:40 UTC	1	$50	56	+56	Up	+$7	04-12 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:50 UTC	1	$49	108	+108	Down	+$58	04-12 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:45 UTC	1	$49	56	+56	Up	+$6	04-12 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:10 UTC	1	$49	123	+123	Up	+$74	04-12 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:05 UTC	1	$49	62	+62	Up	+$13	04-12 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:25 UTC	1	$49	79	+79	Up	-$49	04-13 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 11:20 UTC	1	$49	57	+57	Down	+$8	04-12 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 18:10 UTC	1	$49	56	+56	Up	+$6	04-12 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:20 UTC	1	$49	56	+56	Down	-$49	04-13 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:35 UTC	1	$49	52	+52	Down	+$3	04-18 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 18:05 UTC	1	$49	56	+56	Up	+$6	04-12 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:10 UTC	1	$49	52	+52	Down	+$3	04-18 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:10 UTC	1	$49	69	+69	Up	+$19	04-12 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:40 UTC	1	$49	54	+54	Down	+$4	04-12 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:10 UTC	1	$49	54	+54	Up	-$49	04-13 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 08:55 UTC	1	$49	70	+70	Down	-$49	04-19 09:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:30 UTC	1	$49	52	+52	Down	+$3	04-12 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 02:55 UTC	1	$49	52	+52	Up	+$3	04-13 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 00:35 UTC	1	$49	52	+52	Down	+$3	04-13 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:30 UTC	1	$49	59	+59	Down	+$10	04-12 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:55 UTC	1	$49	65	+65	Up	+$16	04-12 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:28:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0xc02cb8…
10-27 02:42:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x153370…
10-27 02:12:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xc86a86…
10-27 02:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	94	42¢	$40	0x6d887e…
10-27 01:42:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xea4f0b…
10-27 00:42:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xfeaf8b…
10-27 00:42:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x2f3287…
10-27 00:42:05	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x5a8846…
10-27 00:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x3b914b…
10-26 22:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0xcf0546…
10-26 22:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0x83dd6a…
10-26 22:57:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x34622e…
10-25 21:28:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0xaaaee7…
10-25 21:27:39	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x0e5d8f…
10-25 20:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	92	43¢	$40	0x270ca6…
10-25 20:12:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xe5941c…
10-25 20:12:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x9a2b98…
10-25 18:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	117	34¢	$40	0x3d52b2…
10-25 18:43:32	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x12761a…
10-25 17:57:09	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xb4eed5…
10-25 17:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	106	38¢	$40	0x10a28a…
10-25 04:58:12	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x9f9f3a…
10-25 04:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x7b88c8…
10-25 04:58:12	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x64ab56…
10-25 03:43:05	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	98	31¢	$30	0xa8cc11…
10-25 03:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	365	11¢	$40	0x3579c4…
10-25 02:57:23	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	76	39¢	$30	0x8475c8…
10-25 02:57:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x7d5eea…
10-25 02:57:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	127	32¢	$40	0x2be4a4…
10-25 02:57:23	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0x11c72e…
10-24 23:13:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x21a070…
10-24 23:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x837a82…
10-24 20:28:27	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0xf137c4…
10-24 20:28:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0xfad516…
10-24 20:28:26	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xe5ce69…
10-24 18:43:42	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x0648a9…
10-24 13:28:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x99813a…
10-24 13:28:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	209	19¢	$40	0x438614…
10-24 05:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	110	36¢	$40	0x97cef2…
10-24 05:48:11	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x5322c0…
10-24 05:33:32	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x2c6da0…
10-24 04:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x2776f4…
10-24 04:43:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xa10dde…
10-24 04:43:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x5a3cb0…
10-24 03:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xbfca3c…
10-24 03:58:12	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xaf9986…
10-23 21:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x8d8aab…
10-23 21:07:06	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x1680d0…
10-23 20:57:51	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x8a4ed9…
10-23 20:57:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x0d1aec…
10-23 20:42:20	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0xe7b960…
10-23 20:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x0afe51…
10-23 20:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x63b6a6…
10-23 01:12:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0xf9d6d8…
10-23 01:12:18	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x794a10…
10-23 00:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x6983ca…
10-23 00:57:24	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x5090e2…
10-21 21:58:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	194	8¢	$15	0x08a7a5…
10-21 21:58:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xeec3b4…
10-21 13:13:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xaa7103…
10-21 13:13:17	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x0d8997…
10-20 23:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x9e786e…
10-20 23:42:12	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x64171a…
10-20 23:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x1daaae…
10-20 22:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	522	8¢	$40	0xb29d51…
10-20 22:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	476	3¢	$15	0x7a16d4…
10-20 21:38:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xf2a55d…
10-20 21:38:59	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xa2d8e5…
10-19 09:03:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x62160f…
10-18 01:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x3a9b32…
10-18 01:13:14	Solana Up or Down - October 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1929b8…
10-17 20:42:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0xbfbac3…
10-17 20:42:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0x8e1b3d…
10-17 20:42:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x43f54d…
10-17 20:42:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x2f90b8…
10-17 20:22:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xf025af…
10-17 20:13:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0xf10617…
10-17 20:13:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xcad488…
10-17 20:13:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x7a6a21…
10-17 20:13:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x2667a1…
10-17 19:57:08	Solana Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x24769b…
10-17 19:57:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xc397de…
10-17 19:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x6f9526…
10-17 19:57:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x5f7983…
10-17 18:57:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xf42828…
10-17 18:57:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x233303…
10-17 18:57:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x02cb1a…
10-17 18:57:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x355c08…
10-17 10:58:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xf2e7e5…
10-17 10:58:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x3dc139…
10-17 10:58:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x224ce8…
10-17 07:02:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x90333f…
10-17 06:59:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xa4e294…
10-16 23:57:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xbf49a0…
10-16 23:57:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xade1b4…
10-16 23:57:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x4c25fd…
10-16 23:27:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x420571…
10-16 23:27:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x3fb950…
10-16 23:27:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x59610c…
10-16 23:17:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x0cd454…