Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

21 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$34

$34 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

7 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 10-21 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

68% 60% +$4

Tech

17% 0% $0

Crypto

15% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	+3	$3	96¢	$3	+$0	09-18 12:52
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	No	+3	$2	90¢	$3	+$1	10-19 03:04
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+3	$2	90¢	$2	+$0	10-19 01:56
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	+4	$2	52¢	$2	+$0	10-19 03:08
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	10-19 03:28
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	+2	$1	43¢	$1	$0	10-21 08:40
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$1	10¢	$0	-$1	10-19 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 08:40:42	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4c4163…
10-21 08:40:30	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x21d450…
10-19 03:28:53	Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe10c55…
10-19 03:25:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x2442d1…
10-19 03:25:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x34f6c7…
10-19 03:16:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc0be59…
10-19 03:13:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x975c49…
10-19 03:08:54	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0f2160…
10-19 03:04:26	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfbbf8c…
10-19 03:04:03	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcfd3e3…
10-19 01:58:03	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x60998e…
10-19 01:56:30	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x629ab0…
10-19 01:52:42	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x39f60b…
09-19 02:14:27	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x193742…
09-19 01:46:21	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x149245…
09-18 14:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x183586…
09-18 12:52:30	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xace808…
09-18 12:50:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xb1d0a3…
09-18 12:23:26	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x58018c…
09-18 12:23:08	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb3938f…
09-18 09:29:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x645a06…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	09-19 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	09-18 14:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	10-19 03:25
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-18 12:52
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$2	3	3	+0	No	-$2	10-19 01:52
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	10-19 01:56
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	10-19 03:04
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	10-19 03:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	09-18 12:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-19 03:25
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 02:14
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-19 03:28
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	10-19 01:58
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-21 08:40
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	10-21 08:40