Vigilant-Pentagon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

22,454

lifetime

Volume

$1.78M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-10 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

68% 60% +$93

Other

26% 67% +$28

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	456	$149.4K	91,163	81,973	+9,190	open	—	04-01 00:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	532	$148.6K	98,155	97,435	+720	open	—	04-07 23:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	293	$80.3K	45,222	45,467	-245	open	—	04-29 18:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	549	$60.0K	46,418	44,530	+1,887	open	—	05-12 17:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	832	$41.7K	123,032	126,440	-3,409	open	—	03-01 00:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	919	$41.0K	196,059	218,149	-22,090	open	—	03-01 00:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	57	$33.7K	17,121	17,121	+0	open	—	03-31 22:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	102	$27.8K	15,621	15,189	+432	open	—	05-21 22:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	201	$27.8K	23,268	22,559	+708	open	—	05-14 18:44
will company b be accused of insider trading	430	$25.0K	18,371	21,742	-3,371	open	—	02-26 13:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	222	$24.8K	18,210	18,210	+0	open	—	04-15 12:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	172	$24.4K	16,096	14,205	+1,891	open	—	06-15 18:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	81	$22.9K	12,015	11,890	+125	open	—	05-27 21:17
netanyahu out by march 31 854	82	$22.4K	12,001	11,183	+818	open	—	03-20 00:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	82	$20.5K	11,782	11,782	+0	open	—	05-26 22:57
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	74	$20.3K	11,423	11,423	+0	open	—	04-16 21:25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	41	$19.2K	10,371	9,571	+800	open	—	05-27 19:37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	370	$17.9K	19,143	19,382	-238	open	—	03-07 17:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	78	$17.6K	9,590	8,908	+682	open	—	05-15 00:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	417	$16.5K	20,027	20,612	-585	open	—	03-06 18:07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	114	$15.9K	8,662	8,662	+0	open	—	05-28 18:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	46	$15.5K	8,798	7,900	+898	open	—	03-24 15:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	55	$15.5K	7,903	7,903	+0	open	—	04-13 19:34
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	93	$15.3K	8,066	8,066	+0	Yes	+$24	04-26 17:48
Iran leadership change by April 30?	39	$15.2K	8,870	6,652	+2,218	open	—	04-30 14:48
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	371	$14.4K	16,823	17,005	-182	open	—	04-28 17:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	24	$14.3K	8,042	6,937	+1,105	open	—	04-07 19:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	48	$14.0K	7,363	7,363	+0	open	—	06-09 18:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	77	$13.7K	7,125	6,776	+348	open	—	04-15 22:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	273	$13.7K	14,220	14,057	+162	open	—	04-23 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:28:55	will georgia be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822086	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x3659c9…
08-11 01:18:52	will wildcard make playoffs 20260810160605056	No	SELL	140	85¢	$119	0xff42fc…
08-10 22:11:33	will wildcard make playoffs 20260810160605056	No	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0x671b48…
08-10 22:11:19	will wildcard make playoffs 20260810160605056	No	BUY	181	68¢	$123	0x46e6d9…
08-09 16:53:51	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260807161048094	No	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0x7543ba…
08-09 16:53:40	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260807161048094	No	BUY	110	20¢	$22	0x290582…
08-09 16:50:27	will automatic be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260807161140119	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x26feef…
08-09 16:50:07	will automatic be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260807161140119	No	BUY	125	44¢	$55	0x17f995…
08-08 21:51:25	will livvy dunne attend the us open finals 20260807052019178	No	SELL	274	85¢	$234	0x60c37b…
08-08 21:50:09	will livvy dunne attend the us open finals 20260807052019178	No	BUY	145	83¢	$120	0x48026a…
08-08 21:49:07	will livvy dunne attend the us open finals 20260807052019178	No	BUY	309	83¢	$255	0xcde23b…
08-08 21:46:36	will dak prescott attend the us open finals 20260807052019173	No	SELL	150	97¢	$145	0x287f59…
08-08 21:09:07	will dak prescott attend the us open finals 20260807052019173	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x2e28c8…
08-08 19:07:52	will aaron judge attend the us open finals 20260807052019171	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x3528fd…
08-08 19:03:19	will aaron judge attend the us open finals 20260807052019171	No	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x117a17…
08-08 19:02:58	will lebron james attend the us open finals 20260807052019163	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x8ea4fa…
08-08 18:50:10	will aaron judge attend the us open finals 20260807052019171	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x76182a…
08-08 18:48:07	will lebron james attend the us open finals 20260807052019163	No	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0xa157b6…
08-08 18:16:27	will dak prescott attend the us open finals 20260807052019173	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x3165a3…
08-08 17:59:12	will dak prescott attend the us open finals 20260807052019173	No	BUY	420	88¢	$371	0x4cde8a…
08-08 17:50:37	will aaron judge attend the us open finals 20260807052019171	No	BUY	400	86¢	$345	0xc9448f…
08-08 17:46:07	will lebron james attend the us open finals 20260807052019163	No	BUY	130	81¢	$105	0x02d7c5…
08-08 00:45:40	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 10 20260807160754654	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xdf66c3…
08-07 21:18:31	will drew campbell be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432951	No	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0xf5dbfa…
08-07 20:06:18	lol th fnc 2026 08 07	Fnatic	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x388c67…
08-07 19:35:25	will haley thogmartin be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432952	Yes	SELL	79	43¢	$34	0x6ecb9e…
08-07 19:35:01	will rick devens be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432960	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x585df6…
08-07 17:32:40	will dee valladares be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432962	No	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x21bbc8…
08-07 17:26:24	will haley thogmartin be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432952	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x37d6b6…
08-07 17:25:28	will dee valladares be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432962	No	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0xbeabd0…
08-07 17:18:28	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432953	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x9173c0…
08-07 17:17:55	will haley thogmartin be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432952	Yes	BUY	39	35¢	$14	0x5437ff…
08-07 16:41:18	lol shft gx 2026 08 07 game2	Shifters	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x7bb707…
08-07 16:38:57	lol shft gx 2026 08 07 game2	Shifters	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x294daf…
08-07 16:37:15	lol shft gx 2026 08 07 game2	Shifters	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x65e012…
08-07 16:33:42	lol shft gx 2026 08 07 game2	Shifters	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x71dcf0…
08-07 15:41:36	lol shft gx 2026 08 07 game1	GIANTX	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0xe167c8…
08-05 13:39:42	will lyonz penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856616	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe0dafd…
08-04 12:47:33	lol bro2 drx 2026 08 04 game2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xb5a762…
08-04 12:46:57	lol bro2 drx 2026 08 04 game2	Kiwoom DRX	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0xa75750…
08-04 12:40:08	lol bro2 drx 2026 08 04 game2	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0x0627a3…
08-04 12:39:24	lol bro2 drx 2026 08 04 game2	HANJIN BRION	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0xdb9825…
08-04 12:38:06	lol bro2 drx 2026 08 04 game2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xf71114…
08-03 16:40:18	lol navi shft 2026 08 03 game2	Shifters	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x77965f…
08-03 16:38:26	lol navi shft 2026 08 03 game2	Natus Vincere	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x74eda9…
08-03 16:28:06	lol navi shft 2026 08 03 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x7185c3…
08-03 15:45:51	lol navi shft 2026 08 03 game1	Natus Vincere	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0x4806b9…
08-02 23:11:42	lol tl2 sen 2026 08 02 game2	Team Liquid	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x72102d…
08-02 23:01:35	lol tl2 sen 2026 08 02 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xbc4673…
08-01 21:02:56	will impact penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856627	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x029c93…
08-01 20:57:56	will impact penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856627	No	BUY	79	93¢	$74	0xe53863…
08-01 20:14:17	lol kc navi 2026 08 01 game2	Karmine Corp	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x665439…
08-01 20:13:06	lol kc navi 2026 08 01 game2	Karmine Corp	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x58ecec…
08-01 20:11:05	lol kc navi 2026 08 01 game2	Karmine Corp	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x2e0ea0…
08-01 20:07:32	lol kc navi 2026 08 01 game2	Karmine Corp	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x9e55df…
08-01 20:04:03	lol kc navi 2026 08 01 game2	Natus Vincere	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x967be3…
08-01 19:54:23	lol kc navi 2026 08 01 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x75faf0…
08-01 19:14:38	lol kc navi 2026 08 01 game1	Natus Vincere	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0x73b65a…
08-01 19:13:29	lol kc navi 2026 08 01 game1	Karmine Corp	SELL	51	35¢	$18	0xe0499a…
08-01 19:02:29	lol kc navi 2026 08 01 game1	Karmine Corp	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0x42c087…
08-01 16:35:20	will hope penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841804	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x719c52…
08-01 16:35:09	will shanks penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841803	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6d160e…
08-01 16:28:05	will zhuo penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841857	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x019fc7…
08-01 15:38:14	will jwei penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841862	No	BUY	1,095	95¢	$1,040	0xc268de…
08-01 15:36:23	will parukia penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841815	No	BUY	1,100	95¢	$1,046	0x8cbef8…
08-01 15:32:18	will zhuo penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841857	No	BUY	521	96¢	$499	0xb50917…
08-01 15:29:12	will kael penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841805	No	BUY	2,200	96¢	$2,109	0x9abb89…
08-01 15:24:35	will lyonz penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856616	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xe055e8…
08-01 15:21:26	will career get a pentakill in lck 2026 rounds 3 4 20260730210536373	No	BUY	630	96¢	$603	0x9fa546…
08-01 15:14:14	will life get a pentakill in lck 2026 rounds 3 4 20260730210536367	No	BUY	593	96¢	$567	0xc0eb5a…
08-01 14:55:09	will feather penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841852	No	BUY	415	95¢	$394	0x718539…
08-01 04:43:50	will shanks penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841803	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5dfe90…
08-01 04:41:56	will hope penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841804	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x80c1d3…
07-31 19:28:32	will amd say game or gaming 5 times during earnings call 20260730164425703	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xef8938…
07-31 19:15:20	will amd say data center 10 times during earnings call 20260730164425702	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x34b45d…
07-31 18:41:03	will amd say desktop during earnings call 20260730164425704	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x525b75…
07-31 18:27:17	will amd say pipeline during earnings call 20260730164425705	No	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0xc5a577…
07-31 18:25:42	will amd say gpu 10 times during earnings call 20260730164425701	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x4ff52b…
07-28 22:09:17	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161921248	No	SELL	123	62¢	$76	0x47d98b…
07-28 22:06:47	will anyone say detective during big brother e13 20260727163407081	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x7f3cfd…
07-28 15:15:23	will anyone say camera during big brother e11 20260727163226885	No	BUY	354	57¢	$202	0xaca0b5…
07-28 14:42:01	will constitution be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161921249	Yes	BUY	255	31¢	$80	0xbb917d…
07-28 14:26:04	will europe or european be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161921256	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x319487…
07-28 14:25:08	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260727161921248	No	BUY	230	52¢	$119	0xe4d76b…
07-27 22:44:25	will trump say six seven in july 20260629200910972	No	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0x1d0a1d…
07-27 21:23:39	will trump say six seven in july 20260629200910972	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xd2ce26…
07-27 21:23:30	will trump say six seven in july 20260629200910972	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf19515…
07-27 15:29:22	will beezie launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727145732885	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x557ae0…
07-27 15:28:31	will monster launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727145113740	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2b3f3f…
07-27 15:19:33	will phygitals launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727144541112	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xd02c98…
07-27 15:15:07	will courtyard launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727145836885	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x9260ab…
07-27 13:53:24	will boeing say delivery during earnings call 20260724221853552	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x4d63d1…
07-26 22:49:33	lol sr dsg 2026 07 26 game1	Disguised	BUY	51	25¢	$13	0x68199d…
07-26 22:47:58	lol sr dsg 2026 07 26 game1	Disguised	BUY	51	50¢	$25	0x789ec3…
07-26 22:43:15	lol sr dsg 2026 07 26 game1	Shopify Rebellion	SELL	51	50¢	$26	0x4ddb3e…
07-26 22:41:28	lol sr dsg 2026 07 26 game1	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	51	11¢	$6	0x493ff6…
07-26 22:33:15	lol sr dsg 2026 07 26 game1	Disguised	SELL	51	47¢	$24	0x275b68…
07-26 22:29:12	lol sr dsg 2026 07 26 game1	Disguised	BUY	51	36¢	$18	0x15bbeb…
07-26 04:38:33	will anyone say energy during big brother e10 20260720170408424	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x21145c…
07-26 04:38:21	will anyone say camera during big brother e10 20260720170408423	No	BUY	61	30¢	$18	0xd76a05…