Improbable-Android — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.6%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$590

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-04 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Sports

52% 9% $-32

Other

46% 30% $-30

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04 map handicap home 1pt5	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 12:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 08:28
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 01:37
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	2	$8	5	5	+0	T1	+$0	05-13 08:33
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 01:54
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	3	$7	14	6	+8	open	—	05-20 10:55
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 00:18
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-27 01:23
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)	2	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 08:19
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-22 00:19
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	05-22 00:17
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 23:49
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	3	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-29 01:12
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	2	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 11:11
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 00:21
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	05-19 00:40
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-25 00:23
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-29 22:48
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 00:25
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 23:15
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 00:15
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 13:49
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 01:02
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 11:21
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	2	$6	5	5	+0	G2	$-1	05-10 06:05
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 15:02
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	2	$6	6	5	+1	open	—	05-18 23:50
Wild vs. Avalanche	2	$6	5	5	+0	Avalanche	$-1	05-14 00:13
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-27 00:41
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 21:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 12:31:25	cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04 map handicap home 1pt5	FlyQuest	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x02cf96…
06-04 12:08:33	cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04 map handicap home 1pt5	FlyQuest	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5e8fb8…
06-04 12:05:19	cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04 map handicap home 1pt5	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x213488…
06-04 12:03:13	cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04 map handicap home 1pt5	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4131eb…
06-04 00:54:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 216pt5	Over	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xd7b0ba…
06-03 21:56:24	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 216pt5	Over	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x579e99…
06-03 09:00:06	Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)	EDward Gaming	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x4889e3…
06-03 08:11:16	Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)	EDward Gaming	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x57eae6…
06-01 23:15:59	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xe1e8fb…
06-01 18:55:33	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc33f7f…
06-01 15:02:57	Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)	GIANTX	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x8b255c…
06-01 13:37:49	Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)	GIANTX	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x195667…
05-31 09:00:08	Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)	HANJIN BRION	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x7b0820…
05-31 08:59:57	Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)	HANJIN BRION	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x0f6891…
05-30 22:15:19	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa086ed…
05-30 19:43:58	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	Under	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xaf6d18…
05-30 16:06:55	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x12bc93…
05-29 22:48:26	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5	Over	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x59995d…
05-29 22:33:46	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x393814…
05-29 20:51:30	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7298c3…
05-29 01:12:21	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Over	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x325332…
05-29 01:02:05	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x9dde82…
05-29 00:43:32	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Over	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x78cdb5…
05-28 22:36:59	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0dd68b…
05-28 21:00:40	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xaa392a…
05-28 01:13:11	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfc6849…
05-27 01:23:14	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x2a220c…
05-27 00:41:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x281903…
05-26 07:11:46	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x307a47…
05-26 00:39:29	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd8df25…
05-26 00:27:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0x08361a…
05-25 17:27:52	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x90e260…
05-25 15:21:17	Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	G2 Esports	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x697029…
05-25 14:26:52	Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	G2 Esports	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x24d14d…
05-25 11:56:18	Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	Nongshim Red Force	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0xa629ca…
05-25 11:40:45	Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x6ef404…
05-25 00:25:54	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x2721f1…
05-25 00:23:50	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Under	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x42bc8f…
05-25 00:18:05	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5	Under	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x52d979…
05-25 00:15:57	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Under	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x70c6f6…
05-24 22:20:15	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xf9fa45…
05-24 21:25:14	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x58262f…
05-24 11:25:29	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xd805a1…
05-24 10:04:12	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb3181f…
05-24 00:16:26	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa12800…
05-24 00:14:51	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5	Under	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x5917fc…
05-23 23:19:04	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x1c2ad2…
05-23 18:57:02	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5b85c3…
05-23 04:55:52	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xed9448…
05-23 04:15:38	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1c8647…
05-23 00:46:41	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x56772a…
05-23 00:37:53	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x766a3e…
05-22 16:32:54	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xfb4ff6…
05-22 00:40:35	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8dfb4a…
05-22 00:19:26	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x10b8af…
05-22 00:17:53	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x7f7aa0…
05-21 17:19:42	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	5	46¢	$3	0xd65184…
05-21 16:22:37	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x004687…
05-21 15:22:09	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x561fec…
05-21 14:56:47	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4fb7c8…
05-21 01:37:21	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x5cd852…
05-21 01:12:30	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xc13dbf…
05-21 00:42:20	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Under	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x39f27e…
05-20 19:53:18	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5fe452…
05-20 16:16:51	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x06100e…
05-20 10:55:16	Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	KT Rolster	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xd17f99…
05-20 10:53:11	Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xae99fd…
05-20 09:53:59	Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x06e3b7…
05-20 00:32:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc29d09…
05-20 00:21:32	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5	Under	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x02d02e…
05-20 00:15:50	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xde4709…
05-19 19:26:18	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xffd26d…
05-19 00:40:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xd225b1…
05-19 00:09:38	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5520c7…
05-18 23:50:43	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x634746…
05-18 23:49:34	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x9046a0…
05-18 20:42:54	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x289cef…
05-18 12:22:56	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa2b734…
05-18 02:21:55	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x1b26f8…
05-17 11:11:38	Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	HANJIN BRION	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xaad037…
05-17 10:51:13	Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	HANJIN BRION	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc138ff…
05-17 10:23:11	Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x5332c9…
05-17 09:34:34	Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xef0735…
05-17 02:40:36	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x688d97…
05-17 02:23:18	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4f68d1…
05-17 02:05:36	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x9285f9…
05-17 01:33:10	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Juan Diaz	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xab46ee…
05-17 00:52:43	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Juan Diaz	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xf07a63…
05-17 00:18:44	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Khaos Williams	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xe0023b…
05-16 22:06:59	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Polyana Viana	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x664647…
05-16 21:51:41	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Polyana Viana	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x56609d…
05-16 21:40:06	UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	Luis Gurule	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x822c51…
05-16 21:26:23	UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	Luis Gurule	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc68fd2…
05-16 13:49:47	SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xe4515f…
05-16 09:44:21	SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa4e1ad…
05-16 07:12:27	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x05e458…
05-16 07:12:25	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Khaos Williams	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x01480f…
05-16 01:54:06	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xe4c8be…
05-15 10:24:14	Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)	HANJIN BRION	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x6d2772…
05-15 09:55:53	Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)	HANJIN BRION	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9a0f53…