Sore-Littleneck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$321

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

116

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 09-21 09:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

86% 51% +$359

Politics

8% 26% -$72

Crypto

3% 50% +$36

Sports

2% 50% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-15	-$3	18¢	$-3	+$0	05-03 17:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-2	-$2	82¢	$-2	$0	05-03 17:28
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-14	-$2	5¢	$-1	+$1	08-20 13:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	14	$218	362	0	+362	No	+$144	07-30 19:58
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	3	$134	99	99	-0	No	$0	08-20 13:26
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	6	$122	151	136	+15	Yes	-$2	08-21 13:42
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	14	$90	190	0	+190	No	+$100	08-11 10:18
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	2	$83	67	67	+0	No	-$1	08-20 13:26
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	23	$71	139	0	+139	Yes	-$71	08-11 09:19
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative?	1	$60	69	0	+69	No	+$9	08-01 01:39
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?	2	$55	64	0	+64	No	+$9	07-31 00:21
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	10	$52	97	97	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 21:16
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	4	$47	125	0	+125	Yes	+$78	07-14 16:07
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	5	$39	48	21	+27	Yes	+$16	08-26 18:15
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$36	91	91	+0	No	+$5	05-13 08:59
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	2	$36	46	0	+46	No	+$11	07-05 18:34
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	3	$35	79	0	+79	No	+$43	07-05 06:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$34	45	0	+45	No	+$11	07-24 18:53
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	3	$33	129	0	+129	No	-$33	08-03 01:20
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	3	$31	82	0	+82	Yes	-$31	05-10 20:17
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	2	$30	124	0	+124	No	-$30	05-09 05:14
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	3	$27	44	0	+44	No	+$18	06-09 01:47
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$26	56	0	+56	BetBoom Team	-$26	05-09 17:08
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$20	30	0	+30	No	+$10	04-09 13:09
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?	2	$19	38	0	+38	No	+$20	06-09 14:49
will micron q3 dram revenue be above 29b	2	$18	32	0	+32	Yes	-$18	06-09 11:56
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$18	43	34	+8	Yes	-$3	04-11 13:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$16	25	25	+0	No	-$3	05-13 08:59
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	3	$16	30	0	+30	Yes	+$14	05-31 00:43
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	3	$16	37	0	+37	Yes	-$16	05-30 00:10
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?	4	$16	32	0	+32	Yes	-$16	05-31 10:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	2	$16	28	0	+28	Yes	+$13	05-09 07:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$16	121	0	+121	No	-$16	05-08 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 09:22:57	Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x385133…
08-26 18:15:42	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xb2e619…
08-21 20:19:43	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x466983…
08-21 13:42:12	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x6b52ef…
08-20 13:26:34	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xcd7542…
08-20 13:26:33	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x6a9c9b…
08-20 13:26:33	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	SELL	67	61¢	$41	0x373794…
08-20 13:26:31	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	SELL	136	44¢	$60	0xa764cf…
08-20 13:26:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	SELL	99	68¢	$67	0x9f52e1…
08-18 19:37:01	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x66e98a…
08-18 19:37:01	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x64acd7…
08-18 19:36:49	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0xcc867f…
08-18 03:19:36	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x2a47f6…
08-11 19:53:16	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$21	0xcd6804…
08-11 10:18:09	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x90a706…
08-11 10:13:46	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xee47db…
08-11 09:19:27	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdf6e38…
08-11 08:05:01	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	BUY	67	63¢	$42	0xd2cd56…
08-11 06:33:13	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x13c335…
08-11 05:14:13	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3f0cf6…
08-11 04:56:09	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe2cddf…
08-11 00:39:24	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfbb6c4…
08-11 00:30:55	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x561be5…
08-11 00:16:07	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x531f5a…
08-10 21:58:10	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9ef09a…
08-10 19:37:24	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaf4d4a…
08-10 19:19:49	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xcd578b…
08-10 18:01:48	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xfc6f7e…
08-10 15:24:46	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3afc26…
08-10 15:10:24	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe87ba2…
08-10 09:53:55	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x754e53…
08-10 01:47:15	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	BUY	55	68¢	$37	0xbed93c…
08-08 13:03:34	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x09bb68…
08-08 13:03:33	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe287fb…
08-08 13:03:31	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xba26d9…
08-08 11:44:46	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x09f2b7…
08-08 11:44:04	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1d500d…
08-08 11:42:10	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x74d694…
08-08 11:40:18	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf8c0e0…
08-08 11:21:07	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe9f565…
08-08 11:15:52	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x48cdf5…
08-08 11:12:37	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8c8c68…
08-08 10:59:21	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x564698…
08-08 08:34:03	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x18cdb6…
08-08 08:26:34	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5e25f4…
08-08 08:20:42	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xeb1cd6…
08-08 08:13:00	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9d12eb…
08-08 07:36:51	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6b69f7…
08-08 07:31:19	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe69fc8…
08-08 07:25:43	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x61691c…
08-08 06:59:54	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x294d5c…
08-08 06:56:13	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xaf2d98…
08-08 06:55:16	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x654b60…
08-04 10:15:11	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	73	46¢	$33	0x10f156…
08-04 04:58:12	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xd16947…
08-03 01:20:05	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$13	0xb9f355…
08-03 01:19:39	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x8d78b1…
08-02 16:45:59	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	69	26¢	$18	0xcce8ac…
08-01 01:39:38	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative?	No	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0xb81cf9…
07-31 00:21:59	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xf12827…
07-30 19:58:56	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xf14818…
07-30 15:26:48	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x0ac3df…
07-29 21:11:32	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	32	58¢	$19	0xcb6c94…
07-29 11:50:27	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x367b7f…
07-29 06:15:33	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x89850f…
07-28 23:58:07	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	62	61¢	$38	0xcf1954…
07-27 17:07:06	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0x077e1e…
07-26 15:34:00	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	44	61¢	$27	0x280ddf…
07-24 18:53:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x266a38…
07-24 18:51:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0x71dcfd…
07-22 19:45:27	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x733ff3…
07-22 17:09:45	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x208692…
07-18 12:12:42	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xec0362…
07-18 12:12:40	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x1c11b1…
07-18 02:59:58	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x8c2885…
07-17 14:08:27	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x280e73…
07-15 07:29:41	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x8c5c13…
07-14 16:07:32	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x1a9959…
07-13 14:33:43	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0x5a3d8e…
07-13 14:33:31	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0x45d278…
07-13 10:55:29	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0x2e9117…
07-05 18:34:41	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0x4a6921…
07-05 06:20:10	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xd05a76…
07-05 05:14:41	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xaa23b5…
07-04 23:43:37	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0x9441d6…
07-04 15:43:14	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	BUY	62	45¢	$28	0x2873ab…
07-03 06:20:04	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x49f989…
07-02 01:46:41	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x84f32a…
07-01 12:30:53	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	No	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0xd21d42…
06-10 01:33:40	Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf726fc…
06-09 14:49:09	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?	No	BUY	26	48¢	$13	0x6b1927…
06-09 14:10:13	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x64ceef…
06-09 11:56:33	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 29b	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xa45193…
06-09 10:45:03	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0xe87dfb…
06-09 08:35:46	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 29b	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xea32f6…
06-09 01:47:06	Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	No	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xf9f6f4…
06-07 22:50:22	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	Yes	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0x6e0ce0…
06-07 19:32:54	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0xa9aa99…
06-07 18:00:15	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5c438d…
06-07 16:39:03	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb3405f…