Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

188

Trades

349

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-07

last 10-30 14:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

60% 69% -$9

Politics

33% 85% +$1

Sports

5% 79% -$1

Tech

3% 67% -$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:29
Will Anthropic have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:29
Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:29
Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:29
Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:29
Will MiniMax have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:29
Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:29
Will Michael Butts be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-14 07:29
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) <-2%?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-14 07:27
Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:29
Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:29
Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-22 13:29
Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-04 15:11
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 8%+?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	10-17 09:53
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	-$1	10-02 17:13
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) <2%?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	-$1	10-17 09:53
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	10-20 08:19
Will Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC end in a draw?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-14 07:32
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-02 17:13
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) -2%-0%?	3	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	07-14 07:27
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	$0	10-02 17:13
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 0%-2%?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	07-14 07:26
Will Choi-wan peak as a Strong typhoon?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-04 15:11
Will Brett Newby be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-14 07:27
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive 8% or higher of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	10-20 08:19
Will an AL East team win the 2026 World Series?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	-$1	10-22 13:17
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4%+?	3	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	07-14 07:26
Will an NL Central team win the 2026 World Series?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	10-22 13:17
Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon?	3	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	10-04 15:11
Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-04 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:10:12	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x980f5b…
10-30 14:10:12	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x768b06…
10-30 14:10:12	Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 1?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x415cd4…
10-30 14:10:12	Democratic Senate odds <60% on November 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x343c2b…
10-30 10:01:13	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xadf951…
10-30 10:01:13	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on November 1?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x476653…
10-30 10:01:13	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on November 1?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x377e92…
10-30 00:04:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xefd34b…
10-30 00:04:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xef58df…
10-30 00:04:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe583da…
10-30 00:04:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb22277…
10-30 00:04:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a4cfa…
10-30 00:04:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x82a3f7…
10-30 00:04:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x811491…
10-30 00:04:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7f780c…
10-30 00:04:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77662a…
10-30 00:04:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x08a147…
10-28 20:29:49	Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc2dd31…
10-28 20:29:49	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x66c708…
10-28 15:30:55	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2400 and $4.2499 on October 29?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd457b1…
10-28 14:46:14	will us gas price be between 4pt25 and 4pt26 on october 29 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xbce8b5…
10-28 14:46:14	will us gas price be 4pt27 or more on october 29 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb41e6b…
10-28 14:46:14	will us gas price be between 4pt24 and 4pt25 on october 29 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x856cf6…
10-28 14:46:14	will us gas price be less than 4pt23 on october 29 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x10adf7…
10-28 14:46:13	will us gas price be between 4pt26 and 4pt27 on october 29 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf6403a…
10-28 14:46:13	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2300 and $4.2399 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5556c7…
10-27 06:14:20	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf4ed08…
10-27 06:14:20	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xebe6fa…
10-27 06:14:20	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdd457c…
10-27 06:14:20	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x79df5f…
10-27 06:14:20	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4db425…
10-27 06:14:20	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b2f86…
10-26 07:48:42	will zptai have the second highest openrouter market share the week of october 26	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c394f…
10-26 07:48:41	will anthropic have the second highest openrouter market share the week of october 26	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef6147…
10-26 07:48:41	Will MiniMax have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd50952…
10-26 07:48:41	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd28784…
10-26 07:48:41	will meta have the second highest openrouter market share the week of october 26	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85d163…
10-26 07:48:41	will tencent have the second highest openrouter market share the week of october 26	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x795a54…
10-26 07:48:41	will xai have the second highest openrouter market share the week of october 26	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ad38d…
10-26 07:48:41	will xiaomi have the second highest openrouter market share the week of october 26	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c1164…
10-26 07:48:33	Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd9fef6…
10-26 07:48:33	will qwen have the second highest openrouter market share the week of october 26	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcbe8dd…
10-26 07:48:33	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x67a02f…
10-26 07:48:33	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x47face…
10-24 19:58:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xeb654b…
10-24 19:58:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 21% or more?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4c63cc…
10-24 19:58:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 12%-15%?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x41bfc5…
10-24 19:58:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x40a92d…
10-24 19:58:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x30c0e0…
10-24 19:58:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 18%-21%?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2ff964…
10-24 19:58:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9dca8b…
10-24 19:58:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3% or more?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x94bf9e…
10-24 19:58:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2dfce2…
10-24 19:58:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1772e6…
10-24 16:46:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 12%-15%?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x96861d…
10-24 06:25:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 18%-21%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc78859…
10-24 06:25:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 21% or more?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff1f46…
10-24 06:25:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6b8cfa…
10-24 06:25:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4953cb…
10-24 06:25:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x482348…
10-24 06:25:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31df47…
10-24 06:25:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 12%-15%?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x227dec…
10-24 06:25:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0ab668…
10-24 06:25:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 3% or more?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06929c…
10-24 06:25:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06179d…
10-24 02:39:56	expectations olivia rodrigo chappell roan 2 spotify song in the us this week october 30	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc1f028…
10-24 02:39:56	earrings malcolm todd 2 spotify song in the us this week october 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa19cd5…
10-24 02:39:56	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa123b9…
10-24 02:39:56	housewife tate mcrae 2 spotify song in the us this week october 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90bb48…
10-24 02:39:56	stupid song olivia rodrigo 2 spotify song in the us this week october 30	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x837214…
10-24 02:39:56	the cure olivia rodrigo 2 spotify song in the us this week october 30	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x20ae69…
10-24 02:39:56	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x079f13…
10-23 23:11:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C or below on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe46117…
10-23 22:15:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe033a9…
10-23 22:15:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xbe32cd…
10-23 22:15:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xaa9555…
10-23 22:15:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x98b14d…
10-23 22:15:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8fa5da…
10-23 22:15:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x8a00ca…
10-23 22:15:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x53c1f5…
10-23 22:15:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2af62e…
10-23 22:15:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x27542c…
10-23 22:15:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x165b80…
10-23 17:22:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3ebfeb…
10-23 17:22:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf2502a…
10-23 17:22:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb529dd…
10-23 17:22:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa74ce7…
10-23 17:22:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8279a4…
10-23 17:22:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69ffa8…
10-23 17:22:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 5%-15%?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65ab6a…
10-23 17:22:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 45% or more?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f0648…
10-23 17:22:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x03835d…
10-23 15:59:44	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfd62dd…
10-23 15:59:44	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xda4a48…
10-23 15:59:44	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8070b…
10-23 15:59:44	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x95bb27…
10-23 15:59:44	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x89ed56…
10-23 15:59:44	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f274e…
10-23 15:59:44	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c8245…
10-23 15:59:44	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x39578b…