Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$188

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

3,946

Trades

5,397

lifetime

Volume

$50.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$176

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-22 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Other

53% 69% +$184

Crypto

27% 65% +$261

Sports

15% 67% -$95

Politics

5% 69% -$88

Tech

0% 17% -$74

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	No	+96	$62	62¢	$60	-$2	09-10 09:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+60	$35	64¢	$38	+$3	09-24 09:10
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+96	$34	38¢	$36	+$2	09-14 22:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+60	$20	36¢	$22	+$2	09-25 17:39
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	No	+20	$15	99¢	$20	+$5	09-19 10:37
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	Yes	+20	$7	1¢	$0	-$7	09-18 21:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	10	$378	538	0	+538	No	+$160	06-30 12:34
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	36	$368	728	20	+708	Yes	-$16	10-04 08:24
lol ktc dkc 2026 06 17	6	$223	271	0	+271	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$48	06-17 08:40
mlb nym tor 2026 06 29	4	$219	274	0	+274	Toronto Blue Jays	+$55	06-30 01:28
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	8	$200	293	0	+293	G2 Esports	-$200	07-03 08:32
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	10	$177	140	140	+0	Boston Red Sox	-$34	07-15 01:02
Over $45M committed to the Jumper public sale?	17	$176	344	34	+310	Yes	-$2	10-02 02:29
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$163	246	0	+246	England	+$84	07-09 09:08
mlb oak cws 2026 07 10	2	$160	241	0	+241	Chicago White Sox	+$81	07-11 00:14
wta starodu navarro 2026 06 17	3	$160	181	0	+181	Emma Navarro	+$21	06-17 13:37
mlb col sf 2026 07 09	4	$159	231	0	+231	San Francisco Giants	+$71	07-10 02:18
lol kt hle1 2026 08 02	5	$158	141	113	+28	KT Rolster	-$38	08-02 13:27
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	2	$155	192	0	+192	Team Falcons	+$37	06-21 15:18
mlb col sf 2026 07 10	3	$155	224	0	+224	Colorado Rockies	-$155	07-11 03:35
bitcoin above 64k on june 18 2026	4	$147	211	0	+211	No	+$63	06-18 14:16
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	3	$142	209	0	+209	No	+$68	06-17 10:27
mlb bal lad 2026 06 19	4	$141	183	0	+183	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$42	06-20 03:52
cs2 prv mibr 2026 07 04	4	$141	191	0	+191	PARIVISION	-$141	07-04 08:07
mlb sd tex 2026 06 19	3	$140	157	0	+157	Texas Rangers	+$16	06-20 02:31
will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	11	$139	204	0	+204	No	+$65	07-06 00:42
mlb tor sd 2026 07 10	2	$138	172	0	+172	Toronto Blue Jays	-$138	07-11 02:21
mlb det tex 2026 07 02	9	$136	178	0	+178	Texas Rangers	+$41	07-03 01:40
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	5	$130	80	80	+0	Yes	-$2	09-30 19:13
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$126	160	0	+160	No	+$34	06-27 04:20
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	5	$124	150	0	+150	No	+$26	06-25 16:45
will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	3	$114	109	51	+58	No	+$13	08-01 22:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	14	$112	180	60	+120	open	—	09-25 17:39
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	3	$111	146	0	+146	Yes	-$111	06-14 11:45
saudi troops fighting in yemen by october 10 2026	5	$107	65	60	+5	No	+$2	10-03 01:25
lol tt we 2026 08 02	4	$106	117	56	+62	Team WE	+$7	08-02 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 22:53:21	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc3d5e4…
10-22 06:46:21	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6b8e1b…
10-11 04:37:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x03e025…
10-11 04:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xf17fd0…
10-10 22:35:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x514bd1…
10-10 21:11:12	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x6065b7…
10-10 12:33:04	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x4bb7d5…
10-10 11:21:22	Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xc742fb…
10-10 07:10:52	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x06c36c…
10-10 05:55:49	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x9fc97d…
10-10 05:49:01	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x3644dc…
10-10 05:21:49	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0xa814ec…
10-10 03:56:13	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0xeeb98e…
10-09 21:59:35	Will Kylian Mbappé record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x361032…
10-09 21:35:10	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x3d8b1e…
10-09 21:34:52	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x1d0461…
10-09 20:18:01	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x625ca3…
10-09 19:34:11	will starbucks acquire chipotle in 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x643788…
10-09 18:16:22	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x245ece…
10-09 15:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xe4280b…
10-09 11:32:55	Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x1db078…
10-08 12:39:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe2d526…
10-08 09:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x72397c…
10-08 08:49:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x8e7fdd…
10-07 12:05:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xbd917f…
10-07 11:44:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x4fcb6e…
10-07 11:41:50	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbc0b6e…
10-07 10:22:32	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x52269a…
10-07 10:15:09	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xd33b1c…
10-07 04:32:53	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x9fcf81…
10-06 20:14:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x07d267…
10-06 15:09:24	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x472e44…
10-06 07:15:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc07561…
10-06 07:15:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7a6eb6…
10-06 04:28:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x365688…
10-05 19:58:59	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x143399…
10-05 19:21:32	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xe7f546…
10-05 19:12:58	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x804dcd…
10-05 16:25:32	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe2e25e…
10-05 16:25:05	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xdec5a3…
10-05 16:24:10	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd98823…
10-05 16:24:08	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x003746…
10-05 15:04:20	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe3129e…
10-05 13:46:49	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0c2f25…
10-05 13:01:19	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x69ea2c…
10-05 09:50:46	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd1f8da…
10-05 08:57:16	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x4f5b4e…
10-04 16:31:46	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6be097…
10-04 16:30:41	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3f9acc…
10-04 16:30:38	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x19cb3a…
10-04 16:30:31	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x642e05…
10-04 16:30:28	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x99a1a9…
10-04 16:30:23	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x30e508…
10-04 16:30:23	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x174ad5…
10-04 16:30:19	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd48ae1…
10-04 15:18:40	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xa4c146…
10-04 14:12:34	next white house press secretary announced by november 30	No	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x6853a5…
10-04 11:53:40	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xdd4d1b…
10-04 11:52:58	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x287e0f…
10-04 11:52:01	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x527b01…
10-04 11:52:01	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x2d5236…
10-04 11:01:23	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x45c226…
10-04 10:37:41	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0x64f70f…
10-04 10:16:17	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x92a74a…
10-04 10:00:35	will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 32m tonnes at end of october 2026	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe3a50f…
10-04 08:37:08	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc9f0b5…
10-04 08:34:19	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x0bef86…
10-04 08:32:05	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0xc7ba86…
10-04 08:24:46	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x7672cf…
10-04 06:01:40	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x58af38…
10-04 06:01:23	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xdcf541…
10-04 04:24:46	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xde1c17…
10-04 04:21:46	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xd8716f…
10-03 20:38:47	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xe83114…
10-03 15:16:21	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf2c424…
10-03 12:55:17	Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf0f9e9…
10-03 12:47:24	Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0931a6…
10-03 10:27:38	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x39def7…
10-03 07:47:15	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x386283…
10-03 06:40:50	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x9ebc7a…
10-03 06:14:44	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x62293d…
10-03 06:09:21	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xca0e89…
10-03 06:05:17	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xde9aea…
10-03 05:59:45	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xc9bb77…
10-03 01:25:51	saudi troops fighting in yemen by october 10 2026	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x67e66b…
10-03 00:38:05	Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x1c99f4…
10-02 23:06:17	saudi troops fighting in yemen by october 10 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x645081…
10-02 23:05:35	saudi troops fighting in yemen by october 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xac24f4…
10-02 22:22:11	saudi troops fighting in yemen by october 10 2026	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x37af39…
10-02 19:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x8b7222…
10-02 15:19:45	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa6b5e4…
10-02 14:52:59	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x953c5b…
10-02 12:11:06	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb1fd4a…
10-02 12:01:18	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xb38ef4…
10-02 11:34:00	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x433658…
10-02 11:09:50	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x3de402…
10-02 10:33:29	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb4a51c…
10-02 10:00:17	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x515169…
10-02 09:01:59	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x90e4fb…
10-02 08:41:44	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xe26cbe…