Realized P&L (90d)
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
56.2%
Resolved (90d)
993
Trades (90d)
4,040
64,667 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$22.7K
$501.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$188
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-27 22:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Crypto
92% 67% -$3,342
Politics
7% 45% +$2,656
Other
0% 35% -$160
Sports
0% 74% +$52
Tech
0% 50% +$13
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 425 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +54 $50 97¢ $52 +$2 10-27 20:46
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? No +40 $31 55¢ $22 -$9 09-05 03:18
lindsay clancy convicted of manslaughter No — +20 $16 100¢ $20 +$4 09-04 11:09
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 92¢ $18 +$4 09-10 12:58
will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026 No +20 $13 86¢ $17 +$5 09-09 01:58
will openai announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2027 No +20 $11 54¢ $11 +$0 09-10 02:34
will drake release a new album by december 31 No +11 $6 94¢ $10 +$4 09-05 08:07
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 10-27 20:39
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31? No +10 $7 94¢ $9 +$3 09-04 16:43
gpt 7 released by june 30 2027 Yes +20 $6 46¢ $9 +$3 09-05 00:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 10-27 22:06
will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026 Yes +20 $7 15¢ $3 -$4 09-09 08:27
will drake release a new album by december 31 Yes +40 $18 6¢ $2 -$16 09-05 10:01
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31? Yes +10 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 09-04 16:55
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +20 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 09-09 16:30
lindsay clancy convicted of manslaughter Yes — +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-04 23:17