Quixotic-Lark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$412

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

173

Trades

643

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 07-02 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% +$412

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$25	35	25	+10	open	—	05-16 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$15	522	0	+522	open	—	05-16 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	05-16 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$10	76	0	+76	Down	$-10	05-14 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$10	350	0	+350	open	—	05-14 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$10	269	0	+269	open	—	05-15 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$10	292	0	+292	open	—	05-14 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$10	44	0	+44	open	—	05-16 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$10	41	0	+41	open	—	05-16 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	05-14 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$10	46	0	+46	open	—	05-16 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	05-16 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-14 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-17 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	05-16 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	05-14 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$10	47	0	+47	open	—	05-17 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-14 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	05-14 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-14 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-16 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	05-14 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$10	41	0	+41	open	—	05-16 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	05-16 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	05-16 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-14 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$10	41	0	+41	open	—	05-14 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$10	39	0	+39	open	—	05-16 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	05-17 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 12:46:53	btc updown 5m 1782996300	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5a8a7f…
07-02 12:36:07	btc updown 5m 1782995700	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd6d72e…
07-02 12:33:43	btc updown 5m 1782995400	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4d3fbc…
07-02 12:22:23	btc updown 5m 1782994800	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7f3e8a…
06-29 13:20:56	btc updown 5m 1782739200	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8a6342…
06-29 13:15:55	btc updown 5m 1782738900	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5634ce…
06-29 12:11:35	btc updown 5m 1782735000	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0c5631…
06-29 12:06:02	btc updown 5m 1782734700	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1ca6ad…
06-29 01:50:40	btc updown 5m 1782697800	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5c36b8…
06-27 17:47:22	btc updown 5m 1782582300	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xbbb6e1…
06-27 17:36:34	btc updown 5m 1782581700	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x625494…
06-27 17:31:28	btc updown 5m 1782581400	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x467d97…
06-27 16:51:49	btc updown 5m 1782579000	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x08d6c2…
06-27 16:50:23	btc updown 5m 1782579000	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x683e28…
06-27 16:08:02	btc updown 5m 1782576300	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdaadf9…
06-27 16:07:47	btc updown 5m 1782576300	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xcf6d2a…
06-27 15:29:28	btc updown 5m 1782573900	Down	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xb51206…
06-27 15:27:05	btc updown 5m 1782573900	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb777fe…
06-27 14:17:01	btc updown 5m 1782569700	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x24be3e…
06-27 13:41:08	btc updown 5m 1782567600	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xaed99d…
06-27 13:35:04	btc updown 5m 1782567000	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1a9a46…
06-27 13:30:37	btc updown 5m 1782567000	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x95246d…
06-27 13:03:43	btc updown 5m 1782565200	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe0a294…
06-27 13:02:56	btc updown 5m 1782565200	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x87a809…
06-27 12:59:55	btc updown 5m 1782564900	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd18e65…
06-27 12:55:53	btc updown 5m 1782564900	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6a463f…
06-27 12:52:34	btc updown 5m 1782564600	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x7c20d9…
06-27 12:48:07	btc updown 5m 1782564300	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x20b19c…
06-27 12:45:35	btc updown 5m 1782564300	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc1b958…
06-27 12:42:47	btc updown 5m 1782564000	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7675cc…
06-27 12:39:25	btc updown 5m 1782563700	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2200cf…
06-27 12:39:07	btc updown 5m 1782563700	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x293c02…
06-27 12:37:10	btc updown 5m 1782563700	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xf3ae53…
06-27 07:27:55	btc updown 5m 1782545100	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa8e51d…
06-27 07:13:07	btc updown 5m 1782544200	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe061d7…
06-27 07:11:52	btc updown 5m 1782544200	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x30280a…
06-27 07:01:53	btc updown 5m 1782543600	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x42d38d…
06-27 07:01:07	btc updown 5m 1782543600	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x017b2b…
06-27 06:56:28	btc updown 5m 1782543300	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x21b443…
06-08 06:18:18	btc updown 5m 1780899300	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x32abc2…
06-08 06:15:52	btc updown 5m 1780899300	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xcb440a…
06-08 05:07:12	btc updown 5m 1780895100	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x268b2b…
06-08 05:06:15	btc updown 5m 1780895100	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x2d6f43…
06-08 05:00:31	btc updown 5m 1780894800	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0c977e…
06-08 04:58:16	btc updown 5m 1780894500	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc3d914…
06-08 04:53:19	btc updown 5m 1780894200	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4a54c5…
06-08 04:52:24	btc updown 5m 1780894200	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x775c47…
06-08 04:50:57	btc updown 5m 1780894200	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1b7e8f…
06-08 04:46:22	btc updown 5m 1780893900	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xd45297…
06-08 04:45:54	btc updown 5m 1780893900	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc4126c…
06-08 04:45:19	btc updown 5m 1780893900	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa4acc5…
06-08 04:41:12	btc updown 5m 1780893600	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x3f3724…
06-08 04:35:37	btc updown 5m 1780893300	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9acdac…
06-08 03:47:58	btc updown 5m 1780890300	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7dd8fd…
06-08 03:45:43	btc updown 5m 1780890300	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcf7103…
06-03 03:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x00faad…
06-03 03:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3986ae…
06-01 15:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x37fe93…
06-01 15:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb6b76c…
06-01 14:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9d0272…
06-01 14:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x585ba8…
05-30 12:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9bc1f6…
05-30 12:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x2ad8c6…
05-30 12:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x092c27…
05-30 12:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb06ce8…
05-30 12:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x694349…
05-30 11:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xa730c2…
05-30 11:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x430333…
05-30 11:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfc80e1…
05-30 11:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x542437…
05-30 11:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x591aff…
05-30 11:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5c4564…
05-30 11:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x9ecfce…
05-30 11:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x41de15…
05-30 11:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x559246…
05-30 11:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x091de5…
05-30 11:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x12aab4…
05-30 11:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8be003…
05-30 11:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x37f86c…
05-28 20:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x84e4b5…
05-28 20:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xebe1e3…
05-28 19:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x983a6b…
05-28 19:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x391f0a…
05-28 19:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xacaf33…
05-28 19:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0c35b9…
05-28 19:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x00b4d7…
05-28 19:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3ec5c5…
05-28 19:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0ec541…
05-28 19:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3514dc…
05-28 19:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x127094…
05-28 19:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7cfd3f…
05-28 19:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa335b3…
05-28 19:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x68bbcc…
05-28 19:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe5008e…
05-28 19:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa745bd…
05-28 19:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x2df767…
05-28 19:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x142ce8…
05-28 19:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe6fdba…
05-28 19:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x956483…
05-28 19:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xeeddb6…