Third-Lava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$723

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

611

Trades

1,299

lifetime

Volume

$109.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 22:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

88% 81% -$488

Crypto

8% 73% -$190

Politics

3% 65% +$3

Tech

1% 50% -$53

Sports

0% 67% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 120 139	9	$6.7K	3,345	3,344	+1	No	+$0	01-13 08:15
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 120 139	4	$3.9K	1,973	1,973	+0	No	+$0	02-04 17:36
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 100 119	5	$3.7K	1,842	1,842	+0	No	+$0	02-04 07:07
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 40 59	6	$3.3K	1,676	1,676	+0	No	+$0	01-19 20:49
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 0 19	2	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	No	+$0	03-08 09:43
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	3	$2.0K	1,011	1,011	-0	No	$0	03-04 08:21
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 100 119	2	$2.0K	991	991	+0	No	+$0	01-03 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$2.0K	991	991	+0	No	+$0	05-01 19:26
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 40 59	2	$2.0K	985	985	+0	No	+$0	02-15 21:12
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 40 59	5	$2.0K	985	985	+0	No	+$0	02-12 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$1.9K	950	950	-0	No	$0	05-17 05:54
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$12	04-10 17:34
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	22	$1.9K	939	939	+0	No	-$8	05-12 13:09
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 120 139	3	$1.7K	854	854	-0	No	+$0	01-28 12:47
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 160 179	2	$1.7K	851	851	+0	No	+$0	01-25 16:14
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 80 99	2	$1.7K	848	848	+0	No	+$0	01-27 08:16
will the price of solana be less than 90 on january 10	3	$1.7K	844	844	+0	No	+$0	01-09 15:08
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 120 139	2	$1.7K	841	841	+0	No	+$0	01-10 10:35
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 80 99	2	$1.7K	841	841	+0	No	+$0	01-10 21:14
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 60 79	2	$1.7K	840	840	+0	No	+$0	01-14 16:05
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt40 on january 7	3	$1.7K	839	839	+0	No	$0	01-06 17:05
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 100 119	12	$1.7K	837	837	+0	No	+$0	01-12 02:11
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	3	$1.7K	835	835	+0	No	+$0	01-18 16:30
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 160 179	3	$1.7K	833	833	+0	No	+$0	01-14 19:19
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 140 159	2	$1.7K	830	830	+0	No	+$0	01-22 12:10
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	2	$1.7K	829	829	+0	No	+$0	01-20 18:54
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 100 119	2	$1.7K	827	827	+0	No	+$0	01-16 07:24
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 60 79	3	$1.6K	824	824	-0	No	$0	01-23 07:53
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 20 39	2	$1.6K	817	817	+0	No	+$0	01-19 13:07
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	2	$1.6K	813	813	+0	No	+$0	01-24 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 22:22:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xfd5a88…
06-29 03:04:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0x962d4c…
06-29 02:57:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xfaefc0…
06-29 02:51:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x5fc4b3…
06-29 00:18:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x2e1ceb…
06-28 23:43:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x338f27…
06-28 18:53:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xee2692…
06-28 18:50:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x2a372d…
06-28 18:46:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x070b61…
06-28 18:45:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0x500c70…
06-28 13:02:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	SELL	96	7¢	$7	0x64bbc5…
06-28 12:27:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	BUY	96	8¢	$8	0xafe009…
06-28 11:20:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	44	90¢	$40	0x064de7…
06-28 10:57:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x47dad7…
06-28 10:45:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	47	90¢	$43	0x5626df…
06-27 15:08:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	SELL	113	9¢	$10	0x7de0db…
06-27 14:51:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x881448…
06-27 14:36:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x7138b0…
06-26 22:28:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	SELL	352	12¢	$44	0x13fde9…
06-26 21:57:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x63ea19…
06-26 21:56:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x11ca5a…
06-26 21:56:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	BUY	382	26¢	$99	0x11ca5a…
06-26 21:52:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xc85b7d…
06-26 21:52:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xc4fe85…
06-26 13:32:33	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	SELL	34	86¢	$30	0x19702d…
06-26 13:20:24	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0x219c5b…
06-26 13:15:45	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	181	9¢	$16	0x4b11cb…
06-26 13:14:24	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	181	9¢	$16	0x8dd489…
06-24 15:28:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	SELL	44	88¢	$39	0x239ece…
06-24 14:58:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x22a386…
06-24 14:58:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xb80f65…
06-24 14:58:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x36a558…
06-24 14:58:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x46bb29…
06-24 14:58:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x9cf902…
06-24 14:58:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xe696e2…
06-24 14:57:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xb004cd…
06-24 14:54:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x00be8a…
06-24 12:29:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xff9345…
06-24 12:19:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xf4d2ea…
06-24 11:19:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	No	SELL	79	9¢	$7	0xfcfcda…
06-24 11:17:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	No	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0xe4baef…
06-23 23:00:41	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x5c2352…
06-23 22:44:32	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xba9537…
06-23 22:31:29	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	SELL	23	93¢	$22	0xede143…
06-23 22:31:14	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0xc833c0…
06-23 22:15:23	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xa67692…
06-23 22:05:07	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	35	92¢	$33	0xe42698…
06-23 20:32:26	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x275f34…
06-23 20:15:29	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xadf7b4…
06-23 20:15:26	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	SELL	166	12¢	$20	0x2f8299…
06-23 20:15:14	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x669d01…
06-23 19:59:23	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	BUY	229	9¢	$21	0x9cac3a…
06-23 13:02:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xdfe91a…
06-23 13:02:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xd6766b…
06-23 13:02:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xb10ffd…
06-23 13:02:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x9a0e07…
06-23 13:02:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x93227e…
06-23 13:02:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x918f14…
06-23 13:02:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x5657e5…
06-23 13:02:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x4c9917…
06-23 13:02:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x16a4e2…
06-23 13:02:50	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x03c764…
06-23 12:44:16	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$2	0x9dad05…
06-23 12:39:20	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xc54541…
06-23 12:39:08	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x88fa08…
06-23 12:39:08	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$2	0x5ebe1c…
06-23 12:39:05	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0xc44b70…
06-23 12:39:04	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x2245a4…
06-23 12:39:04	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x1b6b28…
06-23 12:36:32	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	117	16¢	$19	0xcedf9f…
06-23 12:36:32	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0xad4266…
06-23 12:36:32	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x48e707…
06-22 03:32:34	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	SELL	105	6¢	$6	0x49efaa…
06-22 03:32:13	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0x3c75b9…
06-20 16:44:55	Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?	Yes	SELL	246	12¢	$30	0x123346…
06-20 16:44:32	Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?	Yes	BUY	246	17¢	$42	0xfd0cfd…
06-19 19:13:22	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x0bab4a…
06-19 02:27:55	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbb201c…
06-19 00:14:53	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	49	82¢	$40	0x06b912…
06-18 23:53:41	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xcc9526…
06-17 20:15:02	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	SELL	54	13¢	$7	0x1e8d60…
06-17 19:39:28	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	54	14¢	$8	0xa40cbb…
06-15 18:58:22	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	SELL	106	11¢	$12	0xcc303a…
06-15 18:12:12	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	106	15¢	$16	0xea1859…
06-15 16:10:54	Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xae034b…
06-15 15:39:43	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x15c0b3…
06-14 21:57:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x5fc29b…
06-14 21:56:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	49	12¢	$6	0xe03251…
06-14 21:45:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0xca1daa…
06-14 21:45:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7795f1…
06-14 21:25:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x8ff4ca…
06-14 21:22:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x139c2a…
06-14 01:55:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x879ca2…
06-14 01:43:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x301162…
06-12 23:11:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xf9aa47…
06-12 22:56:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5a6226…
06-12 22:56:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xdea79c…
06-12 22:56:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x70480b…
06-12 22:56:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	54	87¢	$47	0x9d4108…
06-12 22:51:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb49a35…