Third-Lava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

763

lifetime

Volume

$95.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$35

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-07 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

88% 100% +$5

Crypto

9% 100% +$0

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No		-26	$-26	98¢	$-25	+$0	06-05 10:59
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No		-10	$-10	99¢	$-10	$-0	06-05 10:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 120 139	9	$6.7K	3,345	3,344	+1	open	—	01-13 08:15
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 120 139	4	$3.9K	1,973	1,973	+0	open	—	02-04 17:36
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 100 119	5	$3.7K	1,842	1,842	+0	open	—	02-04 07:07
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 40 59	6	$3.3K	1,676	1,676	+0	open	—	01-19 20:49
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 0 19	2	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	open	—	03-08 09:43
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	3	$2.0K	1,011	1,011	-0	open	—	03-04 08:21
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 100 119	2	$2.0K	991	991	+0	open	—	01-03 15:39
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 40 59	2	$2.0K	985	985	+0	open	—	02-15 21:12
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 40 59	5	$2.0K	985	985	+0	open	—	02-12 13:40
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-10 17:34
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 120 139	3	$1.7K	854	854	-0	open	—	01-28 12:47
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 160 179	2	$1.7K	851	851	+0	open	—	01-25 16:14
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 80 99	2	$1.7K	848	848	+0	open	—	01-27 08:16
will the price of solana be less than 90 on january 10	3	$1.7K	844	844	+0	open	—	01-09 15:08
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 120 139	2	$1.7K	841	841	+0	open	—	01-10 10:35
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 80 99	2	$1.7K	841	841	+0	open	—	01-10 21:14
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 60 79	2	$1.7K	840	840	+0	open	—	01-14 16:05
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt40 on january 7	3	$1.7K	839	839	+0	open	—	01-06 17:05
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 100 119	12	$1.7K	837	837	+0	open	—	01-12 02:11
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	3	$1.7K	835	835	+0	open	—	01-18 16:30
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 160 179	3	$1.7K	833	833	+0	open	—	01-14 19:19
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 140 159	2	$1.7K	830	830	+0	open	—	01-22 12:10
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	2	$1.7K	829	829	+0	open	—	01-20 18:54
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 100 119	2	$1.7K	827	827	+0	open	—	01-16 07:24
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 60 79	3	$1.6K	824	824	-0	open	—	01-23 07:53
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 20 39	2	$1.6K	817	817	+0	open	—	01-19 13:07
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	2	$1.6K	813	813	+0	open	—	01-24 11:21
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 160 179	3	$1.2K	837	325	+512	open	—	01-16 18:44
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 0 19	1	$1.1K	1,052	0	+1,052	open	—	04-11 12:11
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 0 19	3	$1.0K	1,045	0	+1,045	open	—	03-27 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 12:28:04	btc updown 5m 1780835100	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xe4942b…
06-07 12:23:22	btc updown 5m 1780834800	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x8460a6…
06-07 12:19:10	btc updown 5m 1780834500	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x98a524…
06-07 12:08:15	btc updown 5m 1780833900	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x84afbe…
06-07 12:03:18	btc updown 5m 1780833600	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xbeef94…
06-07 11:58:36	btc updown 5m 1780833300	Up	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0xafc589…
06-07 11:33:25	btc updown 5m 1780831800	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xda643f…
06-07 11:33:25	btc updown 5m 1780831800	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc0e714…
06-07 11:33:25	btc updown 5m 1780831800	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa9dcdc…
06-07 11:33:25	btc updown 5m 1780831800	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x0b49c5…
06-07 11:19:18	btc updown 5m 1780830900	Up	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x42e55d…
06-07 11:19:18	btc updown 5m 1780830900	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x12738f…
06-07 11:19:16	btc updown 5m 1780830900	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xfb34f9…
06-07 11:19:16	btc updown 5m 1780830900	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9342ca…
06-05 10:59:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xf14aca…
06-05 10:59:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xeb272a…
06-05 10:59:49	will ng reach 3 50 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xd76e19…
06-05 10:59:49	Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xccf449…
06-05 10:59:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x5957b2…
06-05 10:59:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xb99ef0…
06-05 10:59:48	first round outright winner in the la mayoral election	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x991b5f…
06-05 10:59:48	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x981e01…
06-05 10:59:48	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No	SELL	28	92¢	$25	0x3f384d…
06-05 10:59:48	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x324fbc…
06-05 10:59:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x1ce417…
06-05 10:59:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	57	92¢	$52	0xeca9b2…
06-04 16:46:49	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Heroic	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdc7e11…
06-04 16:44:43	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Heroic	BUY	68	53¢	$36	0x4398d9…
06-04 16:44:22	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Heroic	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcc4888…
06-04 16:44:21	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Heroic	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x773836…
06-04 16:44:16	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Heroic	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc60db9…
06-04 16:44:16	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Heroic	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa4a79a…
06-04 16:44:15	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Heroic	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xecbb18…
06-04 16:44:13	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Heroic	BUY	71	53¢	$38	0x6972e7…
06-04 16:44:10	cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04	Heroic	BUY	142	53¢	$75	0xd8886c…
06-04 15:29:43	cs2 mibr lvg 2026 06 04	Lynn Vision	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0cf4d3…
06-04 15:29:12	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	LGD Gaming	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd045f0…
06-04 15:26:27	cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04 game1	BIG	BUY	304	39¢	$118	0xc25073…
06-04 15:26:27	cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04 game1	BIG	BUY	73	40¢	$29	0x075776…
06-04 15:05:24	cs2 mibr lvg 2026 06 04	MIBR	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x88ad1b…
06-04 13:52:51	wta sawangk day 2026 06 04	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xaf3d0a…
06-03 11:53:57	will ng reach 3 50 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbe1d16…
06-02 21:38:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xa65f91…
06-02 20:47:57	Spread: Ghana (-1.5)	Wales	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8b631e…
06-02 18:02:00	Spread: Belgium (-2.5)	Croatia	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x5b0366…
06-02 17:32:11	Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	Belgium	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfebb25…
06-02 16:55:37	Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x4af897…
06-02 11:17:17	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x9ea9ad…
06-02 09:45:59	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x5291bf…
06-02 09:43:16	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0x46aaa5…
06-02 09:38:21	Spread: Belgium (-2.5)	Croatia	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x395657…
06-02 08:49:52	Spread: Belgium (-2.5)	Croatia	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb3f763…
06-02 08:33:16	Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	Belgium	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x5a1f22…
06-02 06:56:32	Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	Belgium	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xc5deac…
06-02 05:27:24	Spread: Ghana (-1.5)	Wales	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xbd6dfc…
06-02 05:24:46	Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4ba275…
06-02 05:21:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xb7b53e…
06-02 05:12:35	Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xbb8168…
06-01 22:33:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x100b78…
06-01 21:48:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa81a6d…
06-01 21:11:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x991cf4…
06-01 20:32:09	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x06d752…
06-01 19:57:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on June 1?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x8d1f1d…
06-01 19:45:56	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x84b4dd…
06-01 19:42:47	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x7fa815…
06-01 14:42:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	65¢	$96	0xb5803a…
06-01 14:16:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x1ea7db…
06-01 14:09:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x6f785b…
06-01 14:04:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x8b6244…
06-01 13:01:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xabf08d…
06-01 12:16:46	Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Yusuke Takahashi	Harold Mayot	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x9ddd6a…
06-01 09:31:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcfd098…
06-01 08:38:55	BNB Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x6d66bc…
06-01 08:16:19	BNB Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xc64111…
06-01 08:02:22	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x21cda1…
06-01 08:00:20	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe46782…
06-01 06:28:17	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9e766e…
06-01 06:28:17	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x63781b…
06-01 06:28:17	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x5a9da9…
06-01 06:15:35	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x2120d4…
06-01 04:37:49	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x42b0d3…
06-01 03:58:16	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	NRG	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x23c620…
06-01 03:56:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2fc564…
06-01 03:56:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x409715…
06-01 03:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x841c92…
06-01 03:52:04	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 Winner	NRG	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd523d6…
06-01 03:51:57	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x9739e9…
06-01 02:31:56	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 Winner	NRG	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x40e72f…
06-01 01:53:23	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	NRG	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x99ea4f…
05-31 23:23:40	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe7fd89…
05-31 23:23:38	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Team Liquid	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa16a7b…
05-31 23:23:38	Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	CD Castellón	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6bd1e0…
05-31 23:23:37	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x044258…
05-31 21:06:35	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x974213…
05-31 20:32:22	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x06de8a…
05-31 19:27:23	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x0f8073…
05-31 19:17:23	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x7b85a6…
05-31 18:27:25	Spread: Real Zaragoza (-1.5)	Málaga CF	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb3288d…
05-31 18:20:59	LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xe724b7…
05-31 17:07:50	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf50e47…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	142	$8.23K	2,370	06-05 19:58
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	140	$16.0K	4,435	04-08 08:54
Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1	128	$31.3K	1,113	04-26 00:20
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	119	$24.9K	7,528	06-10 02:04
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	108	$345.5K	6,091	06-10 01:34
Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273	105	$542	497	05-27 19:11
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	92	$14.6K	1,117	04-19 07:44
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	89	$137.2K	8,202	04-08 15:41