Simplistic-Maximum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$154

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-13 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% 25% $-2

Crypto

23% 50% $-0

Politics

19% 0% $-0

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin etf flows on february 24	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	02-24 18:24
btc updown 5m 1771483800	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	02-19 06:51
will trump say beautiful 5 times during the black history month reception	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-18 20:37
will mrbeast say artem or kaptur during his next video	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	03-20 15:58
will mrbeast say iran or nuclear during his next video	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	03-13 08:58
will google be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	02-22 07:45
will turkey record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 655	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-22 07:46
btc updown 5m 1771415400	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	02-18 11:52
xrp updown 5m 1771781700	3	$3	7	4	+4	open	—	02-22 17:37
Nothing Ever Happens: March	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-06 12:32
tur fen sam 2026 03 08 draw	2	$3	11	11	+0	open	—	03-02 12:21
trump approval up or down this week 481	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	02-21 06:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-13 10:04
xrp updown 5m 1771446000	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	02-18 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 06:45
dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 5pt39	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 18:10
de quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 19 2026 2pt1	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-18 20:37
btc updown 5m 1771788600	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	02-22 19:32
will daniel radcliffe say sauce 5 times on hot ones	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	02-19 14:02
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	02-17 11:39
us strike on somalia by march 7	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-01 07:09
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	02-17 11:45
odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 20 on friday 575	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-19 06:43
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-12 11:32
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-11 13:49
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-01 06:55
wix quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt47	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-17 11:46
will mrbeast say thank you during his next video	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-13 10:08
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	03-06 12:34
trump sued over tariff powers again by march 31	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	02-22 07:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 06:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x379619…
05-13 06:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x248356…
05-13 06:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf1478a…
05-13 06:39:35	Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd98340…
05-13 06:39:18	Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9e26ae…
05-13 06:38:30	Will "Ghost" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc9b913…
05-13 06:38:20	Will "Socialism" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x351eb2…
05-13 06:38:11	Will "Fiduciary" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x697183…
05-13 06:38:01	Will "Hormone" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf76705…
05-13 06:37:54	Will "Collateral" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6ce050…
05-13 06:37:38	Will "Federal Reserve" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd70f3e…
05-09 14:47:32	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4f0ccc…
05-09 14:46:29	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6751c6…
04-13 10:08:05	will mrbeast say thank you during his next video	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x067211…
04-13 10:07:43	will mrbeast say thank you during his next video	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8e01c9…
04-13 10:07:29	will mrbeast say insane during his next video 654	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2c3241…
04-13 10:07:17	will mrbeast say feastable during his next video	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xebdac1…
04-13 10:05:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd5dcf7…
04-13 10:04:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xad0295…
03-21 16:00:41	will mrbeast say feastables during his next video	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0f28c8…
03-20 15:58:41	will mrbeast say artem or kaptur during his next video	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5b5efd…
03-17 14:22:49	will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x72679b…
03-17 05:54:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd8b266…
03-17 05:51:55	chatgpt full outage by march 31	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x55d080…
03-13 08:58:01	will mrbeast say iran or nuclear during his next video	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1573fa…
03-12 11:32:51	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x818b30…
03-11 13:49:19	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa2bc50…
03-09 20:59:43	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0c4d47…
03-08 21:14:31	tur gal iba 2026 03 14 iba	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x150cf4…
03-06 12:36:33	will starmer say intervene during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xeb6346…
03-06 12:36:21	will starmer say iran during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb5529e…
03-06 12:34:25	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x0ed64b…
03-06 12:32:43	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0xfd9635…
03-03 20:58:33	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x134af0…
03-03 20:57:53	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x150a48…
03-03 04:38:19	Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb3d3a4…
03-02 12:21:09	tur fen sam 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xbbf3cd…
03-01 07:16:29	tur fen sam 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd47d9c…
03-01 07:09:59	us strike on somalia by march 7	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1de934…
03-01 07:05:21	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6addd2…
03-01 07:04:13	tgt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt16	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbdc31f…
03-01 07:01:31	gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 16 2026 0pt03	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa5e16d…
03-01 06:55:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x896e9d…
02-27 21:28:25	will people be said 70 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8a8c82…
02-27 21:26:59	chatgpt outage by march 15	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x01b12c…
02-27 21:25:53	us strike on somalia by march 7	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x238d11…
02-25 12:58:06	will bill clinton say mar a lago during his epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2d0d95…
02-24 19:01:34	will bill clinton say epstein or island 10 times during his epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcf7273…
02-24 18:24:54	bitcoin etf flows on february 24	Negative	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x6ccf74…
02-22 19:43:58	bun hei stu 2026 02 22 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x439bd6…
02-22 19:32:02	btc updown 5m 1771788600	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xe5726f…
02-22 19:30:20	btc updown 5m 1771788600	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xca60f4…
02-22 17:39:44	btc updown 5m 1771781700	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7ee2d8…
02-22 17:37:26	xrp updown 5m 1771781700	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdfe270…
02-22 17:36:12	xrp updown 5m 1771781700	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0xb47f1f…
02-22 17:35:20	xrp updown 5m 1771781700	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1a2337…
02-22 17:34:28	sol updown 5m 1771781400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3c5415…
02-22 17:23:58	gpro quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 0pt04	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x23f7fc…
02-22 17:16:16	tur gal ala 2026 02 28 gal	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0a1771…
02-22 17:15:06	tur kar sam 2026 02 22 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1e3106…
02-22 17:14:38	tur kar sam 2026 02 22 spread away 1pt5	Fatih Karagümrük SK	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x744f26…
02-22 17:13:34	tur bes goz 2026 02 22 bes	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8b4661…
02-22 17:11:54	will freecash get paid real money be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 27	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5a5ce9…
02-22 08:32:46	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 28 482	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcc0fa0…
02-22 07:52:58	will performance be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x32e4fe…
02-22 07:47:44	btc updown 5m 1771746300	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x88d070…
02-22 07:46:24	will turkey record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 655	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa8746a…
02-22 07:46:00	trump sued over tariff powers again by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xee4ea7…
02-22 07:45:06	will google be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xc7e86e…
02-21 06:06:52	trump approval up or down this week 481	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x5a680c…
02-20 20:09:30	trump approval up or down this week 481	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x40907b…
02-20 18:54:10	bitcoin etf flows on february 24	Negative	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2d8ce4…
02-20 18:14:14	mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	USA	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0637b6…
02-20 18:10:12	dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 5pt39	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xe3da3d…
02-20 18:06:16	bitcoin etf flows on february 23	Negative	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf9d37b…
02-20 18:02:34	tur riz koc 2026 02 20 riz	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7186cc…
02-20 17:55:06	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x166141…
02-20 16:18:20	will donald trump say scam on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x85b44d…
02-20 16:17:24	will donald trump say state of the union on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf53919…
02-19 16:05:18	will daniel radcliffe say one bite on hot ones	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbbf4b1…
02-19 14:02:08	will daniel radcliffe say sauce 5 times on hot ones	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf638f8…
02-19 08:57:32	btc updown 15m 1771490700	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x453ba3…
02-19 08:49:14	will the sp 500 index gain at least 2 on any day in q1	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa70449…
02-19 08:40:04	tur kon gal 2026 02 21 gal	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x39f4df…
02-19 06:51:32	btc updown 5m 1771483800	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0xca2e9e…
02-19 06:50:32	btc updown 5m 1771483800	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xee6d1b…
02-19 06:43:38	odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 20 on friday 575	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1c86ea…
02-19 06:39:24	mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	Canada	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf40965…
02-18 20:48:08	psky quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt22	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8ad701…
02-18 20:37:50	will trump say beautiful 5 times during the black history month reception	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x093bb9…
02-18 20:37:12	de quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 19 2026 2pt1	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x4d894c…
02-18 20:31:08	btc updown 5m 1771446600	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9e5224…
02-18 20:26:28	btc updown 15m 1771445700	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0f270c…
02-18 20:24:56	xrp updown 5m 1771446000	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x8638e5…
02-18 20:22:48	xrp updown 5m 1771446000	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x039a67…
02-18 20:18:22	highest temperature in ankara on february 19 2026 5c	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb349f1…
02-18 12:00:26	mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 3pt44	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x06ae35…
02-18 12:00:04	crl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 2pt35	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbd2a90…
02-18 11:52:22	btc updown 5m 1771415400	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf465f2…
02-18 11:51:28	btc updown 5m 1771415400	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1afc19…