Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$293

Unrealized P&L

-$76

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

136

Trades

772

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$414

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-07 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

83% 55% -$382

Politics

8% 59% +$11

Sports

6% 67% +$132

Tech

3% 83% -$64

Crypto

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No		-401	-$317	97¢	$-389	-$71	05-30 04:44
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		+500	$30	5¢	$25	-$5	08-19 13:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	32	$7.2K	3,793	3,793	+0	open	—	10-05 06:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	21	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	10-07 11:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.2K	1,351	0	+1,351	No	+$177	06-22 14:46
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	8	$576	415	415	+0	Yes	+$5	03-30 00:00
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	5	$317	0	401	-401	open	—	05-30 04:44
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	17	$254	1,010	930	+80	No	+$1	02-05 09:01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12?	6	$238	291	0	+291	No	+$53	09-12 08:31
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	3	$237	140	140	+0	No	+$33	02-28 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 1?	10	$236	143	143	-0	No	+$47	09-01 02:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 4?	17	$235	444	124	+320	Yes	-$78	09-03 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 14?	5	$232	340	0	+340	No	+$108	09-14 04:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$214	300	40	+260	No	-$169	09-14 05:34
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	7	$207	260	0	+260	Yes	+$53	01-22 01:35
will there be at least 800 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	3	$200	220	0	+220	Yes	+$20	01-31 20:48
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	4	$200	105	105	+0	No	+$3	01-13 10:45
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	9	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$1	01-15 12:16
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$189	200	0	+200	Yes	+$11	01-15 05:45
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$189	155	155	+0	Yes	-$12	01-21 15:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	4	$186	200	0	+200	Yes	+$14	01-15 11:26
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	5	$183	670	480	+190	No	-$171	03-09 19:55
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	37	$178	1,407	1,407	+0	No	-$11	01-15 14:20
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	7	$162	324	324	+0	Yes	-$159	03-24 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?	5	$148	225	0	+225	Yes	-$148	09-15 04:18
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	4	$145	214	214	+0	No	-$144	03-31 00:58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?	9	$136	205	205	+0	Yes	-$84	08-28 04:06
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	8	$135	190	190	+0	Yes	+$13	01-16 09:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$134	200	200	+0	Yes	+$26	01-12 10:12
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$134	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-24 20:28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 31?	16	$122	183	183	+0	No	+$24	08-30 16:38
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	4	$122	93	93	+0	No	+$21	01-15 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 11:59:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xd9ea98…
10-07 11:47:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	459	98¢	$448	0xc2c047…
10-07 11:35:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xe6dfb6…
10-07 11:34:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xad1582…
10-07 11:06:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x21f9ba…
10-07 10:49:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x2c1f93…
10-07 10:25:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0xf9ea3e…
10-07 10:24:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xdb68da…
10-07 10:17:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	311	98¢	$304	0x2662ca…
10-05 06:26:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	568	98¢	$554	0xda6e32…
09-15 11:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	94	58¢	$55	0xb0bf5e…
09-15 11:36:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x862306…
09-15 11:35:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1d532f…
09-15 04:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?	No	BUY	44	53¢	$23	0xc2c835…
09-15 04:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x93a3f8…
09-15 04:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x3fa33f…
09-15 04:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xad5f7d…
09-14 15:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0xabb5a3…
09-14 15:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x12ea28…
09-14 14:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xc22194…
09-14 14:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xeec30f…
09-14 14:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x37d5c2…
09-14 14:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x48d0a6…
09-14 14:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?	No	BUY	160	71¢	$113	0xab184b…
09-14 14:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x1c5990…
09-14 14:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x18a25a…
09-14 14:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x018182…
09-14 05:34:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x92e1c6…
09-14 04:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 14?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xa86041…
09-14 03:25:43	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	568	96¢	$547	0x73dd90…
09-14 02:49:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	105	33¢	$35	0xf4d1c0…
09-14 02:48:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1c7675…
09-14 02:48:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x462b02…
09-13 13:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xf9d598…
09-13 13:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x4e41b5…
09-13 13:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 14?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf68e96…
09-13 13:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 14?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x667a33…
09-13 13:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 14?	No	BUY	110	60¢	$66	0xeec820…
09-13 07:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x4a92df…
09-13 07:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 14?	No	BUY	90	62¢	$56	0xc49017…
09-13 03:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xef7b75…
09-13 03:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xdffa84…
09-13 03:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x430e72…
09-13 02:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x418358…
09-13 02:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x00584c…
09-13 02:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x6946f6…
09-13 01:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13?	No	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x87900b…
09-13 01:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9c15cc…
09-13 01:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x10174a…
09-12 23:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x55820b…
09-12 21:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x19fb9e…
09-12 21:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1d6ce7…
09-12 21:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xb88cac…
09-12 16:37:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 13?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x1c7a52…
09-12 16:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x0723c3…
09-12 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x32d50e…
09-12 15:35:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 13?	No	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0x64e00a…
09-12 14:22:21	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xe6708d…
09-12 13:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x24ea01…
09-12 13:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x9ad863…
09-12 13:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x5005e1…
09-12 13:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x1c4987…
09-12 13:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe13b1f…
09-12 12:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xbbb66e…
09-12 12:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xadc92f…
09-12 12:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x146eb9…
09-12 11:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0xbd5bb7…
09-12 11:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x1f50e4…
09-12 11:01:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xb1de91…
09-12 10:39:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x941974…
09-12 10:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x3d7620…
09-12 10:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x97789c…
09-12 10:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xf42985…
09-12 09:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x194c20…
09-12 09:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x7922ba…
09-12 09:26:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xf562a9…
09-12 09:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xd37041…
09-12 09:00:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x464358…
09-12 08:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x14c89c…
09-12 08:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x01bbb5…
09-12 08:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	27	65¢	$17	0x74484b…
09-12 08:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?	No	BUY	78	65¢	$51	0x72f080…
09-12 08:31:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xf18be7…
09-12 08:28:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	248	96¢	$239	0xc711e1…
09-12 08:28:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	152	96¢	$146	0x87cc9e…
09-12 08:28:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x8958bc…
09-12 07:59:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x51f4d6…
09-12 07:54:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0602f7…
09-12 07:44:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	140	87¢	$122	0x4daf03…
09-12 06:18:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x235c74…
09-12 06:18:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 12?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xdbe0ad…
09-12 05:54:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xfd0f52…
09-12 04:18:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x22e9b8…
09-11 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc725b5…
09-11 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x9a1fdb…
09-11 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x74056f…
09-11 13:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x83e12c…
09-11 13:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xfff261…
09-11 13:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xabd877…
09-11 13:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xcdc842…