Sociable-Disagreement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$115

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-26 07:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$0

Other

27% 100% +$0

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-08 03:01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-13 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 17:55
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 10:13
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of April?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 19:40
spx up or down on april 13 2026	3	$3	6	2	+3	open	—	04-13 16:24
btc updown 5m 1775406300	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-05 16:29
btc updown 5m 1775391300	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-05 12:18
btc updown 5m 1775934600	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 19:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-06 11:07
btc updown 5m 1775390700	3	$2	13	3	+10	open	—	04-05 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 03:05
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-06 10:12
btc updown 5m 1775550600	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 08:30
msft close above 370 on april 6 2026	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 13:43
btc updown 5m 1775411700	2	$2	3	2	+0	open	—	04-05 17:56
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 08:02
btc updown 5m 1775931000	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 18:10
btc updown 5m 1776114000	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 21:01
spx up or down on april 6 2026	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-26 18:31
btc updown 5m 1775835300	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 15:37
btc updown 5m 1777049100	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 16:48
btc updown 5m 1775391900	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-05 12:27
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	04-13 06:45
btc updown 5m 1776188700	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-14 17:41
btc updown 5m 1776189000	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-14 17:50
btc updown 5m 1776315900	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-16 05:08
btc updown 5m 1775392500	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-05 12:38
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	8	4	+4	open	—	04-07 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 07:08:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xca8b64…
05-08 03:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x4b31f9…
05-08 03:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc70819…
05-08 03:01:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x65c8f0…
05-06 11:07:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x97d9b8…
05-04 18:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2cc02d…
04-28 19:40:18	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of April?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x93a6b7…
04-26 18:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc42a16…
04-26 18:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe3582c…
04-26 17:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa7d9af…
04-26 17:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xc08ac2…
04-26 17:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd158f8…
04-26 17:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0b1fda…
04-24 16:48:34	btc updown 5m 1777049100	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1684a6…
04-24 16:44:30	btc updown 5m 1777049100	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4cba91…
04-24 13:33:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on April 24?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc5a302…
04-19 10:26:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2c2def…
04-19 09:35:54	btc updown 5m 1776591300	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa68519…
04-19 09:28:40	btc updown 5m 1776591000	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x17d8da…
04-19 09:28:14	btc updown 5m 1776590700	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe3ee4d…
04-16 05:08:22	btc updown 5m 1776315900	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb9a7de…
04-16 05:06:06	btc updown 5m 1776315900	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x068c95…
04-16 04:15:40	btc updown 5m 1776312900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb3152c…
04-14 17:50:08	btc updown 5m 1776189000	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6223b2…
04-14 17:41:14	btc updown 5m 1776188700	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9b1653…
04-14 17:38:08	btc updown 5m 1776188400	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1f3ba6…
04-14 17:32:38	btc updown 5m 1776188100	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x58c881…
04-13 21:01:11	btc updown 5m 1776114000	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x617ab5…
04-13 20:56:09	btc updown 5m 1776114000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa62748…
04-13 16:24:11	spx up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa4f240…
04-13 16:09:51	spx up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xd87110…
04-13 14:45:19	spx up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdeed19…
04-13 06:45:27	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd7b17e…
04-13 06:45:17	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9ff292…
04-11 19:12:25	btc updown 5m 1775934600	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0deb22…
04-11 19:08:05	btc updown 5m 1775934600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe5dfd9…
04-11 18:10:49	btc updown 5m 1775931000	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x20140b…
04-11 18:09:33	btc updown 5m 1775931000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x035cd8…
04-10 15:48:39	btc updown 5m 1775836200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x13614a…
04-10 15:37:19	btc updown 5m 1775835300	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x9df6e0…
04-10 15:31:27	btc updown 5m 1775835300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x05170f…
04-07 15:09:47	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xf0a14a…
04-07 12:10:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeedbc7…
04-07 08:30:33	btc updown 5m 1775550600	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb44dca…
04-07 08:28:13	btc updown 5m 1775550600	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x447522…
04-07 08:02:57	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xd021d0…
04-06 17:18:47	spx up or down on april 6 2026	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x3781b7…
04-06 17:10:11	btc updown 5m 1775495400	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0e27c2…
04-06 16:51:33	btc updown 5m 1775494500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf9662c…
04-06 13:43:05	msft close above 370 on april 6 2026	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xea3c7a…
04-06 12:20:47	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x979611…
04-06 12:13:33	msft close above 370 on april 6 2026	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc6686d…
04-06 11:07:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xafbee2…
04-06 10:15:33	spx up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x38be41…
04-06 10:13:29	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x5d23e7…
04-06 10:12:15	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xacbe56…
04-05 17:56:17	btc updown 5m 1775411700	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x4a6b62…
04-05 17:54:33	btc updown 5m 1775411700	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4caeaa…
04-05 17:12:55	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9de250…
04-05 16:47:07	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb14b07…
04-05 16:29:27	btc updown 5m 1775406300	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb7749b…
04-05 16:20:55	btc updown 5m 1775406300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb4448d…
04-05 15:26:43	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe42664…
04-05 14:49:59	btc updown 5m 1775400600	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa111d2…
04-05 14:44:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb0b77d…
04-05 14:23:15	btc updown 5m 1775399400	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x07a91a…
04-05 14:22:31	btc updown 5m 1775399100	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c1cf5…
04-05 14:19:15	btc updown 5m 1775398800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x248815…
04-05 13:15:43	btc updown 5m 1775395200	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3bb3d7…
04-05 13:14:21	btc updown 5m 1775394900	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x70796f…
04-05 13:03:03	btc updown 5m 1775394600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x61aece…
04-05 13:02:03	btc updown 5m 1775394300	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8f43ce…
04-05 13:00:39	btc updown 5m 1775394000	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa7b3b9…
04-05 12:54:35	btc updown 5m 1775393700	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xee3ea7…
04-05 12:41:13	btc updown 5m 1775393100	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0eb323…
04-05 12:38:33	btc updown 5m 1775392500	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x1bd629…
04-05 12:37:39	btc updown 5m 1775392500	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x53fdb2…
04-05 12:35:27	btc updown 5m 1775392800	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xffb06a…
04-05 12:30:13	btc updown 5m 1775392200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x752bfc…
04-05 12:27:55	btc updown 5m 1775391900	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xbe1e22…
04-05 12:21:25	btc updown 5m 1775391900	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb6649d…
04-05 12:18:47	btc updown 5m 1775391300	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3b4d6c…
04-05 12:12:59	btc updown 5m 1775391300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfc5015…
04-05 12:08:47	btc updown 5m 1775390700	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xe09db8…
04-05 12:08:07	btc updown 5m 1775390700	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xcba586…
04-05 12:07:27	btc updown 5m 1775390700	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x98c7ef…
04-05 12:03:21	btc updown 5m 1775390400	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x603df8…
04-05 11:55:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdf4188…
04-05 11:22:59	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2be2c3…
04-05 10:31:35	btc updown 5m 1775385000	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x685ebd…
04-05 10:24:51	btc updown 5m 1775384400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1c103a…
04-05 10:19:03	btc updown 5m 1775384100	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf82bb8…
04-05 09:19:15	btc updown 5m 1775380500	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x229b3a…
04-05 08:29:07	btc updown 5m 1775377500	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcad458…
04-05 07:52:15	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa15dd6…
04-05 07:43:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x46f63a…
04-05 07:43:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x40891f…