Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on April 24?
closed
Total volume
$471
Trades
66
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-24
First seen
2026-04-23
last 04-24 20:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-75.2¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $3
vs crowd: 82% YES on $451)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $120 | $1 | +$119 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $162 | $77 | +$85 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $70 | $3 | +$66 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $17 | $1 | +$16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $0 | $3 | $3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $135 | $29 | +$106 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Median | 4 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| Below median | 5 | $35 | $1 | +$34 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | $2 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $39 | $34 | +$5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $120 | — | +$120 |
| unranked | 1 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | +144 | $13 | $13 | 12 | 04-24 19:03 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +120 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 04-24 20:00 |
| Immaterial-Clipboard 0xebba…639b | Yes | +100 | $93 | $93 | 8 | 04-24 19:02 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-24 20:00 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | +43 | $29 | $29 | 5 | 04-24 07:34 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +40 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 04-24 19:24 |
| Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | +35 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 04-24 19:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bcd…dc71 | Yes | +31 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-24 14:30 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | +31 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 04-24 14:30 |
| Dear-Home 0xc7b8…0d21 | Yes | +30 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 04-24 13:41 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | No | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-24 19:24 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 04-24 20:00 |
| Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 04-24 19:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-24 19:17 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-24 14:03 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 04-24 14:03 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-24 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb81…eba3 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-24 19:04 |
| Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-24 17:35 |
| Suspicious-Ticket 0xca07…b05b | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-24 07:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7318…aa84 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-24 08:07 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-24 19:55 |
| Annual-Standoff 0x53f2…086f | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-23 23:29 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-23 23:29 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-24 20:00 |
| Sociable-Disagreement 0xc926…7767 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-24 13:33 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-24 13:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 20:00:44 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x5287f3… |
| 04-24 20:00:44 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5287f3… |
| 04-24 20:00:44 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5287f3… |
| 04-24 20:00:44 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5287f3… |
| 04-24 20:00:14 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xad20ed… |
| 04-24 20:00:14 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xad20ed… |
| 04-24 19:55:04 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x31e811… |
| 04-24 19:55:04 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x31e811… |
| 04-24 19:24:56 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xb985c3… |
| 04-24 19:24:56 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | No | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xb985c3… |
| 04-24 19:17:30 | Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xed025d… |
| 04-24 19:17:30 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xed025d… |
| 04-24 19:04:00 | (anonymous) 0xeb81…eba3 | No | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7ac610… |
| 04-24 19:04:00 | Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x7ac610… |
| 04-24 19:03:20 | Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x79d3f3… |
| 04-24 19:03:20 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x79d3f3… |
| 04-24 19:02:34 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa20926… |
| 04-24 19:02:34 | Immaterial-Clipboard 0xebba…639b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xa20926… |
| 04-24 19:02:34 | Immaterial-Clipboard 0xebba…639b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xae2733… |
| 04-24 19:02:34 | Immaterial-Clipboard 0xebba…639b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xd697ce… |
| 04-24 19:02:34 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd697ce… |
| 04-24 19:02:34 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x370bea… |
| 04-24 19:02:34 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xae2733… |
| 04-24 19:02:34 | Immaterial-Clipboard 0xebba…639b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0xd7e37b… |
| 04-24 19:02:34 | Immaterial-Clipboard 0xebba…639b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0x370bea… |
| 04-24 19:02:34 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd7e37b… |
| 04-24 19:02:32 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xec14bc… |
| 04-24 19:02:32 | Immaterial-Clipboard 0xebba…639b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xec14bc… |
| 04-24 19:02:32 | Immaterial-Clipboard 0xebba…639b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xfcd2d1… |
| 04-24 19:02:32 | Immaterial-Clipboard 0xebba…639b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xaf019e… |
| 04-24 19:02:32 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfcd2d1… |
| 04-24 19:02:32 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xaf019e… |
| 04-24 19:02:00 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1cd502… |
| 04-24 19:02:00 | Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0x1cd502… |
| 04-24 18:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf6cb75… |
| 04-24 18:43:30 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf6cb75… |
| 04-24 18:27:20 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x879e40… |
| 04-24 18:27:20 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x879e40… |
| 04-24 17:35:34 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 9 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x8b1ddb… |
| 04-24 17:35:34 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x8b1ddb… |
| 04-24 14:30:24 | (anonymous) 0x4bcd…dc71 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x6b4435… |
| 04-24 14:30:24 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 31 | 68¢ | $21 | 0x6b4435… |
| 04-24 14:03:58 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | BUY | 12 | 58¢ | $7 | 0x8e3530… |
| 04-24 14:03:58 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x8e3530… |
| 04-24 13:41:44 | Dear-Home 0xc7b8…0d21 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xc385cc… |
| 04-24 13:41:44 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xc51295… |
| 04-24 13:41:44 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xc51295… |
| 04-24 13:41:44 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xc385cc… |
| 04-24 13:41:44 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xdade5f… |
| 04-24 13:41:44 | Dear-Home 0xc7b8…0d21 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xdade5f… |
| 04-24 13:33:16 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xc5a302… |
| 04-24 13:33:16 | Sociable-Disagreement 0xc926…7767 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xc5a302… |
| 04-24 08:07:52 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xf65d34… |
| 04-24 08:07:52 | (anonymous) 0x7318…aa84 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xf65d34… |
| 04-24 07:34:08 | Suspicious-Ticket 0xca07…b05b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xd41a5e… |
| 04-24 07:34:08 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xd41a5e… |
| 04-24 05:26:06 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x308236… |
| 04-24 05:26:06 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x308236… |
| 04-24 05:19:46 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x67a34c… |
| 04-24 05:19:46 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x67a34c… |
| 04-24 04:08:50 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 16 | 70¢ | $11 | 0x7e3ff7… |
| 04-24 04:08:50 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | BUY | 16 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x7e3ff7… |
| 04-24 03:17:04 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 6 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x443054… |
| 04-24 03:17:04 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x443054… |
| 04-23 23:29:38 | Annual-Standoff 0x53f2…086f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xc921e1… |
| 04-23 23:29:38 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xc921e1… |