Dim-Ephemeris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$654

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

281

Trades

493

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 05-20 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

63% 28% +$21

Politics

24% 12% -$854

Crypto

13% 50% +$204

Sports

0% 0% -$26

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$829	778	778	+0	Yes	+$229	05-12 02:11
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	10	$721	1,970	1,970	+0	No	-$158	02-03 17:54
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	7	$559	6,264	436	+5,827	No	+$259	01-30 19:46
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	5	$463	769	769	+0	No	-$137	03-30 17:45
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 20-26?	3	$396	696	150	+546	No	-$200	04-23 00:54
gc settle 4725 4850 jan 2026	8	$382	3,690	3,690	+0	Yes	+$86	01-31 06:00
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	5	$313	707	707	+0	No	-$95	03-09 20:59
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$300	291	291	+0	No	+$274	04-30 20:09
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$254	1,231	1,231	+0	No	+$214	05-01 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	1	$252	358	0	+358	No	-$252	04-28 02:38
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$250	1,428	0	+1,428	Yes	-$250	05-16 08:23
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be less than 47m	2	$246	226	226	+0	Yes	+$206	02-14 06:50
highest temperature in taipei on april 18 2026 24c	2	$237	126	125	+1	No	+$13	04-18 02:55
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	2	$194	625	587	+38	No	-$6	04-23 00:48
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	1	$189	255	0	+255	Yes	+$67	04-26 21:04
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$185	255	255	+0	No	+$45	04-23 03:55
will there be at least 750 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026 8 i8 892 334 598	4	$180	2,889	0	+2,889	No	-$180	01-28 23:54
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$157	135	135	+0	Yes	+$22	03-20 05:34
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$154	637	0	+637	No	+$484	04-21 20:16
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$152	728	728	+0	No	+$47	03-04 03:34
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$150	339	339	+0	No	-$50	02-24 16:46
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:45 UTC	2	$137	151	151	+1	Up	-$116	01-31 20:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$126	572	572	+0	No	-$74	05-07 02:45
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	3	$119	323	323	+0	No	-$16	04-07 17:48
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	4	$114	301	301	+0	No	+$34	02-02 02:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 08:00 UTC	2	$111	130	0	+130	Down	+$19	01-26 08:11
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	2	$109	185	0	+185	Yes	+$75	05-11 17:33
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$108	111	111	+0	No	-$21	03-09 21:41
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	2	$101	129	129	+0	No	-$99	05-20 17:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$101	515	515	+0	Yes	-$99	04-21 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 17:39:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	227	0¢	$1	0x47e96e…
05-20 17:38:29	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	208	0¢	$1	0x9397fc…
05-20 17:38:21	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	SELL	129	1¢	$1	0xd0f64a…
05-20 17:38:15	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0xd905f9…
05-20 17:38:12	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	SELL	806	0¢	$4	0xf4fcd5…
05-20 17:38:07	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1,545	1¢	$10	0x1c399a…
05-20 15:57:50	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	375	2¢	$6	0x25dd6d…
05-19 19:08:29	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x0ff227…
05-19 01:38:32	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	SELL	364	3¢	$11	0x17d135…
05-18 07:44:16	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0xf0e508…
05-17 21:15:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x0420a0…
05-17 21:15:18	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x0f1dbb…
05-16 08:23:25	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	1,066	19¢	$200	0xf42644…
05-16 08:22:02	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x691864…
05-16 08:21:40	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	806	4¢	$30	0xe72429…
05-16 08:12:42	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,170	4¢	$50	0x2008d4…
05-16 07:24:35	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	363	14¢	$50	0x01a7b5…
05-13 18:42:52	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	307	33¢	$100	0x84e21c…
05-13 17:51:51	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	1,928	4¢	$70	0x7d7420…
05-13 17:29:39	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	117	26¢	$30	0x732f5d…
05-12 02:11:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	778	68¢	$529	0xe98d05…
05-11 17:33:25	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x6012cd…
05-11 17:31:31	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	No	SELL	732	0¢	$3	0x36d19a…
05-10 22:26:24	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	No	BUY	732	12¢	$90	0xdd15a6…
05-10 22:24:50	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x7068ab…
05-09 22:48:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0xbbfc24…
05-07 23:59:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	369	27¢	$100	0x4dd246…
05-07 02:45:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	572	5¢	$26	0x878b2d…
05-07 02:45:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	24¢	$35	0x38eb4a…
05-06 09:53:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	34¢	$50	0x8fb9a4…
05-06 09:51:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	572	17¢	$100	0x89ac9b…
05-04 08:57:50	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	SELL	359	0¢	$0	0xc63ea9…
05-03 22:18:00	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	359	2¢	$7	0x4aada7…
05-03 22:17:28	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	Yes	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x4c58f2…
05-02 05:26:18	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$7	0x5d4bbc…
05-02 00:33:50	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	364	5¢	$20	0x4989b9…
05-01 04:18:28	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	1,026	3¢	$31	0xe0beca…
04-30 20:11:16	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,026	1¢	$10	0xf95aa1…
04-30 20:09:30	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	204	99¢	$203	0x6dccd7…
04-30 20:09:26	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	291	99¢	$287	0xfa7dec…
04-29 20:04:48	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x426e4e…
04-29 09:41:34	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0x86f7c1…
04-29 09:41:30	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x9994f5…
04-29 09:38:52	Will Penske Automotive Group (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9bbed9…
04-29 09:38:40	Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x33dac8…
04-29 02:12:42	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	BUY	374	4¢	$15	0xa4595b…
04-28 20:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xfd26b8…
04-28 02:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	358	70¢	$252	0x5ffd3f…
04-26 21:04:16	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	255	74¢	$189	0xa22675…
04-25 16:40:08	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	Yes	BUY	1,022	2¢	$20	0x149839…
04-24 20:02:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	No	BUY	2,254	4¢	$100	0xd80014…
04-24 00:30:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	SELL	604	0¢	$2	0x63cd70…
04-24 00:30:50	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	238	1¢	$3	0x06fb8e…
04-24 00:24:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	932	1¢	$11	0xd18999…
04-23 19:46:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	BUY	635	2¢	$10	0x31631a…
04-23 19:38:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x8a2b0a…
04-23 19:37:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x2c09f8…
04-23 19:37:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xd027d4…
04-23 19:36:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	211	9¢	$20	0xbaf486…
04-23 03:55:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	90	24¢	$22	0x7a9277…
04-23 03:55:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	91	74¢	$68	0x3eee93…
04-23 03:20:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0xeb3291…
04-23 01:16:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xdcf7ed…
04-23 00:54:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xb68f61…
04-23 00:54:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	542	37¢	$200	0x73f3ab…
04-23 00:48:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	587	16¢	$94	0xebc232…
04-23 00:48:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 20-26?	No	SELL	150	64¢	$96	0x3588bf…
04-23 00:05:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 20-26?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x825beb…
04-23 00:05:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xeef681…
04-22 08:06:50	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0xe8c9ac…
04-22 08:06:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x45c138…
04-22 00:22:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xfe9ad3…
04-22 00:21:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe5420e…
04-22 00:21:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xaf7cdc…
04-21 23:43:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	677	2¢	$15	0x467ed7…
04-21 21:06:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0xda83f5…
04-21 21:05:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	32	36¢	$12	0x2cad9b…
04-21 21:01:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	378	4¢	$14	0x04362e…
04-21 21:01:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	41	34¢	$14	0x6e7d35…
04-21 20:16:56	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	449	12¢	$54	0x17dbe0…
04-21 19:52:38	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	515	0¢	$1	0xd61ff3…
04-21 19:52:34	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	293	0¢	$1	0xd1df56…
04-21 02:32:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	165	30¢	$50	0x89cac4…
04-20 00:10:44	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x3f7840…
04-20 00:09:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	515	19¢	$100	0xdab0f1…
04-18 03:17:22	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	167	6¢	$10	0x2c2997…
04-18 02:55:06	highest temperature in taipei on april 18 2026 24c	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xc4bd6f…
04-17 19:46:10	highest temperature in taipei on april 18 2026 24c	No	BUY	126	90¢	$112	0x26569e…
04-17 04:15:48	highest temperature in taipei on april 17 2026 31c	No	BUY	114	78¢	$89	0xe9f4e5…
04-16 23:28:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	1,250	0¢	$4	0xd8c767…
04-16 22:55:40	highest temperature in taipei on april 17 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xbfae15…
04-16 22:55:32	highest temperature in taipei on april 17 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x195ff1…
04-16 22:31:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x7c203b…
04-16 04:31:56	pep quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt54	No	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x59688c…
04-16 04:04:28	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	425	1¢	$2	0x3db333…
04-14 22:15:26	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	199	24¢	$48	0xe739db…
04-14 22:12:40	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x99ef4d…
04-14 22:04:22	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x70744b…
04-14 01:34:27	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0xb551d1…
04-14 01:33:55	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	Yes	BUY	183	11¢	$20	0x8507c6…