Pastel-Crate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$611

Unrealized P&L

+$2.96K

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$176.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.32K

Open exposure

$35.8K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-06 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

86% 81% +$387

Other

14% 71% -$993

Sports

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+21,934	$18,800	94¢	$20.5K	+$1,709	11-02 19:47
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+7,841	$7,000	99¢	$7.7K	+$739	09-23 09:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,239	$3,000	98¢	$3.2K	+$185	09-01 09:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,286	$2,000	93¢	$2.1K	+$123	11-06 09:53
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,176	$1,000	95¢	$1.1K	+$118	10-10 13:28
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,100	$1,000	98¢	$1.1K	+$82	07-04 07:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	6	$18.8K	21,934	0	+21,934	open	—	11-02 19:47
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	4	$16.6K	17,506	0	+17,506	No	+$921	06-01 08:51
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$16.1K	8,350	8,350	+0	No	+$112	09-17 08:19
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	2	$15.0K	15,963	0	+15,963	No	+$963	07-04 07:14
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$12.0K	13,956	0	+13,956	No	+$1,954	01-02 07:54
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	1	$10.1K	10,516	0	+10,516	No	+$440	01-20 16:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$10.0K	10,360	0	+10,360	No	+$360	04-11 13:09
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by march 31 214	1	$8.7K	9,290	0	+9,290	No	+$590	03-02 09:59
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	3	$7.0K	7,841	0	+7,841	open	—	09-23 09:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$7.0K	7,230	0	+7,230	No	+$230	04-02 11:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$7.0K	7,295	0	+7,295	No	+$295	02-02 10:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$6.8K	3,939	3,524	+416	No	+$403	03-27 15:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$5.0K	5,118	0	+5,118	No	+$118	05-02 13:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,495	0	+5,495	Yes	-$5,000	04-11 09:14
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$3.3K	2,479	2,479	+0	Yes	+$335	09-17 08:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$3.0K	3,239	0	+3,239	open	—	09-01 09:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	1	$2.1K	2,316	0	+2,316	No	+$216	07-12 11:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,286	0	+2,286	open	—	11-06 09:53
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	3,636	0	+3,636	No	-$960	10-01 09:12
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	2	$1.5K	1,565	0	+1,565	No	+$65	04-20 08:57
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$1.2K	1,075	1,075	+0	Yes	-$789	04-15 06:15
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$1.0K	661	661	+0	No	+$15	09-17 08:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,064	0	+1,064	No	+$64	09-20 18:26
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,026	0	+1,026	No	+$26	09-23 09:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$1000	2,703	0	+2,703	No	-$1,000	03-14 10:39
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	1	$1000	1,176	0	+1,176	open	—	10-10 13:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$1000	1,064	0	+1,064	No	+$64	04-08 06:59
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	1	$1000	1,046	0	+1,046	No	+$46	02-02 10:00
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	1	$1000	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	07-04 07:26
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	1	$1000	1,128	0	+1,128	No	+$128	03-02 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 09:53:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0xba1e00…
11-03 17:12:27	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	657	75¢	$493	0x281998…
11-02 19:47:45	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2,006	90¢	$1,800	0x6e821e…
11-02 19:46:03	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0xd2a545…
10-10 13:28:49	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0xb8c16f…
10-01 09:12:47	will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026	No	BUY	1,040	96¢	$1,000	0x251fe9…
09-28 09:49:59	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	3,282	91¢	$3,000	0x3fb9ef…
09-23 09:31:08	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x89c93e…
09-23 09:24:52	Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,017	98¢	$1,000	0x92fd3d…
09-23 09:18:56	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,026	97¢	$1,000	0x817af2…
09-20 18:26:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0x7113de…
09-20 18:24:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0x191c3f…
09-17 08:51:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5,618	89¢	$5,000	0x741192…
09-17 08:41:45	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2,479	74¢	$1,835	0x928e08…
09-17 08:39:55	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	661	78¢	$515	0xf4abfa…
09-17 08:19:31	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	8,350	97¢	$8,112	0xf99e16…
09-06 09:19:09	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	661	76¢	$500	0x8ab1e7…
09-06 09:18:39	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5,216	96¢	$5,000	0x844761…
09-05 05:45:10	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,045	96¢	$1,000	0xb6cad6…
09-05 05:43:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	725	69¢	$500	0x13b2a4…
09-05 05:42:39	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,045	96¢	$1,000	0x6812a6…
09-01 09:25:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	1,107	90¢	$1,000	0x7b50e1…
09-01 09:23:22	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x65ada3…
09-01 09:21:36	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	3,342	90¢	$3,000	0x648602…
09-01 09:11:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,128	94¢	$2,000	0xcf3eb1…
09-01 08:50:04	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,596	39¢	$1,000	0x4e35e8…
08-15 08:53:03	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xbb696a…
08-15 08:52:24	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	608	82¢	$500	0xe12a1a…
07-12 11:18:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,316	91¢	$2,100	0x8efd2a…
07-04 07:26:17	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,000	0x8d654e…
07-04 07:24:50	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,044	96¢	$1,000	0xcc0d36…
07-04 07:23:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,754	57¢	$1,000	0x643bdb…
07-04 07:16:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x2e1196…
07-04 07:14:46	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	5,270	95¢	$5,000	0x8b7c14…
07-01 20:08:20	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	6,579	76¢	$5,000	0xe3a592…
07-01 20:05:20	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	10,693	94¢	$10,000	0x5021af…
07-01 20:04:26	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5,747	87¢	$5,000	0xc22fe6…
06-01 08:51:05	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	5,276	97¢	$5,118	0xc59c14…
05-10 13:27:35	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	5,261	94¢	$4,967	0x4cfc1f…
05-10 13:25:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	5,405	93¢	$5,000	0x770894…
05-02 13:51:38	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1,564	96¢	$1,500	0x39e7fd…
05-02 13:49:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	417	100¢	$415	0x5b9657…
05-02 13:31:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5,118	98¢	$5,000	0x8b40bc…
04-20 08:57:38	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0xb4cb6b…
04-15 19:32:50	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4726c5…
04-15 06:15:52	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	1,075	20¢	$211	0x7d52e4…
04-11 13:09:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10,360	97¢	$10,000	0x1c4ff5…
04-11 12:52:31	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x855c83…
04-11 12:51:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0xd7473e…
04-11 09:20:07	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xfa9882…
04-11 09:14:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,495	91¢	$5,000	0x517b3c…
04-08 16:03:21	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10 578	Yes	BUY	401	25¢	$100	0x92baed…
04-08 06:59:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0x8cde93…
04-03 07:59:49	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	Yes	SELL	250	56¢	$139	0xc0003f…
04-02 11:29:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5,165	97¢	$5,000	0x09f221…
04-02 11:18:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	676	74¢	$500	0xe2ddb3…
04-02 11:18:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0xeda3de…
04-02 11:17:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0xc12162…
04-01 09:56:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,065	97¢	$2,000	0x50dc59…
04-01 09:36:55	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xd6c2a6…
04-01 09:33:17	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	BUY	546	92¢	$500	0x5098cd…
04-01 09:11:23	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	409	24¢	$100	0x4c95ce…
03-27 15:35:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	416	96¢	$400	0xf0c305…
03-27 15:34:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	3,524	96¢	$3,383	0x891667…
03-14 10:48:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	3,524	85¢	$2,995	0x055645…
03-14 10:39:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	2,703	37¢	$1,000	0x7ae5bd…
03-02 09:59:29	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by march 31 214	No	BUY	9,290	94¢	$8,700	0x772594…
03-02 09:54:41	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	BUY	1,128	89¢	$1,000	0xd98590…
03-02 09:48:29	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	BUY	687	29¢	$200	0xab6b69…
02-02 10:22:18	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	7,295	96¢	$7,000	0xefdad3…
02-02 10:00:42	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,046	96¢	$1,000	0xa9b31d…
02-02 09:55:50	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by february 28	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0xd566f0…
02-02 09:46:44	us strike on nigeria by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1,103	91¢	$1,000	0xca9495…
01-20 16:21:18	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	No	BUY	10,516	96¢	$10,076	0x3d4e59…
01-02 07:54:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	13,944	86¢	$11,992	0x90772b…
01-02 07:54:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x246b68…