Gifted-First — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.33K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

1,641

Trades

2,655

lifetime

Volume

$46.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-23 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 52% -$733

Other

30% 56% -$707

Politics

4% 58% +$107

Sports

1% 60% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 54k february 23 march 1	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$14	02-27 16:38
will bitcoin dip to 52k february 23 march 1	4	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	-$1	02-27 16:38
bitcoin up or down february 28 8pm et	2	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	Up	+$12	03-01 01:52
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$0	02-25 07:50
will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 24	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	-$4	03-24 13:21
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$952	1,396	1,396	+0	Yes	-$361	03-25 01:12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	4	$832	426	426	+0	No	+$1	05-18 06:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on february 25	2	$799	400	400	+0	No	+$0	02-25 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	21	$729	547	547	+0	Down	+$29	06-03 16:49
will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 21	1	$699	700	0	+700	No	+$1	03-21 09:25
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	1	$699	700	0	+700	No	+$1	02-24 07:43
bitcoin up or down february 28 9pm et	1	$600	601	0	+601	Up	+$1	03-01 02:48
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$553	1,390	1,390	+0	No	+$1	07-03 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	2	$498	500	0	+500	No	+$2	05-16 09:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	4	$452	400	400	+0	No	+$0	05-23 15:30
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	3	$437	1,424	1,424	+0	No	-$124	03-24 03:27
will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 25	1	$434	435	0	+435	No	+$0	03-25 10:24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 22?	4	$434	400	400	+0	No	-$2	05-22 07:54
will bitcoin dip to 61k on march 23	1	$408	408	0	+408	No	+$0	03-23 13:58
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-27 16:38
will solana dip to 20 february 23 march 1	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-27 16:40
bitcoin up or down march 11 12pm et	8	$396	400	200	+200	Up	+$4	03-11 17:03
New pandemic in 2026?	3	$393	1,372	1,372	+0	open	—	05-08 09:18
bitcoin up or down march 11 11am et	6	$393	400	197	+203	Down	+$4	03-11 16:29
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-17 16:00 UTC	8	$392	800	0	+800	Up	+$8	03-17 16:07
bitcoin up or down march 11 8pm et	10	$390	400	200	+200	Up	+$10	03-12 01:28
bitcoin up or down march 11 9pm et	10	$347	1,085	1,081	+4	Down	-$152	03-12 01:27
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?	4	$331	200	200	+0	No	-$5	05-14 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:40 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Down	+$3	03-18 17:44
bitcoin up or down february 28 11am et	3	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-28 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 03:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xeebd65…
10-23 03:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x30e5a3…
10-12 12:56:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0007ec…
10-10 09:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc224e1…
10-08 14:58:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75f9c5…
10-05 06:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5f2e4a…
10-03 05:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x702961…
10-01 16:45:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x652716…
09-30 08:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x042571…
09-30 08:22:47	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3f6552…
09-29 01:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5bfbc…
09-27 14:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c41fc…
09-26 01:28:44	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f573e…
09-24 09:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd64131…
09-22 04:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0079b0…
09-20 05:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdefaf9…
09-18 13:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f54d0…
09-16 15:39:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2cdd33…
09-15 14:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a22f3…
09-14 16:23:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81985e…
09-13 10:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4122f…
09-12 15:57:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x38e67d…
09-10 15:23:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8478a1…
09-09 03:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0cec52…
09-07 04:21:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x02e1ba…
09-05 13:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x86ddd7…
09-05 09:05:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x216d5f…
09-03 10:58:49	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b3cde…
09-03 10:57:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xddd44c…
09-02 10:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x229219…
09-02 00:42:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x924d5e…
09-01 14:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7e1016…
08-31 13:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e21aa…
08-30 09:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8effa…
08-29 15:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9ff07a…
08-29 15:11:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xaea462…
08-29 15:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc54050…
08-29 15:06:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbdedd7…
08-29 10:26:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x4e0892…
08-29 10:25:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x37da05…
08-27 17:17:48	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 14°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x09aedd…
08-26 08:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bbe54…
08-26 08:16:00	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3f8e5…
08-26 08:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d121e…
08-25 09:59:15	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x45a19b…
08-25 03:41:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1a9c8…
08-24 06:13:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb3a32c…
08-23 17:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xac5863…
08-23 17:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa4a588…
08-21 16:02:15	bitcoin up or down on august 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb13706…
08-20 16:00:54	bitcoin up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x311d6b…
08-20 14:56:52	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3bc96b…
08-19 16:01:31	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc5186b…
08-18 15:40:04	bitcoin up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0c4bbe…
08-18 15:23:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5f89f…
08-18 15:22:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ece7b…
08-18 15:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeccbc4…
08-17 16:07:16	bitcoin up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x049ab7…
08-17 15:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x828b1a…
08-17 04:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a8079…
08-17 03:43:06	bitcoin up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x134b3f…
08-16 14:26:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfcfa64…
08-16 14:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3504b8…
08-16 08:46:43	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8e745…
08-15 16:49:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c0e0b…
08-14 14:22:16	bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x73f08c…
08-14 10:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x493cff…
08-14 10:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x835665…
08-14 10:16:58	bitcoin up or down on august 14 2026	Down	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x8d00ec…
08-14 02:58:12	bitcoin up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9bfe26…
08-13 07:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x518378…
08-13 07:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09ae83…
08-11 16:12:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3249b1…
08-11 16:12:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa570ac…
08-11 06:11:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f5308…
08-11 06:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b0b84…
08-10 10:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x534145…
08-10 10:18:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa5ab09…
08-09 14:41:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x64c5d7…
08-09 14:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x51b4eb…
08-09 14:40:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x671fc2…
08-09 09:32:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1dd537…
08-09 09:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb0e2ac…
08-08 15:33:40	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcec1cc…
08-08 15:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdef744…
08-08 02:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcabe52…
08-08 02:23:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0f2baf…
08-07 05:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9e527b…
08-07 05:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6464b4…
08-06 09:13:56	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e686e…
08-05 10:35:47	bitcoin up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x710bba…
08-05 10:35:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b889c…
08-05 10:33:14	bitcoin up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xacb7a7…
08-04 14:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf1c164…
08-04 14:22:20	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d0513…
08-04 14:21:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda17bc…
08-04 05:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x160b8b…
08-03 08:03:35	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87bfba…
08-03 08:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8c9cc…
08-03 08:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10fe8e…