Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
46
lifetime
Volume
$660
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$452
6 positions
First seen
2026-07-03
last 07-07 21:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56%
Other
44%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,321 $170 16¢ $205 +$35 07-07 21:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +890 $156 18¢ $156 $-1 07-07 20:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +920 $40 $43 +$3 07-07 20:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +79 $30 34¢ $27 $-3 07-07 09:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +446 $18 $18 $-0 07-07 19:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +43 $3 $3 $-0 07-07 20:01