Verifiable-Orchard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

10,501 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$53.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$36

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-05 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

84% 27% +$1,348

Politics

9% 50% -$257

Sports

7% 56% +$107

Crypto

0% 50% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+100	$52	24¢	$24	-$27	08-21 19:22
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-300	-$6	2¢	$-7	-$1	06-05 15:48
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+60	$11	6¢	$4	-$7	11-03 16:57
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-200	-$1	0¢	$-1	+$1	06-05 15:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	26	$2.5K	1,848	1,848	+0	No	+$56	02-13 06:34
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	12	$1.4K	716	716	+0	No	+$34	02-18 04:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$1.2K	888	888	+0	Yes	-$178	02-28 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?	35	$1.2K	935	855	+80	Yes	+$21	06-29 07:02
spx opens up or down on february 6 2026	32	$1.1K	1,294	1,344	-50	Up	-$462	02-06 14:19
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	2	$842	424	424	+0	Seahawks	+$5	02-09 03:04
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	18	$742	1,006	206	+800	Down	+$54	03-02 06:42
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	6	$723	387	387	+0	No	+$19	02-21 05:03
lal mad bet 2026 02 08 total 2pt5	2	$680	358	358	+0	Under	+$35	02-08 20:30
epl sun liv 2026 02 11 sun	3	$634	324	324	+0	No	+$11	02-11 22:09
epl cry bur 2026 02 11 bur	2	$592	312	312	+0	Yes	+$31	02-11 21:35
epl ast bri 2026 02 11 ast	2	$544	284	284	+0	Yes	+$18	02-11 21:26
ndx up or down on march 11 2026	7	$496	509	0	+509	Up	+$14	03-11 20:01
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	4	$465	289	289	+0	Down	-$35	02-09 14:22
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	3	$446	400	417	-17	Yes	+$371	02-24 16:54
lal elc osa 2026 02 13 total 3pt5	3	$414	214	214	+0	Under	+$14	02-13 23:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$410	216	216	+0	Yes	+$10	02-24 03:46
lal elc osa 2026 02 13 total 4pt5	2	$403	203	203	+0	Under	+$3	02-13 23:02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	13	$396	882	383	+499	Yes	+$862	07-17 21:57
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$391	272	172	+100	No	+$2	02-27 20:46
nba lac was 2026 01 19 total 225pt5	2	$359	183	183	+0	Under	+$4	01-19 22:41
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	2	$320	165	165	+0	No	$0	02-10 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 22?	21	$311	528	158	+370	No	+$111	05-22 19:20
spx up or down on march 2 2026	13	$301	520	220	+300	Up	-$57	03-02 21:00
ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 new1	4	$299	173	173	+0	Yes	+$1	02-24 21:30
spx up or down on february 11 2026	13	$298	335	335	+0	Down	-$143	02-11 21:00
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 21c	11	$294	235	260	-25	Yes	+$197	03-28 07:38
spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	7	$290	281	281	-0	Down	+$271	02-26 16:10
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$285	150	150	+0	Yes	+$15	02-19 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?	26	$279	515	336	+179	Yes	+$364	06-12 22:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xe5fce4…
11-05 19:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x000db6…
11-05 19:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc9ece5…
11-05 19:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x0b9c10…
11-05 19:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xaead3c…
11-05 19:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9fb00d…
11-05 19:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xcf0bda…
11-05 19:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x42e2ff…
11-05 18:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0xebb98e…
11-05 17:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x6e45cc…
11-05 17:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb49195…
11-05 17:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb6ddd6…
11-05 17:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x774bab…
11-05 17:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6c5a99…
11-05 17:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3d688f…
11-05 17:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3172b4…
11-05 17:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x60ddda…
11-05 17:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3c4de8…
11-05 17:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1ed649…
11-05 17:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc685af…
11-05 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe8b9cf…
11-05 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe5610b…
11-05 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb9e38b…
11-05 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb1f92f…
11-05 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9e1483…
11-05 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x98be49…
11-05 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x95381d…
11-05 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x35a461…
11-05 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x068537…
11-05 17:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x1bae1e…
11-05 17:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2fc96d…
11-05 17:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4e10f1…
11-05 17:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x48a163…
11-05 17:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x311a9a…
11-05 17:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xfbafc9…
11-05 17:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe1f856…
11-05 17:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc1399c…
11-05 17:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x02c519…
11-05 17:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9d9ab0…
11-05 17:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x29c3bc…
11-05 16:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xa611f6…
11-05 16:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x3fdf4b…
11-05 16:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xccc6a1…
11-05 16:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x73c67d…
11-05 16:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xaba30b…
11-03 16:57:19	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7351d3…
11-02 21:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x854539…
11-02 20:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x7c3b0f…
11-02 19:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa92bb9…
11-02 19:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xdcaa17…
11-02 19:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xd5d1ca…
11-02 17:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf5260f…
11-02 17:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc42447…
11-02 17:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3d8136…
11-02 17:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x0f96fb…
11-02 17:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x321ff7…
11-02 17:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x98d71a…
10-30 18:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x3cbcc6…
10-30 18:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x900511…
10-30 18:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xa4b20a…
10-30 18:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x1bc08a…
10-30 18:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x869296…
10-30 18:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x117ed4…
10-30 17:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf38c25…
10-30 17:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa108f6…
10-30 17:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xea6cd3…
10-30 17:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa88705…
10-30 17:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2432e5…
10-30 17:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x719324…
10-29 19:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x9335f5…
10-29 19:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc08f0d…
10-29 19:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1524cd…
10-29 17:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd716a0…
10-29 17:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x00941e…
10-29 17:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xe82fc6…
10-29 17:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0xf11c7f…
10-29 17:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x9b9166…
10-29 17:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x6085da…
10-29 16:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xfdccd7…
10-29 16:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4bde9a…
10-28 19:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x545500…
10-28 18:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xefa400…
10-28 18:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x175f02…
10-28 18:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa3a2a7…
10-28 18:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x1979b8…
10-28 18:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xd9c344…
10-28 18:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x7b54bf…
10-28 18:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xac3983…
10-28 18:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe81a6f…
10-28 18:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x213002…
10-28 18:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xeb74d1…
10-28 18:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xeeeb90…
10-28 18:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x8372bf…
10-28 18:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x4af4bd…
10-28 18:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x4a0cf8…
10-28 18:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0x3ec30a…
10-28 18:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xc26df7…
10-28 18:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x527067…
10-28 18:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x7769e7…
10-28 18:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf47649…