Reliable-Stall — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$43

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

133

2,038 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$695

$9.59K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 49% +$325

Sports

13% 37% -$142

Other

10% 35% -$153

Politics

2% 46% +$40

Tech

1% 57% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+194	$5	6¢	$12	+$7	10-25 09:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 15:45 UTC	2	$201	103	103	+0	Down	+$1	02-18 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 17:45 UTC	4	$180	124	122	+2	Down	+$56	02-25 17:58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$160	101	101	+0	No	+$1	07-14 20:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:15 UTC	9	$117	149	149	+0	Down	+$106	08-03 13:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$112	161	161	+0	No	+$24	06-01 12:30
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	3	$111	74	73	+1	Yes	+$5	04-07 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	8	$84	59	59	+0	Down	+$24	05-25 10:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:00 UTC	1	$80	129	0	+129	Up	+$49	03-02 13:59
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	6	$78	50	50	+0	Yes	+$5	08-09 15:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 18:00 UTC	3	$71	48	48	+1	Up	+$11	02-25 18:05
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$71	44	44	+0	No	+$11	04-08 22:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 13:45 UTC	2	$69	93	93	+0	Up	+$19	07-29 13:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 11:30 UTC	2	$68	52	52	+0	Down	+$18	07-28 11:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$67	51	51	+0	Yes	+$7	05-30 21:27
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$65	40	40	+0	Argentina	+$5	07-12 01:34
Hawks vs. Knicks	3	$65	74	74	+0	cancelled	+$5	05-01 00:13
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	4	$64	115	115	+0	No	+$8	10-25 21:28
will the price of solana be between 140 150 on january 11	2	$62	72	72	+0	Yes	+$60	01-11 16:34
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	14	$61	94	38	+56	No	-$19	06-30 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 17:30 UTC	3	$54	79	0	+79	Up	-$54	02-25 17:41
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$52	145	73	+73	No	+$34	01-24 16:45
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$50	95	95	+0	Yes	+$24	06-06 23:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 07:15 UTC	6	$48	42	42	+0	Up	+$32	08-04 07:28
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	13	$48	172	14	+158	No	-$27	06-27 19:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 11:45 UTC	6	$45	35	35	+0	Down	+$15	08-09 11:54
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 9 15	6	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 11:56
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	7	$44	65	29	+36	No	-$7	01-11 16:06
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 14:15 UTC	4	$43	38	38	+0	Down	+$23	07-31 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 07:15 UTC	2	$42	28	27	+0	Down	+$12	03-05 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 08:30 UTC	4	$39	69	0	+69	Down	+$8	03-03 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 14:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe1cbd3…
11-06 14:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9216cd…
11-05 15:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7c168e…
11-05 15:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb427e0…
11-05 15:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xc14e71…
11-05 15:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc272c9…
11-04 21:51:00	Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x15f422…
11-04 21:48:33	Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x2e779c…
11-04 19:37:09	Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xb2ea0b…
11-04 19:35:16	Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1accf1…
11-03 20:51:27	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa02a81…
11-01 21:56:54	Celtics vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xb356e3…
11-01 21:51:25	Celtics vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x5352c4…
11-01 01:15:36	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xfebced…
11-01 01:10:37	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x021f2f…
10-25 21:28:38	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xdc008e…
10-25 21:28:36	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x12bd56…
10-25 21:13:05	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	75	24¢	$18	0xdb7142…
10-25 21:08:15	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x67ec56…
10-25 09:32:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	194	3¢	$5	0xc45cc7…
10-25 01:05:38	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Nets	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa5aeb2…
10-25 01:05:17	Wizards vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8d23b5…
10-25 01:03:18	Bucks vs. 76ers	Bucks	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd9c38c…
10-22 20:25:26	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	179	2¢	$3	0xe1b782…
10-15 03:19:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd0244c…
10-15 03:17:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd5618b…
10-13 20:49:34	Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	78¢	$16	0x9526ca…
10-13 20:10:58	Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6d2849…
10-12 10:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0xf4e60d…
10-12 10:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0xf15c98…
10-12 10:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x1a93fa…
10-12 10:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4114e2…
10-12 10:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9b9a92…
10-06 13:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x892e78…
10-02 13:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x31dfe0…
10-02 05:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x80c18f…
10-01 06:00:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x908f91…
09-30 12:59:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x75f1cf…
09-29 16:24:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x4404a9…
09-29 12:23:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xbe9c02…
09-29 12:22:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x9f878c…
09-28 16:59:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5e8999…
09-28 16:58:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc438ef…
09-28 08:39:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa9e597…
09-28 06:36:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xfea3cc…
09-27 14:41:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0d63c3…
09-27 14:39:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7a3fbe…
09-27 10:53:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xf0d5ba…
09-27 10:44:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6c44df…
09-27 10:30:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x04dae8…
09-26 13:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x384a9f…
09-26 13:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x028e21…
09-26 13:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb74596…
09-26 13:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x6dea4a…
09-25 12:21:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9d85e1…
09-24 18:40:38	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd8bf64…
09-22 09:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfa14d3…
09-17 14:19:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xdaf7e6…
09-17 14:18:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x4894b1…
09-16 18:51:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xae8120…
09-16 18:46:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x337a1b…
09-10 23:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfc9021…
09-10 23:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x07c4b3…
09-10 13:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5f2a3a…
09-10 13:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa1187b…
09-10 13:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc446fa…
09-10 13:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0a3e9c…
09-10 13:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x210f2f…
09-10 13:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x0b825d…
09-10 12:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0xd4b7ad…
09-10 12:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x756fb9…
09-10 12:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x9dbc9d…
09-02 11:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1c0caa…
09-01 18:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5b45e7…
08-25 05:32:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x8be38d…
08-24 16:19:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x34df7b…
08-23 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x81caf7…
08-23 06:03:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xe56a71…
08-23 05:45:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xed38ab…
08-23 05:45:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa94cbf…
08-22 06:22:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa86f10…
08-22 06:19:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x91c8e5…
08-22 05:22:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x809a34…
08-22 05:21:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xfd2d9b…
08-22 05:21:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x44f149…
08-21 09:52:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0x37c460…
08-21 09:49:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa15563…
08-21 09:35:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfd7f70…
08-20 15:25:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x552438…
08-20 15:23:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x041402…
08-20 15:10:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x0fc32d…
08-20 15:08:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x744e7d…
08-20 12:26:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x352ce7…
08-20 12:15:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x190c2f…
08-20 08:19:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x8a6c03…
08-20 08:15:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x90a76b…
08-20 04:55:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf99c4c…
08-19 19:21:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x6dc7bf…
08-19 19:19:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x68d4b3…
08-19 19:18:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x992d11…