Outrageous-God — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$847

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$56

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-05 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

47% 82% -$38

Crypto

28% 100% +$6

Politics

13% 100% +$2

Sports

8% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	+30	$30	100¢	$30	+$0	10-05 16:54
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	+26	$25	100¢	$26	+$1	10-05 16:51
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	+34	$26	0¢	$0	-$26	10-05 16:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	1	$106	108	+108	Yes	+$2	03-30 15:43
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	1	$70	71	+71	No	+$1	07-29 14:57
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$65	67	+67	No	+$2	05-25 17:07
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	10-05 16:54
will solana reach 90 july 27 august 2 2026	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	07-29 15:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	05-25 17:03
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$1	07-29 15:00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	05-25 17:04
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$27	28	+28	No	+$1	05-25 17:02
ucl sba sab 2026 07 29 team to advance	1	$27	27	+27	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	+$1	07-29 14:59
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$26	27	+27	No	+$0	05-25 17:03
will ethereum dip to 2650 on october 5 2026	1	$26	30	+30	No	+$4	10-05 16:55
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	1	$26	34	+34	open	—	10-05 16:52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$26	28	+28	No	-$26	07-29 14:57
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	02-25 15:52
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	1	$25	26	+26	open	—	10-05 16:51
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$25	27	+27	open	—	10-05 16:53
lal rea get 2026 03 02 get	1	$24	26	+26	Yes	-$24	02-25 15:53
Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	02-25 15:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-25 17:06
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	02-25 15:51
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	03-30 15:45
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	03-30 15:45
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 in October?	1	$22	29	+29	Yes	+$7	10-05 16:55
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	07-29 15:01
trump out as president by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	02-25 15:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$1	03-30 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 16:55:50	will ethereum dip to 2650 on october 5 2026	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x7ecbf8…
10-05 16:55:05	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 in October?	Yes	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0x528f55…
10-05 16:54:02	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x682491…
10-05 16:53:38	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xe9f4b9…
10-05 16:52:56	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0xe5d9ef…
10-05 16:51:22	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe56221…
07-29 15:01:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x6174d2…
07-29 15:01:09	will solana reach 90 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbb1a7e…
07-29 15:00:17	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x5a240e…
07-29 14:59:20	ucl sba sab 2026 07 29 team to advance	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xbf919d…
07-29 14:57:47	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x3c3318…
07-29 14:57:29	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x94436f…
05-25 17:07:10	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$65	0x72eccd…
05-25 17:06:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xc86239…
05-25 17:04:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x220385…
05-25 17:03:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xd5cdb1…
05-25 17:03:08	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x934b74…
05-25 17:02:28	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x5c5459…
03-30 15:45:57	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xb91714…
03-30 15:45:21	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	23	96¢	$23	0x63efdd…
03-30 15:44:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0xd53ef7…
03-30 15:43:27	Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x183b8a…
02-25 15:53:02	lal rea get 2026 03 02 get	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xc0cb84…
02-25 15:52:38	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xb6569b…
02-25 15:52:12	Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x6cc382…
02-25 15:51:28	will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x4cf000…
02-25 15:51:00	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xf3f69c…