Relieved-Soprano — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$203

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

184

1,092 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$14.7K

$140.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

$212

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Other

98% 84% -$277

Politics

2% 52% -$266

Crypto

0% 50% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 7?	No	+107	$100	99¢	$107	+$7	11-07 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 7?	No	+105	$100	100¢	$104	+$4	11-07 01:22
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+17	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	09-15 19:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 27?	2	$1.7K	853	852	+1	No	+$12	04-27 02:31
highest temperature in ankara on february 22 2026 8c	28	$1.6K	823	823	+0	No	+$9	02-22 21:37
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on April 26?	3	$1.6K	791	791	+0	No	+$9	04-26 08:05
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$1.6K	1,062	535	+527	No	+$5	02-28 06:55
highest temperature in istanbul on april 6 2026 13c	4	$1.6K	783	782	+0	No	+$5	04-06 08:52
highest temperature in singapore on april 16 2026 29c	2	$1.6K	780	780	+0	No	+$7	04-16 02:54
highest temperature in chongqing on april 4 2026 24c	5	$1.5K	753	752	+1	No	+$14	04-04 04:54
highest temperature in taipei on april 14 2026 29c	13	$1.5K	765	762	+2	No	+$56	04-14 00:53
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 17c	7	$1.5K	735	735	+0	No	+$8	04-02 00:47
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 28?	2	$1.4K	722	721	+1	No	+$21	04-28 01:55
highest temperature in jeddah on april 21 2026 31c	6	$1.4K	708	708	+1	No	+$11	04-21 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 29?	3	$1.4K	704	704	+1	No	+$10	04-29 04:02
highest temperature in ankara on february 19 2026 2corbelow	2	$1.4K	702	702	+0	No	+$10	02-19 10:05
highest temperature in ankara on february 20 2026 8c	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$6	02-20 13:19
highest temperature in wuhan on april 1 2026 20c	3	$1.4K	684	684	+0	No	+$9	04-01 04:28
highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 29c	2	$1.4K	690	689	+1	No	+$23	04-13 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 9?	4	$1.3K	673	673	+0	No	+$13	05-09 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 7?	9	$1.3K	681	681	+0	No	+$2	05-07 07:32
highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 30c	2	$1.3K	668	667	+0	No	+$9	04-12 01:40
highest temperature in istanbul on april 11 2026 9c	3	$1.3K	667	666	+1	No	+$13	04-11 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 6?	3	$1.3K	660	660	+0	No	+$9	05-06 01:39
highest temperature in ankara on march 13 2026 11c	2	$1.3K	657	657	+0	No	+$7	03-13 10:25
highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 28c	7	$1.3K	659	659	+1	No	+$12	04-12 00:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 5?	3	$1.3K	647	647	+0	No	+$18	05-05 04:02
highest temperature in taipei on april 10 2026 29corbelow	7	$1.3K	656	654	+1	No	+$34	04-10 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 4?	4	$1.3K	638	638	+0	No	+$16	05-04 06:20
highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 11c	2	$1.2K	622	622	+0	No	+$12	03-14 10:25
highest temperature in ankara on march 11 2026 11c	2	$1.2K	607	607	+0	No	+$6	03-11 11:14
highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 8c	2	$1.2K	606	606	+0	No	+$6	03-05 10:34
highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 27c	6	$1.2K	601	600	+1	No	+$12	04-18 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 04:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 7?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xb26891…
11-07 01:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 7?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x2f6684…
11-06 04:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 6?	No	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xdf2afc…
11-05 14:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 5?	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x0e1a61…
11-05 07:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 5?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x4642ce…
11-05 05:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 5?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb0bed7…
11-05 03:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 5?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x558065…
10-01 09:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0x0d93e9…
10-01 04:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb1bf01…
10-01 04:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xdeec3f…
10-01 04:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	56	72¢	$40	0xeb4294…
10-01 04:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x7a8519…
10-01 01:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x58772d…
09-30 04:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 30?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x5f9fa7…
09-29 21:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf1239a…
09-29 14:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbdcbdf…
09-29 11:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x3973bd…
09-29 11:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x170dae…
09-29 02:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x6cbccc…
09-29 01:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9f908c…
09-29 01:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xfa4956…
09-28 09:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x6df566…
09-28 06:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x261c6c…
09-28 06:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28?	No	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x74242b…
09-28 04:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc75f45…
09-27 12:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 27?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x068d80…
09-27 07:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 27?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x306847…
09-27 05:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 27?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x39d614…
09-27 05:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 27?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x9ab62a…
09-27 04:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	No	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0x03a7ed…
09-27 03:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe30de4…
09-27 02:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 27?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x368ac0…
09-26 11:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$36	0x23506b…
09-26 08:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc542d0…
09-26 08:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xcbc479…
09-26 08:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 26?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0xc53a97…
09-26 03:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 26?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x397f21…
09-26 03:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 26?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1dd4a2…
09-26 02:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 26?	No	BUY	85	95¢	$80	0xa0446a…
09-25 20:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	62	75¢	$46	0x1a13ce…
09-25 20:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x9ab6ff…
09-25 20:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x13516b…
09-25 20:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0x79e258…
09-25 20:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xfd9b5c…
09-25 15:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x5d42eb…
09-25 15:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 25?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x109639…
09-25 08:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 25?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x75468f…
09-25 08:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 25?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x21bb81…
09-25 08:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 25?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xe74afa…
09-25 01:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 25?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x882036…
09-24 08:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 24?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x820a64…
09-24 07:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xb1448a…
09-24 07:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xae6172…
09-24 02:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x287f2f…
09-24 02:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xb6e296…
09-23 05:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x6b4000…
09-23 03:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 23?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x4986a2…
09-23 02:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x639e8d…
09-22 11:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x1a274e…
09-22 11:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 22?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x673dfb…
09-22 09:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x84e05c…
09-22 07:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x95ff6c…
09-22 04:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 22?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0x0c7e6b…
09-22 00:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x6f8915…
09-22 00:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x96ff40…
09-21 11:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x8e9cf9…
09-21 11:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x3fa979…
09-21 08:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x0c557f…
09-21 04:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xeff46d…
09-20 07:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0xd14820…
09-20 00:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xbd58bd…
09-19 10:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 19?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xed937b…
09-19 10:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xdd0df4…
09-19 05:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf6ee8e…
09-19 05:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x042226…
09-19 04:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc02498…
09-19 02:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 19?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xe67419…
09-18 23:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xd96fd4…
09-18 08:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 18?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0xa7e246…
09-17 23:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 18?	No	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0x7add64…
09-17 10:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 17?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xd95c65…
09-17 02:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 17?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x5cee0f…
09-16 13:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0xb2944f…
09-16 08:11:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0ef1f8…
09-16 08:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	176	97¢	$170	0x2f91f5…
09-16 08:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 16?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x2b34cd…
09-16 03:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 16?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd180d5…
09-16 00:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 16?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x73e8a2…
09-15 23:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 16?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xb8a87a…
09-15 19:09:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdae462…
09-15 09:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 15?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xec674c…
09-15 04:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 15?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe05897…
09-15 04:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x404550…
09-15 03:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 15?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8a2c13…
09-14 22:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 15?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x752fe9…
09-14 08:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 14?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x90feb9…
09-14 04:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x767b1a…
09-13 22:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x3cfdeb…
09-13 14:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x6fe5d5…
09-13 12:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x28d026…