Speedy-Astrakhan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

111

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 11:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

54% 99% +$4

Politics

27% 100% +$1

Crypto

15% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$104	52	52	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 06:13
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	3	$101	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 10:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$94	59	40	+19	No	+$1	08-27 14:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	08-14 12:16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$84	46	46	+0	No	+$0	10-18 11:19
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$66	46	46	+0	open	—	10-26 05:25
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$55	44	44	+0	open	—	10-15 08:11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$43	21	21	+0	No	+$0	09-30 17:25
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	08-15 07:31
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	06-30 02:55
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	09-22 13:12
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	08-20 21:53
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	09-04 06:17
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	09-26 02:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$26	27	0	+27	No	+$0	09-30 18:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-31 14:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	09-14 16:52
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	09-16 03:49
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	07-31 04:28
will bnb reach 700 in march	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-31 05:57
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	10-01 06:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	09-30 00:38
Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-13 08:18
will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-28 07:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-03 04:41
Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	09-15 21:31
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	09-14 02:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	02-25 05:48
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-29 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:40:11	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfa3be5…
10-26 05:25:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x6dffbc…
10-26 05:14:24	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x987a96…
10-26 04:56:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x70f276…
10-25 22:08:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$1	0x708ba8…
10-24 14:01:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xee11d9…
10-20 16:19:32	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	46	71¢	$33	0xb4c07b…
10-18 11:19:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0xeb9f74…
10-17 15:10:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	46	90¢	$42	0xa60771…
10-15 08:11:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	63¢	$28	0x04f673…
10-14 11:45:07	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x985780…
10-08 19:28:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3fbdba…
10-05 06:13:44	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xd699ad…
10-05 01:35:34	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xb3b6aa…
10-03 04:41:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbdbbeb…
10-01 06:02:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8fb356…
09-30 18:35:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xee9615…
09-30 17:25:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf4c823…
09-30 14:06:53	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd411c7…
09-30 02:22:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xed380d…
09-30 00:38:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd0fa1d…
09-28 12:55:20	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe44450…
09-27 12:14:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xd967ec…
09-26 02:53:53	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x42c988…
09-25 16:29:41	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d229c…
09-24 02:39:53	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xccb586…
09-22 13:12:09	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x7060a4…
09-16 03:49:09	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2713b4…
09-15 21:31:28	Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x50710e…
09-15 21:14:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf14d66…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb5a3b4…
09-14 02:40:16	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x498e3a…
09-11 13:42:24	Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe16892…
09-11 02:26:24	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3f463f…
09-10 10:56:09	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd371d5…
09-09 19:39:52	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$49	0x2d519a…
09-09 19:11:58	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc37435…
09-08 09:41:57	Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x9247ad…
09-07 13:03:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc72ac7…
09-06 01:50:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xa41147…
09-06 01:24:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa6625b…
09-04 06:17:03	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x891479…
09-03 00:33:39	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xaa90fe…
09-01 01:41:39	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x182b8d…
08-28 07:14:30	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x25ddc0…
08-27 14:39:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x8cabdb…
08-26 16:38:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x71f971…
08-26 16:11:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6cc07c…
08-24 08:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xdf79c0…
08-24 07:38:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xdbd38c…
08-20 21:53:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xdada4d…
08-20 13:53:13	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x14bc62…
08-18 01:07:06	Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad9742…
08-17 09:09:09	Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x2d7a35…
08-15 07:31:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xdc31b2…
08-14 12:16:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x196572…
08-10 18:01:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xfffb27…
08-10 02:31:52	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x79eff1…
08-07 13:30:39	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x90b680…
08-06 09:07:26	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x64c5b1…
08-04 21:45:27	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f9f8d…
07-31 04:28:03	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x2dd03c…
07-30 21:30:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbf8ab2…
07-30 07:08:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x890277…
07-29 20:36:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31c24c…
07-28 18:52:19	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x7bf731…
07-27 22:10:27	will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026 597	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x82f11d…
07-27 17:50:40	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x14049f…
07-24 06:51:22	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc3a327…
07-23 15:41:06	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbc68a8…
07-22 03:28:55	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0d3122…
07-21 12:21:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x83d8e9…
06-30 02:55:58	Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb6cbe1…
06-28 02:59:55	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0c6781…
06-27 10:32:26	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x68403d…
05-31 14:43:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcc2234…
05-27 07:48:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe9c61b…
05-13 08:18:26	Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xc99316…
05-10 21:40:14	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47cc90…
05-10 12:42:05	Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3f8ebc…
05-10 11:31:17	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd442a4…
05-08 15:03:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2c32fe…
05-07 15:59:51	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x253d67…
05-06 09:10:24	Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8b83d4…
05-05 11:22:04	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb3c199…
05-05 11:14:44	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xce3230…
05-05 07:33:28	Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8813de…
04-29 01:25:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf7e834…
04-27 06:43:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x51a78f…
04-27 03:27:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56d933…
04-21 15:30:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee4e37…
04-20 14:21:08	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6013ec…
04-20 06:10:30	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x49ee96…
04-18 23:41:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7d0495…
04-18 05:32:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5a2245…
04-17 19:58:30	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe52947…
04-16 14:00:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x470075…
04-15 01:28:32	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xad1336…
04-14 05:51:37	Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51496f…
04-05 15:24:59	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xd19970…